Q: After recent news/earnings and along the thinking that AI will not completely replace SAAS but work along side it and even provide positive tailwinds, do you think its time to rotate a bit more from hardware to software or proceed with caution still? I hold CLS, NVDA, NBIS, VRT in hardware and CSU,LMN,TOI,SPOT, SHOP,CRWD,BKNG,TRI in software. Also own GOOG. I'm trying to find the right balance. If we look at SOXX/IGV, are we going to see mean reversion back to the mean?
Also what part of the market or credit cycle do you think we are in? Mid to late cycle? Should we be more defensive or still slowly adding to growth names? Thanks!
Q: Can you please comment on the latest quarterly report and conference call as well as your thoughts on if it might be time to move on from this one. If you are more on the sell side with this latest report, any tech sector top favorites you could recommend to replace it with would be greatly appreciated.
Q: I’ve spent 30 years as an business owner in the irrigation sector, navigating four major tech shifts: mechanical dials, digital screens, cloud software, and now AI.
While financial models capture the numbers, they often miss the qualitative reality of running a business on the ground. In my experience, customers don't buy "code"—they buy reliability. Every time technology shifted, I never lost a customer. They didn't run to a startup; they called the partner they already trusted for the upgrade.
Why this benefits Constellation Software ($CSU):
• New Revenue Streams: In my business, every shift allowed me to sell new "value-add" services—from remote monitoring to predictive maintenance. CSU is doing the same. AI isn't a replacement; it's a premium feature they can upsell to a locked-in audience.
• Embedded Infrastructure: Like irrigation pipes in the ground, CSU’s software is mission-critical and expensive to replace. It’s a "Digital Utility."
• The Survival Filter: 50% of new companies go bankrupt in their first 5 years. A business owner won't gamble their operations on a "shiny" AI tool from a company that might not exist in 24 months.
• Margin Expansion: AI is a low-cost maintenance tool for incumbents. It allows CSU to support legacy systems at a fraction of the previous cost, turning a "cost center" into a "profit center."
I see a company that owns the "wall" (the relationship), while others worry about the "box" (the code). Does my reasoning—that tech shifts actually strengthen the incumbent by creating new revenue—make sense from your perspective?
Q: I’d appreciate your advice regarding my Constellation Software holdings. I currently hold shares in my RRIF with an average cost $3,800 and in my TFSA $4,300.
Given the recent news, market sentiment, and the recent price movement, would you recommend averaging down at current levels, holding as is, or waiting for more clarity?
I’m focused primarily on long-term growth but want to be mindful of concentration risk and overall portfolio balance.
Q: As a part of the Constellation Software (VMS Ventures) portfolio, is Raia AI looking primarily to build a standalone platform for external customers, or is its main goal to act as the internal 'AI engine' that automates operations for all of Constellation’s 1,000+ niche software companies?
Q: Will you please let your members know if you see any significant insider buys from the Csu family as this could be the bell ringer for the bottom? What is a good site to track insider moves?
Q: We know that the market moves in advance of the stocks earnings as some say 3 to 6 months in advance. With these 3 stocks, is it possible that is happening, the market is talking to us and we are NOT listening?
Also, as stated before, could it be that if these stocks beat their earnings, that they may still go down with the reason that the market will feel that AI has not fully effected their earnings yet?
Q: Hi Team, I've always found it hard to get accurate valuations on the CSU family. Can you provide, to the best of your capability, the current valuation of each for current fiscal and one year out? Also, where in your crystal 🔮 do see capitulation possibly occurring. Thanks for all you work!
Q: Just a comment, I'm sure I'm not alone in this situation. All down 30-45% in my TFSA. I hate it when it feels like everybody is wrong and you and a few others think you are right, or are we? It feels like Armagedon. Been there before. It's not fun but they now only represent 5% of my portfolio so I will survive but my TFSA will take a huge hit this year.
You have alluded to poor "Sentiment" as an important factor in poor performance of certain stocks. (CSU & it's off springs plus SaaS companies)
What kind of metrics and tools that you use to measure "Sentiment"?
Price or volume or Technical indicators or any other tools from proprietary services?
Q: You guys must be getting annoyed with all the questions on these companies, but I will press my luck with one more from a slightly different angle. I own them and I am trying to determine how low they go if earnings and commentary show any kind of slowdown. I am trying to better understand the risk/reward in continuing to hold versus just stepping aside until there is a clear reversal in trend. I am thinking that if there is no growth or a reduction in sales and earnings these could still fall much further, and I am hoping for your thoughts on how much.
Thanks
Q: Hello, I have recently invested in CSU (2 months) and saw the stock price go down by a third so far. In your crystal ball, do you believe there could be a catalyst at earnings’ time, to get the share price jumping? Is there a chance they might do a conference call, for once? I am tempted to sell for tax loss reasons, but it would be frustrating to see the price jump 10-20% afterwards… Thanks
Q: A number of your past favourites are getting crushed in the market. Based on fundamentals do you see red flags with any of these companies or do you feel it’s an overreaction by the market? Do you consider these companies Buy/Hold/Sell?
Q: Of these beaten up software stocks, which 3 or 4 stocks would you choose, keeping in mind greatest return potential and not too much overlap between the picks. Thanks