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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: I have just updated my portfolio analytics and am delighted with the results and the advice from it. 5i has been a big part of that, giving me the insight, information and confidence to make mostly good decisions.

I originally put a 30% allocation for bonds when I started 4 years ago, mostly because that's what was usually advised for those in my position (about 10 years out from retirement).

However, I have put no new money into bonds over that time because the ones I own have been the worst part of my portfolio. They did not act as ballast when the market went down - they seemed more volatile than most of my conservative equities. They also did not go up appreciatively when interest rates rose, and overall, even with the payouts, I'm in the red on these bonds over the past 4 years.

I heard you mention bonds in asset allocation on the recent podcast but I didn't sense any great endorsement of them. Other than the traditionally recommended 60-40 or 70-30 split, can you offer reasons not to sell them off and buy conservative stocks like CN, CSU, BN, etc or else broad-based index funds like XIC, XUU etc.?
Read Answer Asked by Kevin on February 26, 2024
Q: Hi...just watched the 2nd part of the podcast....good stuff. Got me thinking. I am trying to reconcile two different issues that I've been thinking about for quite some time.

#1 = Asset allocation and trimming when a position goes from, say, 5% to 10%. That is a 100% return. Where to trim at? I usually trim when a position gets to 6-7%...my own personal risk tolerance, learned from being greedy and hanging on too long. Some positions, like PBH and WSP (currently held since 2012 and 2014 respectively), have each been trimmed over 15 times and are still full 5% positions.

#2 = Letting your winners run. The podcast talked about a position running 100%, which is nice...vs a 1000% run.


Nice problem to have but how do you square these two opposing concepts?

Thanks...Steve
Read Answer Asked by Stephen on February 22, 2024
Q: READING A LOT LATELY OF BUBBLE, RECESSION, MARKET CORRECTIONS. INFLATION, INTEREST RATES ETC. UNFAVOURABLE FACTORS FOR INVESTORS.

WHAT IS YOUR OUTLOOK/THOUGHTS FOR THE US AND CDN MARKET OVER THE NEXT 12-18 MONTHS. LOOKING FOR SOME BRIEF GUIDANCE AS I AM SITTING ON SOME CASH THAT I WOULD LIKE TO DEPLOY.

I HAVE SIGNED UP FOR YOU US OUTLOOK WEBINAR NEXT WHICH I ANTICIPATE MORE DETAILS.

THANK YOU
Read Answer Asked by Dick on February 22, 2024
Q: SPY has quite a run. Any thoughts on moving some funds over to MDY to gain more mid cap exposure ?
Read Answer Asked by Douglas on February 21, 2024
Q: Hi 5i, this is a general question on the big ship S.S. North America.

First what do you consider are the best leading indicators? For example US PPI and Retail Sales are down this week, and the sales are down a lot, not sure if this is seasonal post holiday burn out. Another thing that perplexes me is why housing, both mortgages and rent, aren't backed out of the CPI. If they are then aren't we around 2%. Lastly how come we don't look at GDI more? It seems while GDP , govt and personal spending, is driving this number however GDI is going down. It would also be nice to see real numbers adjusted for the massive immigration, pretty sure they would all be negative.
Read Answer Asked by Christopher on February 16, 2024
Q: I have quite a bit of cash in GICs & HISAs to invest. I am trying to reconcile buying at the top of the market vs waiting for a drop (which is difficult to time). I do not need the funds in the near future. I am thinking that if I buy now at the top of the market and then the market drops, I can always sell for a capital loss and immediately repurchase a similar ETF that trades in a different index provided the ETF is held in a non-registered account . If I take this course of action, then I would actually be no further behind vs waiting for a market drop (other than the ~4.5 I would get in a GIC or HISA). Is my thinking logical? Am I missing something?
Read Answer Asked by Mary on February 16, 2024
Q: My question is what to do with my legacy fixed-income holdings.

I've been holding the above ETFs after being advised by 5i's portfolio analysis services to increase fixed-income holdings. Holdings are in registered accounts at a 25% weight combined.

