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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: This morning a guest on BNN recommended Premium Brands. Their new revenue generators with Costco sound promising. However they seem to have a lot of debt and a very high dividend payout ratio.

Do you think their cash flow covers their debt and is the payout ratio really at 128%?

Thanks for all your help.

Mike
Read Answer Asked by Michael on July 24, 2025
Q: Hi 5i
A question dated July 23 had this portion of an analyst's opinion on PBH:


Assuming that 1) the Distribution Group is sold at a reasonable valuation and 2) the "new" PBH is re-rated back up to a trading range of 12-13x (i.e., historical ten-year average is ~12.5x; we are using 9.0x to derive our June 2026 target price of $140), we think that a hypothetical divestiture and subsequent debt repayment implies a share price anywhere between $205 to $225 at the end of 2026, ~50-60% above our current $140 target.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Does this defy logic, gravity or both? Can a stock that has been dead money for more than 5 years more than double in a year and a half? The $140 target seems optimistic, but over $200 is mind boggling.

Thanks,
Greg
Read Answer Asked by Greg on July 24, 2025
Q: What are your thoughts on PBH? TD released a research report on Friday, increasing its target price from $120 to $140 based on a stronger 2nd half of 2025. Buried in the report was the possibility of PBH divesting its Distribution Group and using the money to deleverage; in doing this, TD sees an implied share value of $205 to $225. See TD's comments below. Do you see the current price as a good entry point for PBH?

Which should drive significant deleveraging and could push the share price to $205-
225 by YE2026. Should PBH divest its Distribution Group, we think that PBH may first consider using the proceeds for debt reduction to both improve balance sheet flexibility and realize meaningful interest savings (i.e., ~75% of PBH's interest-bearing debt is floating rate), which should push total funded debt leverage down to 1.5x by the end of 2026, versus our current estimate of 2.5x. Assuming that 1) the Distribution Group is sold at a reasonable valuation and 2) the "new" PBH is re-rated back up to a trading range of 12-13x (i.e., historical ten-year average is ~12.5x; we are using 9.0x to derive our June 2026 target price of $140), we think that a hypothetical divestiture and subsequent debt repayment implies a share price anywhere between $205 to $225 at the end of 2026, ~50-60% above our current $140 target.
Read Answer Asked by T Michael on July 23, 2025
Q: Hello, can I have your top ten list of consumer stocks, Canadian or CDRs, based on projected total return (share price plus dividends, if applicable), for a 5+ years holding period? Thanks!
Read Answer Asked by Martin on July 23, 2025
Q: I hold PBH (0.8% position) and COST (1.5%), and I realize that consolidating them is prudent. COST has been a very solid performer over time, but PBH has been performing quite well recently, after a couple of years where the share price was on a downward trajectory.

I understand each company has its attributes: with a time horizon of five years, in terms of share price appreciation, which is poised for better growth?
Read Answer Asked by Domenic on July 23, 2025
Q: Good morning, As a retired investor who can handle moderate risk I'm looking to add to my consumer staples holdings in an RRSP, for both growth and a dividend. My only current holding in this sector is Proctor & Gamble (PG). What would be your top 3 picks in Canada and top 3 picks in the US, ranked please, for a new consumer staples holding?
Read Answer Asked by Lois on July 01, 2025
Q: Hi Peter &Staff

Switched from PBH to PRMB months ago (thank you) and have done well .PRMB falling daily and analysts have high targets for PBH due to expansion- time to switch back or not)

Thanks for all you
Dennis
Read Answer Asked by Dennis on June 26, 2025
Q: I am considering consolidating some of the listed companies because I have small positions in them. Do you have 2 or 3 favorites for a long term hold.
Read Answer Asked by Craig on June 12, 2025
Q: Hi. Of the 6 listed companies, which 3 are your favorites for a long term hold. I am trying to consolidate smaller positions so that I have less stocks.
Read Answer Asked by Craig on June 10, 2025
Q: Hi Peter and 5i Team,

Realizing that there are a number of catalysts that 'could' boost the share price of PBH, we're concerned that it will take too long. It was purchased several years ago for a TFSA at an (ugh) average cost of $122. The last time I looked, it was trading at $80.23.
Even with the dividends received (thank goodness for dividends in this case), we are still down $17,300.

Here's the question: Even with all the positive catalysts going forward, do you think that the share price will increase enough to at least break even when accounting for dividends? Or do you think that we should swallow the loss and move to something else that has a more attractive valuation and greater upside?

As always, your comments and insights are very helpful.
Read Answer Asked by Jerry on May 28, 2025
Q: I have half positions of these three stocks: QSR, PBH, & LNF. PBH is underwater. Are these good stocks to own long term? They haven't really done much in the last few years. Or on this pullback, make them full positions for their div and possible future growth? Do you have other favourites in Consumer stocks? YOUR THOUGHTS PLEASE. Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Pat on April 28, 2025
Q: Currently hold PBH and considering selling. Know you recently rated as a hold for the three year period. For a better total return,over the next three years, would you sell PBH and buy one of ATH, CJT, MG, NPI, NXR.UN, TCL.A, or VHI. Please rank these stocks for purchasing. Thanks
Read Answer Asked by David on April 01, 2025
Q: I'm holding the above in a RSP and the above stocks are quite down. Given the current environmnet, is it time to sell them? today, rather than last week!
Read Answer Asked by Brenda on March 28, 2025
Q: I've held Premium Brands Holdings Corporation (PBH) for eight years with minimal returns. Given its recent challenges, such as weaker Canadian sales and a premium valuation relative to peers, I’m considering switching to Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD) for better long-term growth potential. ATD seems to offer a more resilient business model, steady earnings growth, and strategic acquisition opportunities, like the potential 7-Eleven deal. What’s your view on the rationale for trading PBH for ATD and the timing? PBH is forecasting stronger growth however rarely materializes... Does ATD’s scale, diversification, and growth trajectory make it a stronger candidate for long-term value creation, or should I hold PBH given its U.S. expansion plans and historical dividend growth? Welcome hearing 5i's insight especially considering PBH's pop today resulting from positive earnings report. Thank you!

Read Answer Asked by Maury on March 24, 2025
Q: What do you think of debentures and do you think this is a good way to possibly hold as a proxy for ones bond side of your portfolio? How are they different from preferred stock? Do you think PBH are a good choice of company to hold them with? I have cash coming out of GIC's and am looking for a better rate now that GIC interest has gone down. Is the Div of 5.5% safe and is it considered interest or div for Canadian taxes? Is it good to get in or wait with a new issue regarding the price- do they tend to fluctuate with the market? Thanks so much.
Read Answer Asked by Pat on March 21, 2025