Investment Q&A

Q: One source describes RBC and TD banks as having wide-moats; BNS and CM banks it describes as having narrow-moats.

Do you agree?

Is this something that someone who has a concentrated portfolio should especially heed?

All the best!

R

By the way, I really appreciate all 5i/Cdn $ Svr does. Thank you!

Q: Hi, These look a little oversold, who do you like for a full position for a the long term hold. Sector not a issue.

Q: Good Afternoon,
I have owned Killam for a while. There has been no appreciable growth or dividend increase. What is the likelihood of either happening. Would I be better off selling Killam and purchasing another stock? If so, what stock would you suggest that would offer some growth and a good dividend. There is no tax implications as I hold Killam in my TFSA.
Thanks in advance for your opinion.
|Jane

Q: Hi Peter,

Paul Holden of CIBC Capital Markets raised his recommendation of Royal Bank of Canada and National Bank of Canada to outperform. He cited their capital levels, earnings diversification, and lower relative credit risk as the basis for his favourable recommendations.

However, he acknowledged there are risks to that assumption and that central banks could overshoot by tightening too aggressively and thus tip economies into recession; or they could move too cautiously and allow stagflation to take hold.

Holden’s models show the Big Six banks, could see their Fiscal 2023 earnings per share tumble 33 and 31 percent, respectively, in the recession and stagflation scenarios.

“Canadian bank stocks are not being priced for the same economic risks that have already been incorporated into the bond market and U.S. bank stocks. We are not calling for a 2023 recession as our base case, but we cannot simply dismiss that possibility as inconsequential. Our analysis shows there could be (roughly) 30 percent downside should a recession scenario transpire,” he wrote.

Do you agree with Paul Holden’s recommendation concerning the Royal Bank and National Bank as the best of the Big Six banks to own today? Please explain your rationale.

Second, in the event of a recession or stagflation scenario in Canada, do you agree with Paul Holden’s prediction that the Big Six bank stocks will tank by about 30%? Please explain your rationale.

Thanks

George

Q: I am about a 1.5 years away from retirement. Across all my my registered portfolios I have all 5 major banks, pretty well in equal %. An independent financial advisor suggested cutting this back to 2 banks.

My question to you is can to rank these 5 banks in order of what you would consider selling?

Thank you.

Q: Currently we own MG with the purposes of collecting a dividend and getting some growth. With its current performance, we’re wondering if a RY might be a better choice with a similarly growth/dividend profile? If possible, are there any other MG substitutes (regardless of sector) that you like better?
Thank you for the fantastic product.
Mike

Q: Is not the RY a super buy right now?

Q: I would like dividends & preservation of investments for long term
which banks would you recommend?
thanks

Q: Hi, I have a 2.5% position in SCHW (down 25%) and am looking to sell while keeping exposure to the financial sector.

MKTX and CME score highly on my evaluations and others listed are pretty decent too. Curious on your thoughts on a suitable, safe replacement.

This is in my LIRA and I'm looking to hold for 10+ years (was also the case for SCHW, but I'm concerned wrt their exposure from their long term bonds).

Q: If I were to buy two bank stocks, which two are better. Thanks a lot.

Q: With AAPL offering a 4.5% savings account, do you see an affect on banks?

Q: hi group i am looking to increase my % in the 11 stocks (listed) from 2-4% can you list order and price estimate you would target assuming a mild recession Thanks for your guidance

Q: I am an income investor and hold equal weighting in all 5 big banks. I’m looking at the quite larger than normal yield spread between RY and BMO and TD and am thinking of either halving or even fully selling my RY position to add to BMO and TD. Someday when the spreads go back to being much closer, I would likely repurchase RY. Do you see anything wrong with this logic? Would you prefer one of TD or BMO for such a move? Half or full position? I’ve held RY for a long time, thus my little bit of doubt!

Q: Hello,
I have accumulated two large positions in Royal Bank and Fortis inside my TFSA, with the intent of collecting the dividend income stream throughout retirement for 25 years and then cashing them out.
I find myself needing to sell one in order to raise some cash.
Which one would YOU sell? Or sell half of each?
Thanks,
Roman

Q: 2 for 1 questions...

1- What is the average PE for the construction industry as it appears that URI misfortune may be linked to the residential slow down. What is the forward PE for URI?

2- It appears that TD is the most shorted of all banks throught the world according to Bloomberg. That's not a small statement. Having said that, would you buy now or wait for a general bank recovery?
Sorry this makes 3 questions. LOL LOL

Yves

Q: Bloomberg headline "Toronto-Dominion Becomes Biggest Bank Short With $3.7 Billion on the Line". Is this just noise or should I be concerned?
Thanks
John

Q: Hi Peter, Ryan, and Team

In your answers to other members, I’ve observed that National Bank isn’t one of your recommendation, and I’m wondering why.

Their 5 year CAGR is 9.4%. For the 3, 5, and 10 year periods, the beat their peers (BMO, CM, RY, BNS, and TD) by 6%, 6%, and 3% respectively.

Watching the negative news involving GSY, I’m considering switching it to NA. Since we’ve held GSY for some time, we’re still up quite substantially.

In our combined accounts, we also own TD, which we’ll keep.

I’d appreciate your thoughts on this proposed switch. Thanks in advance for your insight.

Q: Hi 5i, my question is on all financials impacted new taxes.

"Dividend tax change: Ottawa is planning to raise billions of dollars from banks and insurers through a change in tax rules on dividends that financial institutions receive from Canadian companies."

Can you put a guess on how this will impact investors?

Thx

Q: I sold TRUP couple weeks ago @$55 should i buy it back at present price? or wait for it to pull back more ?- do you have an opinion on why it has dropped so much

I also sold RY and TD expecting then to drop further than they have - are they a buy sell or wait for better entry

Is ATZ a screaming buy or?

What's your top 3 picks regardless of sector (US and CAD)

deduct points as you see fit thanks

Q: Hi, We own above Canadian banks, which makes up the financial sector of our portfolio.

On an YTD basis, interestingly, their performance has diverged significantly, with CM +7%, RY +2.5% and TD -9%. During past 30 days (reflecting impact of recent crisis in financial sector SVB/SB), these names have declined as follows : CM -7%, RY -8% and TD -17%. Does it mean that market is assigning higher risk to TD, relative to its peers ? Does it make one name more attractive than others, and if so why, if we wish to take advantage of the sizable decline in their share prices, and add for long term investment ?

Thank You