Investment Q&A

Q: What is the nature of the competition that NFI faces in NA? Is there a competitor that is ramping up in the US?

Q: Hi Peter, Ryan, and Team,
NFI is on a real downward spiral lately, and the current yield is 5.368%. It's held in my wife's TFSA, and it's hard to see the almost daily declines, some quite steep, e.g. on July 16. It's down almost 50% now, and am wondering if we should keep it or sell it. I wouldn't add to it at this time. What are your views?
Thanks in advance.

Q: Hi 5i,

Looking to rebalance my industrials listed above. Before asking my question a little background info: Sitting at 10% sector weight with each of the listed stocks at equal weight. I would like companies with manageable debt, conservative growth and mid-large cap, with growing dividends. Shareholder friendly companies are also a nice to have. I also have a 10+ investment horizon.

Questions base on above, and please deduct as needed:

1) Would you continue to hold these stocks?
2) Which ones would have major issues if and when a slow down occurs?
3) Given answers to above, which new industrials would you recommend to replace the above?

Thanks,
Chris

Q: NFI started the day with a big stumble, is the delivery news that bad? Is this time for bottom fishing and "invest the money you can afford to lose" - so to speak.

Q: Hi, I currently have $11,500 to add to my TFSA with a long term horizon. I currently hold CNR (2.53%), NTR (2.88%), PLC (5.04%) PPL (2.98%), TD (4.21%), V (4.71), WCN (6.15%), XLV (3.31%) MAW 104 (25.11%). I am wondering if I should add to the current companies or might you have any other suggestions?

Q: NFI seems to have a good backlog of orders; why is it still struggling? Still a good hold?

Q: Enb in my portfolio has a book value of $42.16
And a yield of 7%. It now represents 10% of my portfolio. This my largest position in a portfolio of $630000. I generally buy for dividend and growth. Maybe I should reduce my position in ENB and take a 5% position in another dividend paying stock with growth potential. eg. CM or other opportunities. Any suggestions.

Q: Hi 5i,
Of the following list which ones will you let go:
PAAS, PHO, MX, SIS, TOY, WEF, NFI, TFII, PBH, and GUD,
and which ones would you keep and why.
I know is not and easy answer, please deduct as many credits as required.
thanks
Fernnado

Q: NFI seems to have picked up some momentum in the past few weeks, has now broken the 200-day average - Does this improve your opinion of the stock?? Thanks Jim

Q: Gentlemen, good morning.
On my Ca$ side RESP I have only 3 stocks,
SIS (-28%, 50% of RESP PF / 3.9% totPF)
TSGI (-31%, 25% of RESP PF / 2.16% TotPF) &
NFI (-32%, 25% of RESP PF / 1.3% totPF).
The Can side is about 20% of RESP PF.
I have 20% of Ca$ RESP PF cash to add.
For 5 years min holding, Your thought please
Thanks Regards

Q: Your thoughts on the Alexander Dennis acquisition? I sold NFI for a tax loss early this year. Is it time to step back in?

Q: Does today's acquisition make New Flyer itself a more attractive takeout candidate? Thanks.

Q: Do you see a switch from NFI to CAE being long term profitable at this time?

Q: Hi 5i,

My question is in regards to tax loss harvesting. I am down, in our non-registered accounts, anywhere from 10-30% on Magna, Methanex, NFI, Vermilion, and Great Canadian Gaming.

I like all of these companies and would like to have them in my portfolio as long term holds. My time horizon is years, if not decades. I don't mind the volatility of these stocks at all, nor do I mind being down (on paper) significantly at any point in time with them - I understand these are cyclical names. Dividends, and dividend growth, from most of them ease any short term frustration.

All of that said, would you recommend crystalizing a loss on any of the above? Do you see any catalyst for short term price jumps (earnings?) that may cause me to get caught buying back in at a higher price in 30 days? And if harvesting a loss is the way to go, would I be better off keeping the proceeds in cash to buy back in after waiting? Or park it in comparable securities? If so, any suggestions?

Dollar-wise, the amounts are significant enough that trading costs aren't really material. The only other variable I should mention is that I don't have any capital gains (realized) to use the losses against, so it would just go "in the bank" to be carried forward to the future.

Lots of parts to that question so deduct credits as necessary.

Thanks, enjoy the long weekend!

Q: I've owned a 1000 SHS since last Jan. and I am down 42% or so: missed last Q badly, increased dividend nicely, low pay-out ratio. Hold in my non-registered account - fairly small holding vs total portfolio. I was thinking of adding another 1000 SHS. In hind sight I should have sold in Dec. 2018 to record a tax loss and bought back later. I'd like to see less debt.; but, realize very capital intensive industry - ROE 18% ROI not that impressive though. Good idea for long-term arisen to add now?

Q: I own all of these in equal weighting (7% each). Down quite a bit on NFI. Just seeing if I should keep it and give it the long term (10 years) to provide a good return or sell because there is a better company to replace it with for a better long term performance at this point. Any other recommendations as I do have some cash side lined at this point (30%).

Q: I'm looking at adding these for a recession/defensive type of portfolio.
For a longer term holder, do see any reasons not to buy these ones?
Do you like any one of these more than others?
Thanks as always....

Q: NFI seems to have fallen below its 50 day moving average on Friday. Assuming that its cash flow can still maintain the current dividend level, and management does not cut that rate, would you consider NFI to be a decent "bottom fishing" candidate?

Your insight is much appreciated.

Q: Is it time to bail on NFI or are the worst of the operating issues behind them? I have owned it since 2015 and saw the shares rise from $17 to $60 a year ago, only to half the amount today.
The Q1 results are not encouraging. Operating cash flow is a deficit of $7 million, earnings were down 46% or 56% adjusted. Gross profit margins declined Q/Q by 240 bps to just 16%. There have been substantial investments in new products (with learning curve troubles), a new zero emission bus, facility upgrades, a new parts facility (with start up problems and cost overruns), IT harmonization project, oh and they lost the Setra distribution rights in the motor coach division.

Concerningly, on capital allocation, they have increased the dividend with lower earnings and have a substantial debt funded share buy back. Annual interest is now about $25 million. This looks like brave policy unless the business really is about to turn the corner and shares return towards their $60 level.

What do you think?

Q: I need to sell some of my consumer cyclicals for portfolio balancing
I hold BYD.N, DOO, CCL.B, MG, NFI, TOY, TSGI
In what order would you suggest I sell them in and why.
Is there one that is not on this list that I should be holding?
Thanks