Investment Q&A

Q: What is your current assessment on American intentions to effectively take over Canada by economic dismantling? It isn’t clear to what extent Canada will be able to withstand current tariff barriers and effectively ‘fight back’ for its own interests.

Q: How do you approach a market like one we are in now? We have gone pretty well straight up since the April lows with a lot of names having increased substantially.

If one is almost fully invested right now but has new money to put to work. Do you hold off putting new money to work until a correction? Do you start to raise a little cash and take some profits on the nice run (5-10%)?

Q: I am sitting on cash to invest. I have been thinking about waiting until the US and China at least come to a "partial agreement" on trade. So that we have some certainity around that and how companies can move forward. I understand there are many points on both sides to negotiate and a "final deal" could take a long time or the other issues NOT able to resolve in an agreement. What advise would you have about investing the cash now or should I wait for a partial agreement? Or should I invest now but stay out of the US stock market? Your input would be appreciated.

Q: Good morning 5i
I have done well in the past few years, as I have been close to 100 percent equities. With the time horizon shortening, however, and less time to recover from a downturn, I am considering a higher percentage of fixed income. Currently, I have a large amount of US cash. I have been fearful of the US dollar falling, and have been wondering whether I should convert those dollars into Canadian in order to buy fixed income?
Thanks

Q: Everyone, were do you see the markets going in the next three months? Clayton

Q: What % of a growth portfolio would you suggest to be in small caps for an investor in his 50’s?

Q: I saw a video clip of the Parliamentary Budget officer giving a dire review of the financial health of the country. Pretty much saying it is unsustainable unless something is done quickly. Are you recommending any significant changes to individual investors portfolios based on these findings? What would happen to stocks if Canada defaulted on its debt?

Q: Good morning,

HHL is a core holding for me, and has been for some time, mainly for income (~10% yield).

I understand the pros/cons of covered call strategies. But given that this ETF is equally balanced with the largest 20 health care companies in the US, I am generally comfortable with it as a holding.

My question is this - what is your macro view of large-cap US health care stocks right now? On the one hand I get excited about the sector when factoring longer-term AI and how this will impact the space. And then I easily get caught up in the headlines that we are all seeing right now from the current administration, and the generally negative impact this is having on the individual stocks in HHL.

Curious for your views on the sector.

Thanks as always.

Q: Any reason that you know of for today's drop in ATRl's stock price?

Q: FYI. I was listening to the chief economist at RBC the other day and she said the CUSMA renegotiations are to determine what the trade agreement will be starting in 2036 , 10 years from now. This means the current agreement terms would remain for a significant period of time ( unless Trump totally throws the whole thing out ). Can you confirm this ?

This important point doesn’t seem to get recognized by the media. Thanks. Derek.

Q: I am nervous about being in a bubble but like all the stocks that I own. How can I protect myself against a major correction?

Q: how much has the TSX gained year to date and what 2-3 sectors are the reason for the movement. TIA

Q: Hello

i would like to get your opinions on what investors should do given possibly an inevitable market correction.
many portfolios have gone up over 25% this year, which likely is not sustainable

should we move to bonds, if so where etc

Thank you in advance

Tim

Q: PPI , Producer Price Index in the US, reported this morning (September 10) , show a surprising drop of 0.1% vs. an expected increase of 0.03%. It’s unclear where tariffs, which is essentially a consumption tax, is being absorbed. Logically it should show up in consumer prices before long. It’s either that, or margins at retail companies will adjust down. Over the next year , how will this affect the share prices of Costco and Walmart? In your opinion are such retailers likely to drift down, or trade sideways at best, for the next year or so? Or do you believe things are too uncertain to make portfolio changes based just on tariff impacts?

Q: It looks like job losses in the US and Canada will increase the likelihood of interest rate cuts. The former suggest bad things going on in the economy, the latter tends to be good for stocks. Can you comment on how those factors might play out for the markets in the coming year?

Q: Dear Peter et al:

Everyone including yourselves talk about 7+ T USD on the sidelines when a question about market correction is asked. This money will step in and protect the markets from a crash. That seems to be the
thesis here.

But the huge cash reserves of big companies, (BRK for example) pension funds and various PE firms
(listed and unlisted) have ALWAYS
been a feature in the market, no?.Even during the bull or bear
market this Cash on the sidelines has been a constant, right?
So, the question is what is the range of cash on the sidelines? Can this cash on the sidelines act as a " metric" to signal Bull or Bear market?
(Just like your thesis on VIX. 40+ means buying time).

In simple terms what should be the "Normal" cash on the sidelines?!

Q: Hello 5i,

A follow up to Willie’s question about a potential USD devaluation on Sept 03.

We have 50% of our RRSP and TFSA in USD. Investments outside of the US and Canada are in CDN though those investments are minimal. In the past, the suggested path was to own US stocks with US funds over using CDN dollars to purchase US stocks or purchasing CDR’s. Moving forward, is it prudent to slightly reduce USD exposure by having a combination of CDR’s and US stocks for US investments (i.e. 10k in MSFT CDR’s + 10k of MSFT in USD)?

We had purchased USD about 8 years ago with a plan to vacation in the US upon retirement though we decided to vacation elsewhere now with CDN dollars. A currency cost would apply to sell 10% of USD though we do not have costs to buy or sell. This change would only be applied to the largest positions (NVDA, GOOG, META, MSFT, BRK.B, WMT.)

5i always seem to be ahead of the curve in their investment strategies and we are humble beneficiaries from your knowledge.

Thank you for your insight.
D&J

Q: Hello Team 5i & Everyone!

What do you think the likelihood of the tariffs being cancelled by the US administration is if they become too unpopular with their fan base and wealthy friends? (I’ve heard that historically tariffs take 4 - 18 months to fully work their way on to the consumer, so I’m open minded to the idea that the US consumer hasn’t felt the full impact of them yet.)

What would the market reaction maybe be if tariffs were cancelled?

Is the goal of lowering interest rates via the US administration undermining the independence of the US Fed (and stacking it with ‘yes people’) simply so lower interest rates will offset the tariffs affect on the US economy and lower the cost of the US refinancing its debt? Are there any more reasons you think apply here?

Appreciate your big brains,

Thanks!


(Hopefully this question isn’t a repeat, I got timed out when I first wrote it.)

Q: What are your thoughts/comments about market concentration in the Mag 7 stocks?

Seems to be around 32% of the total market cap of the S&P500 are in just those 7 stocks, which is around levels last seen in the .com bubble. While these companies have real revenues and profits, valuations are high (relative to historical averages), and it certainly seems somewhat concerning. I would appreciate your thoughts. Thanks.

Q: In a recent article by Ray Dalio he talks about investor risks given the massive deficits being run by the US government. He points to the possibility of future inflation and likely higher interest rates down the road unless corrective measures are taken. If this plays out what stocks should we include in our portfolios?