They have all lost capital value over the past 5 years, however with distributions, they have returned approximately zero or flat over the last 5 years, I view this as a loss due to the inflation over this time.

What would 5i suggest I do with these fixed-income holdings moving forward? Should I hold for ballast or sell and move funds into dividend growers like Utilities or Pipelines eg. FTS, ALA, GEI, TRP, etc.)? The bond investments have put a drag on my investment returns.

Please advise your thoughts and wisdom, Thank you.
Read Answer Asked by Maury on February 14, 2024
Q: What would you advise as an optimum allocation of CAD vs US stock now (and the next few years) ? It seems that the US economy is growing and would support more easily higher interest rates than Canada. Also more innovation, productivity.
Thanks !
Read Answer Asked by Martin on February 13, 2024
Q: What are your thoughts on ETFs that are market weighted versus equal weighted? From anecdotal review it looks like the market weight ones do much better. It may also be relevant how many holdings they have.
Read Answer Asked by Peter on February 12, 2024
Q: Re your chart in Potential for a Catch-Up Rally you seem to show that SHOP is 2% to all time highs. If I understand this correctly the 2 % is very wrong.

I show we are approx 100% from all time highs in Oct 2021 at $223.

If I am misinterpreting your chart please clariy my misunderstanding.

With thanks


Sheldon
Read Answer Asked by Sheldon on February 12, 2024
Q: My 22 year old son received a $100,000 gift from his grandfather on his birthday. His TFSA and FHSA are fully funded so this money will go to funding his first unregistered account. The S&P 500 has shown an average annual return in excess of 13% over the past 15 years and over 20% in 2023. As such, it is tempting to just put the full amount in an S&P ETF, but having come off a 20% year gives one pause. What is your recommendation in this case?
Read Answer Asked by John on February 08, 2024
Q: Hi Peter and 5i team,

With the struggles of the Chinese financial markets recently, is there any worry that the trouble can spread globally to other markets?

Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Marvin on February 08, 2024
Q: Would you anticipate moderate or major corrections of US and Canadian markets in the near future?
Miroslaw
Read Answer Asked by Miroslaw on February 07, 2024
Q: Can you kindly recommend any sites tracking RSI for individual stocks and whether you feel this is a good input into the decision making process of when deciding to buy an oversold stock?

Also, I notice there are timeframes for RSI (weekly, monthly etc) so how does the timeframe inform the result and help a decision to purchase an oversold stock?

Thanks as always for your guidance!
Read Answer Asked by Peter on February 05, 2024
Q: Hi,

As individual DIY growth investor, what are some of the top things we can we do to maximize up-market capture vs minimizing down-market capture? I have a longer timeframe and am comfortable with volatility in the markets. With the strength in tech, the sector has run to ~26% (SHOP, KXS, CSU, NVEI, CRWD, TOI, NVDA, LMN, INTU), followed by financials 18%, cons disc 15%, industrials 12% and the others all below 6%.

Is it time to trim across the board and re-balance? How do you balance this while allowing strong compounders to continue performing over time? What are the key things to do focus on to beat the market going up while protecting those gains and minimizing downside?

Thank you!
Read Answer Asked by Keith on February 01, 2024
Q: Hi, my respected 5i team
I know it is impossible to predict the future, I would like to get your professional ideas about how the "S&P/TSX Composite Index Banks" will perform in the next 5 years? It seems everyone expecting the interest rate going down and how will this affect the 5 big banks performance down the road?

And how will the general market perform (both US and Canada) in the next 5 years?

Thanks in advance!
Read Answer Asked by Zheng on February 01, 2024
Q: "As reported by the Canadian Federation of Independent Business, approximately 76% of business owners are anticipated to transition out of their businesses in the next decade. This could result in over $2 trillion in business assets changing hands, presenting a substantial opportunity for growth and yield in the sector."
Do you have any suggestions of companies that may benefit if this in fact is an upcoming trend?
Read Answer Asked by Colleen on January 30, 2024