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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: May I have your thoughts on the turbulent stock, Vermilion Energy. In particular I am interested in Q4 2023 and the current metrics given the recent price drop. At what price would you consider taking an initial position? crystal ball - Do you anticipate another win-fall type tax coming in the EU?
With appreciation,
Read Answer Asked by Ed on March 12, 2024
Q: I am thinking of selling my Vermilion shares VET and using the funds to buy shares of MEG since I want to keep my oil and gas exposure at the same weight (about 15 per cent of the portfolio.) This swap of oil producers is predicated on that MEG is already returning 50 per cent of FCF to shareholders while VET is only returning 30 per cent. According to both compannies corporate presentations both companies play to allocate more FCF to shareholders when lower debit levels are achieved in 2024. I liked VET from its exposure to high gas prices in Europe but when Ireland introduced a windfall tax on VET it definitely took a shine off of Vet's future. What do you think of changing VET for MEG. I also have some CPG, CJ, TOU, WCP, and BTE so I don't want to add to them.
Read Answer Asked by Paul on November 16, 2023
Q: 40-70% losses on paper on these 4 Cies ,2 are now under book value and one is getting close,I wonder if there is a limit on the downside.At this level I am ready to wait for some kind of recovery..Would a "switch" between these stocks or even a sell would be to consider at this level ?I know that predictions are impossible,but your impressions are always appreciated..
Read Answer Asked by Jean-Yves on September 29, 2023
Q: Please compare P/E’s, cash flow yield , balance sheet leverage and future growth. How would you rank in order of most preferred to not interested. Ty.
Read Answer Asked by Chris on June 01, 2023
Q: At this extremely low valuation ,do you consider this stock as a hold ,sell or a buy ? any comment on this Cie 's future perspective shall be greatly appreciated.Ps: I am wondering if the restrictions on Russian oil and gaz could significantly favor energy Cies active in western Europ ( like VET ..) , in order to compensate for pipelines and energy suppressions, thanks , J-Y
Read Answer Asked by Jean-Yves on February 17, 2023
Q: I heard that Eric Nuttall is now out of VET. It's my only oil & gas stock that is under water at this point. What is your opinion? It seems to have declined due to the fall of natural gas in Europe and the extra tax levy. Do you think it has fallen enough to now be worth holding, or is there another oil and gas stock that you like better. I'm thinking maybe FRU or even NNRG.NE, Eric's fond? Or do you have another one?
Read Answer Asked by Steven on January 30, 2023
Q: Looking for what top 3 oil & gas recommendations you would have. Growth and appreciation over the next 2-3 years.
Read Answer Asked by Chris on January 12, 2023
Q: I must progressively restructurate a non-registrated portfolio, recovered in early 2022 for self-managing... Here are the percentage of each stock vs all portfolio, and also indications (+/-) if they are at a profit or at a loss on paper. stocks at profit are: BIP.UN (8% of portfolio), CM 5%, DIR. UN 3%, BIPC 1%, BCE 5%, ENB 2%, SGR.UN 1,5%. Stocks at a loss are: BN.PF.D (5% pf portfolio), TRP 1.5%, VET 1.2%.
My objectives are in order: stability, dividends, and some growth if possible.
Some stocks represent a probably too high percentage of the portfolio, I would not sell them “only to rebalance the portfolio” if they are still safe (to avoid non necessary capital gain tax), but I shall sell if they represent a risk. On the other hand, I would not sell stocks with a loss if they respond to my objectives.
I have already balanced a good part of this portfolio with ETF and a selection of stable dividend stocks. Those are the remaining stocks from the original portfolio..
Please give me suggestions for each stock according to objectives as : keep, sell, or sell partly. All of your comments are always greatly appreciated.
Read Answer Asked by Jean-Yves on January 10, 2023
Q: i own vermilion, cnq, erf, and gear . gear has an 11% yield, no debt, i cant resist.
i want to add one more small to mid cap energy name canadian. i know you like tamarack but it is a weak performer. can you recommend another for growth. dave
Read Answer Asked by david on January 03, 2023
Q: Sold half my position in VET in the mid $33 back in summer and I wish I would have sold the whole part. Looked at VET's Q3 report and it seems that it is the threat of a European "excess profit tax" that has pummeled the stock lately and I understand why and think the sell down is warranted. But the way I understand it there could be a unseen upside in VET in Q1 of 2023 when the VET's purchase of Shell's portion of the Corrib gas plant is completed. According to VET all of the 2022 Cash flow from Corrib should go to VET. When that cash flow is added to VET's income statement could they restate their 2022 earnings to the upside? I am not sure how this works but it seems to me that there is some 'hidden' earnings in VET that can not be realized until the sale of Shell's position to VET is officially completed. One thing we know is that Corrib definitely made money in 2022. Could the increased earnings from Corrib be enough to counter the Euroean excess profit tax. Long question and I hope you understand what I am trying to get at.
Read Answer Asked by Paul on November 15, 2022

Which three of the above fourteen oil & gas stocks would you sell first to bring my sector allocation back to my normal weight? This is assuming 100 WTI oil in 2023. Could you also provide a brief reason for each of the three stocks that you would get rid of first. Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Steven on November 04, 2022