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Abbott Laboratories (ABT $82.56)
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Medtronic plc. (MDT $74.54)
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Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (TMO $452.60)
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iShares U.S. Medical Devices ETF (IHI $47.55)
Q: I seek your comments and perspective on iShares U.S. Medical Devices ETF - IHI. I have held IHI in a taxable account for a decade and have a taxable gain. However, it is now five years that the ETF has experienced significant stagnation. Total return over five years is negative. I am familiar with the products and services of major holdings such as Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO), and Medtronic (MDT). But these companies have faced considerable headwinds, leading to consistent underperformance relative to the broader healthcare sector and the S&P 500.
I am weighing an exit against the following factors:
- Fundamental Quality: The underlying companies seem to possess moats and, theoretically, remain excellent businesses. Your thoughts?
- Macro Tailwinds: Worldwide demographic shifts and an aging population seem to provide a long-term structural advantage for the medical device industry. Your opinion?
- Timing: I am concerned about cashing out just before recovery or "take-off" for high-quality names held in the ETF. ( I seem skilled in selling only to see shares increase in valuations by 25% or more).
Given the current technical and fundamental landscape, in your opinion, is a holding period of 12 to 18 months likely to reward continued patience? Does the "thesis/technical divergence" we’ve seen in these large-cap medical device names suggest a turnaround is imminent, or is the opportunity cost of holding IHI still too high compared to other growth or value catalysts in the market?
I look forward to your insights on whether the narrative justifies remaining patient with this ETF.
:ao:
I am weighing an exit against the following factors:
- Fundamental Quality: The underlying companies seem to possess moats and, theoretically, remain excellent businesses. Your thoughts?
- Macro Tailwinds: Worldwide demographic shifts and an aging population seem to provide a long-term structural advantage for the medical device industry. Your opinion?
- Timing: I am concerned about cashing out just before recovery or "take-off" for high-quality names held in the ETF. ( I seem skilled in selling only to see shares increase in valuations by 25% or more).
Given the current technical and fundamental landscape, in your opinion, is a holding period of 12 to 18 months likely to reward continued patience? Does the "thesis/technical divergence" we’ve seen in these large-cap medical device names suggest a turnaround is imminent, or is the opportunity cost of holding IHI still too high compared to other growth or value catalysts in the market?
I look forward to your insights on whether the narrative justifies remaining patient with this ETF.
:ao: