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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: I would like to top up these positions and trim them back in the future (12-24months?)

Are there any names on the list I should avoid or expect a longer recovery for?

Always appreciate your wisdom.
Read Answer Asked by Dave on November 23, 2018
Q: Thank you again for this excellent service. I have a question about Savaria. In their most recent quarterly results, for the 9 months ended September 2018, stock-based compensation is $899K on $12.9M income. If I have done my calculation correctly, the stock-based compensation is about 7% of expenses. I do not know how to find the base salaries for the management (which would presumably further increase the management cost for the firm).
Is this not a lot excessive? Should I be concerned about the "cost" of management and how this cost could dilute shares or profits?
Thank-you
Read Answer Asked by Dale on November 21, 2018
Q: Hello Peter,
Is it time to back up the truck on Savaria? I think the market has over done the downside. Any reason why Andrew Peller is down from its peak? The company seems to be doing well. Please comment on both. Thank you.
Read Answer Asked by umedali on November 21, 2018
Q: I Have held Knight Therapeutics (GUD.TO) in my Granddaughter's trust account for a number of years, but sold today with the jump in price for a small profit. I'M am now looking for a stock in the Health Care sector to replace it, preferably one that pays a dividend.
Would you be comfortable with Savaria (SIS.TO) for a 3-4 year hold? Could you recommend one or two others? Many thanks
Read Answer Asked by Don on November 21, 2018
Q: You were asked a question regarding Savaria's forward PE multiple. Your response was 28 which is the same as the trailing PE multiple. How did you come up with that number? If a 28 multiple is true this stock is trading at a multiple that makes it very vulnerable to further declines despite what has happened in the last few weeks. I would like to know what your expected earnings per share are in each of the next two years please. Also could you identify anything on the horizon based on your analysis or management expectations that could lower or increase this estimate. And how do your numbers compare to management forecasts?
Read Answer Asked by John on November 21, 2018
Q: Hi 5i,

Looking at pulling the trigger on a handful of Canadian stocks that've gotten beaten up lately to round out the Canadian portion of my portfolio.

I love a number of your recommendations. The one I seem to be struggling with the most is Savaria. P/E seems so high, its like it trades as a growth tech stock. In another question you indicated its forward P/E is 28.5 even with the recent correction.

So I guess my question is whether the confidence is still high for this pick? In a world where other Industrials like Magna and Linamar trade at such low multiples, does SIS really deserve the premium?

Thanks!

Ryan
Read Answer Asked by Ryan on November 21, 2018
Q: I need to sell one of these stocks from the Industrial sector for a rebalance. Long term outlook. I need help deciding on which one to cut.
Thank you again.
Read Answer Asked by Derek on November 21, 2018
Q: Is there an update to forward 1 year p/e ratio on these companies? Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Thomas on November 20, 2018
Q: Hello Peter,

First off, great job on BNN yesterday! Your comments helped reinforce on focusing on the long term and not quarterly results. Just to recap your theme, I have listed the companies with let's say "quarterly miss" , however, with a market over reaction to the downside. Can you add or delete other companies that fit in this category?

Thank-you for being in our investment corner.
Angelo
Read Answer Asked by Angelo on November 19, 2018
Q: Recently President Xi gave a speech indicating the intention to open up the Chinese economy, including " lowering tariffs for autos and other products and enforcing the legal intellectual property of foreign firms".These are things the Trump administration is seeking. Also in a recent dinner talk David MacNaughton indicated pressure from American farmers to reach a resolution.

Have you any thoughts on the possibility of the trade dispute being resolved and which of the 5i stocks would respond most positively?
Mike
Read Answer Asked by michael on November 19, 2018
Q: Hi Guys, my above holdings got wacked lately and was wondering if there is anything going on, from the above list should I sell anything besides WEED, are the institutions selling these companies because they think there is more to the downside? These are long term holdings are all up except for COV and KXS which I just bought before the tumble, not one of my best moves.

Thanks
Chicken Little
Read Answer Asked by Anthony on November 16, 2018
Q: Hi,

SHOP has held it's own very well wondering if it would be a good idea to reduce SHOP to small position from full position. And buy SIS, BNS, NFI or PBH..for safety and growth when the markets decide to rebound...Your thoughts and sage advice welcome.
Also I am surprised at SIS sharp drop for a small miss...Should I be taking advantage of this?

Thanks. Shyam
Read Answer Asked by Shyam on November 16, 2018
Q: Good day,
Thanks for all of your insight lately during this market volitility. Im looking at putting some new money to work in a TFSA, with no regard to sectors or diversification, what two or three companies would you be a buyer of today? Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Darby on November 16, 2018
Q: On Sept 20, SIS forecasted:
- 2018 Revenue of $285m & EBITDA of $44-45m
- 2019 Revenue of $400m & EBITDA of $60-62m

Today, SIS is forecasting...yup you guessed it... EXACTLY THE SAME.

Frustrating price action, but maybe a good thing. I'm trying to figure out if, like KXS, when their outlook hasn't changed, is this a fantastic buying opportunity or should we temper the 3-5 year timeframe enthusiasm somewhat given the macro environment.
Read Answer Asked by Darcy on November 16, 2018
Q: Good Day,
With these companies taking huge hits lately isn’t this the time to be greedy when others are fearful? Do these companies deserve full positions with a long term outlook?
Thx
Read Answer Asked by Marco on November 15, 2018
Q: I , as an investor, agree with you that no company shall be judged by its single quarter performance unless it is extremely bad . SIS after an improved performance in the last quarter compared to last year ,has been beaten to ground . The stock price has slided back to its level in Jan2017. So , in nutshell, it appears that all aquisitions and imprved performance that SIS boasts in the last 2 years at all fronts including dividend increase have no relevance. It looks as if the market and values do not follow any logic/science. Do you still think it is worth holding this stock?
Read Answer Asked by Sriram on November 15, 2018
Q: I am missing something with Savaria
Where is the big miss in the quarter. is it not expected with the acquisition of Garaventa, that the EBITDA would be affected. there 9 month numbers are up substantially, With the sell off today would you be a buyer now?
With Crius the sell seems warranted as they continue to disappoint. Are you willing to hold?
Read Answer Asked by fwb181 on November 15, 2018