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Review of NFI Group Inc

SEP 15, 2022 - A play in the electric vehicle industry, NFI has a long-standing history and diversified operations within its niche. Shares prices have struggled due to a slower conversion of its backlog, supply chain challenges, and high debt on its balance sheet. Rating maintained at 'B'.

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Q: Hello , following is my list of losers .. and I am assessing which ones to sell this month for YE capital loss. I appreciate your comments.

As an aside; in watching the huge drop in some of these stocks, one certainly wonders about the wisdom of their CEO's ... as an example META, they are spending billions on Metaverse so that people can work and play and interact in virtual reality .. maybe in the year 2050 !!. and many others that just didn't adopt their businesses to people post Covid returning to work and shop at malls... truly incompetent .. For me, this crash has convinced me to buy shares in companies that are making money and have a strong management team.

Thank you
Carlo R.

Read Answer Asked by Carlo on November 07, 2022

Q: Worth sticking with NFI for a recovery given their pre-announcement?

I'm not as worried about the supply chain issues, which will get resolved eventually, but by their covenant with their lenders. A couple of quotes from TD sources:
Quote: "The company has re-engaged with its lenders for
extended covenant relief."
Quote: "NFI expects to finish 2022 with >$500mm of liquidity but will be in breach of covenants given negative cumulative EBITDA condition. NFI is in negotiations for extended covenant relief but reiterated that it does not believe additional equity is required."

Will the banks give them "time to breathe"? The company is still the largest producer of buses in NA and UK... How bad is this situation? Stick with it or cut the loss?

Many thanks!

Read Answer Asked by Iulian on October 24, 2022
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