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Kinaxis Inc. (KXS $152.96)
- $152.96 P/E (TTM): 42.07X Cap: $3.86B
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Review of Kinaxis Inc.
NOV 20, 2025 - KXS’s share price has been under pressure recently along with other software names due to negative sentiment toward software-as-a-subscription (SaaS) businesses, which investors believe could potentially be disrupted by Artificial Intelligence (AI). We think the concern shows little merit and, so far, KXS’s results have not been affected by AI. KXS continues to be a great long-term winner in the niche market of supply chain software. Though KXS is not a hyper-growth name like it used to be, the company still manages to consistently achieve double-digit growth on topline and annual recurring revenue. The company is also right-sizing stock-based compensation to a reasonable level. KXS’s business model is highly cash-generative with limited needs for capital expenditure, and the company maintains a solid financial position. KXS has been more aggressive with share buybacks recently to take advantage of the weak share price. We think the risk/reward here is quite attractive for investors with a time horizon of three to five years. We are maintaining our rating at ‘B+’.
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Kinaxis Inc. (KXS $152.96)
- $152.96 P/E (TTM): 42.07X Cap: $3.86B
- View KXS Profile
- View Questions on KXS
- View Reports on KXS
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Toronto-Dominion Bank (The) (TD $147.13)
- $147.13 P/E (TTM): 11.55X Cap: $247.22B
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Enbridge Inc. (ENB $73.72)
- $73.72 P/E (TTM): 22.83X Cap: $161.51B
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- View Reports on ENB
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Sun Life Financial Inc. (SLF $94.79)
- $94.79 P/E (TTM): 16.2X Cap: $55.14B
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- View Reports on SLF
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Constellation Software Inc. (CSU $2,565.73)
- $2,565.73 P/E (TTM): 73.55X Cap: $54.37B
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- View Reports on CSU
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Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. (BEP.UN $47.26)
- $47.26 Cap: $31.93B
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Descartes Systems Group Inc. (The) (DSG $100.35)
- $100.35 P/E (TTM): 40.15X Cap: $8.34B
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Kinaxis Inc. (KXS $152.96)
- $152.96 P/E (TTM): 42.07X Cap: $3.86B
- View KXS Profile
- View Questions on KXS
- View Reports on KXS
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Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. (ATD $78.99)
- $78.99 P/E (TTM): 19.92X Cap: $73.05B
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Premium Brands Holdings Corporation (PBH $88.58)
- $88.58 P/E (TTM): 56.4X Cap: $4.62B
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Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares (SHOP $152.57)
- $152.57 P/E (TTM): 113.65X Cap: $198.96B
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- View Reports on SHOP
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Savaria Corporation (SIS $28.74)
- $28.74 P/E (TTM): 30.78X Cap: $6.75B
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Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. (TVE $12.21)
- $12.21 Cap: $5.91B
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CI Morningstar Canada Momentum Index ETF (WXM $50.44)
- $50.44 P/E (TTM): 14.82X Cap: $1.51B
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Topicus.com Inc. (TOI $96.30)
- $96.30 P/E (TTM): 302.29X Cap: $11.65B
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Lumine Group Inc. (LMN $20.42)
- $20.42 P/E (TTM): 34.25X Cap: $4.78B
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First Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge Smart Grid Infrastru (GRID $192.87)
- $192.87 P/E (TTM): 51.41X Cap: $10.43B
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A & W Food Services of Canada Inc. (AW $36.55)
- $36.55 P/E (TTM): 16.16X Cap: $877M
- View AW Profile
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I have 12% in cash and am looking to rebalance and make some changes. I maintain 20% to 25% of the account in WXM. I like to follow stocks in the portfolios, mostly balanced, and those that you have reports on. I let things get a bit heavy on the software stocks, so looking for 5 or 6 idea's outside of that sector.
Can you make some suggestions? Thanks very much.
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Constellation Software Inc. (CSU $2,565.73)
- $2,565.73 P/E (TTM): 73.55X Cap: $54.37B
- View CSU Profile
- View Questions on CSU
- View Reports on CSU
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Descartes Systems Group Inc. (The) (DSG $100.35)
- $100.35 P/E (TTM): 40.15X Cap: $8.34B
- View DSG Profile
- View Questions on DSG
- View Reports on DSG
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Kinaxis Inc. (KXS $152.96)
- $152.96 P/E (TTM): 42.07X Cap: $3.86B
- View KXS Profile
- View Questions on KXS
- View Reports on KXS
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Thomson Reuters Corporation (TRI $127.29)
- $127.29 P/E (TTM): 28.08X Cap: $55.51B
- View TRI Profile
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Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares (SHOP $152.57)
- $152.57 P/E (TTM): 113.65X Cap: $198.96B
- View SHOP Profile
- View Questions on SHOP
- View Reports on SHOP
I’m reading about a thesis and would love your view on it.
The idea is that today’s AI compute scarcity is temporary, kind of like the telecom/bandwidth bubble in the late 1990s. As inference costs keep falling over the next few years, I think the real value will shift from the infrastructure layer (GPUs, hyperscalers, data centers) to the application layer.
However, not every application-layer company will benefit. The ones whose moat is the AI itself could actually get hurt as models become cheap and everywhere. The real winners should be companies with moats that don’t depend on model quality — things like regulated workflows, payment rails, proprietary data, deep system integrations, or network effects. For these companies, cheaper compute should expand margins instead of creating new competition.
Two questions:
1. Does this thesis make sense to you, or do you see any flaws in the logic?
2. In your coverage universe, which names best fit the idea of “moat is the workflow / data / distribution, not the AI itself” and which names’ AI itself ‘might get hurt?
Thanks,
Matt