Investment Q&A

Q: Internal Damage?

When companies go through a major drop from their 52 week high (TSGI -60%, SIS -41%, GRUB-51%, NVDA-53%, KXS-35%) What kind of internal damage is created? I'm thinking employee moral, to stock options, to the ability to finance future growth? Other items? It's very tempting to continue to average down (although my dry powder is getting low) but when a company loses 40%-50% of it's value is it the same company anymore? Or is buying something like a Microsoft (down only 11%) a more prudent investment? (i.e. it hasn't breached a point of internal damage)

My holding period is very long, but I'm wondering if the current steep discounts currently are somewhat false illusions...

Q: Peter and Team:
At this time of tax loss selling and general carnage, what would be your top 3 picks from the balance portfolio to add to regardless of sector.

Thanks

Phil

Q: Hi 5i,
Can I have your opinion on averaging down on these in the current climate, say in the next few days,. Without regard for weightings,risk profile etc, could you rank them in order that you would chip away at them?
Thanks

Q: i think this is the stock you are asked more questions than any other, pretty impressive stuff with 4 insiders including
ceo buying fairly large positions in their stock at the end of november at prices 5 dollars higher than where we are today. your comments. dave

Q: Hi Peter,
Please deduct as many credits as you see fit. I have some losers (some big) as per below:

Margin account
CLIQ down 52%
PHO down 37%
MX down 20%
TFII down 23%
ECN down 13%
NFI down 11%

TFSA
GUD down 17%
CLS down 20%
DOL down 38%
TSGI down 47%

RRSP
DOO down 43%
COV down 26%

Here are my questions.
1- Should I claim the capital loss with CLIQ and PHO and repurchase in 30 days?
2- Are there any names there that I should just sell and move on to something else? What would be your top 3 replacements for the removed names in that case?
3- My initial thought was to inject new money in CLIQ, PHO, DOL, TSGI, DOO and COV to bring these names back to my initial weight. Would this be a good move in your opinion?
These names are part of a diversified portfolio and don’t need the funds for another 10 years minimum.
Much appreciate your service. Your responses to this market volatility have kept me from panicking as I did in 2008. I thank you for that.

Q: Further to my question and that of Marios, I tend to agree that when a stock continues to fall as it has, one does get concerned that something is happening that we do not know about. Perhaps poker popularity is diminishing or perhaps debt reduction is not being taken seriously enough?
Based on your analysis of the company what are your projected revenues/ their forecasted this year and the next? Has the company made any comments/projections regarding how internet gambling is trending? Also you mentioned their debt levels. Has debt been increasing this year and are there any tangible signs that the company has plans to reduce the debt load.? What have they said in their conference calls regarding the industry and their plans to cope with their debt levels? Do they have the cash flow that would allow debt reduction?
It seems obvious that the market is concerned about something re this company. When I see a company trading at about 10 times next year's expected earnings and people continue to sell the shares day after day then one starts to question the validity of the projections and their ability to continue as a viable company with excessive debt! Not too long ago there was a drug company with all kinds of rosy projections that fell to junk status from very lofty levels. And debt, I seem to recall was an issue. Hopefully we do not have a similar situation with TSGI?!

Q: An analyst from Citi has warned that “debt service ratios for non-financial firms” in Canada are very high, and a crisis is possible within a year. Is it safe to assume that none of the companies you recommend would have any trouble servicing their debt (TSGI, SIS, PBH, COV, TOY, etc)? Do any prominent names come to mind which might be at risk? Thanks for your thoughts.

Q: Perhaps the relentless selling down of tsgi is a result of an unpleasant ruling on the Kentucky lawsuit forth coming?? How does your evaluation work based on worse case senario??
Regards.

Q: I have a small position in shop with a very nice profit I am pondering selling it to add to tsgi gsy and kxs averaging down on these 3. the shop position is to small to sell half. what are your thoughts on selling shop and proceeding?
Thks
M

Q: Not really a question but more of a ‘ feet on the street ‘ observation. The Americans are CRAZY about their sports and like to gamble.
Am going to buy some TSGI with next year’s TFSA contribution.

Q: Which of the above three stocks would you recommend purchasing for a three year investment? I hold DOO and am down substantially. Thank You.

Q: Lots of uneasiness and questions on TSGI it seems. I believe it has been consistently referenced as a company that you expect good upside from after tax loss selling. Is it still your view that it holds lots of upside potential or is the continued slide enough to shift your advice from possible buy to a hold/sell?

Q: According to a Morningstar report, year to date earnings per share are negative; yet another report I saw seems to contradict this. What do you see as this year's EPS?
Also what is your current projection for earnings over the next two years? And what are possible events that could affect your estimates either up or down?

Q: Something is not right here. A company doesn't drop 55% in a few months and continues to drop almost daily without a reason. Something is happening behind the scenes that is causing this.

Q: I bought back in to tsgi around 23.00, took a large position , good news on nba, but stock csnnot catch a bid even in an up market, so is something going on i am missing, is it their debt or something else, tax loss selling company seems to be doing everything right. Dave

Q: Hi 5i!
Pretty tepid reaction to yesterday's news. Even on today's broad market bounce, the stock doesn't seem to get any traction, holding barely into positive territory. And after a 50%+ fall from its june high, what are your thoughts on such negativity on TSGI? Has the fundamentals changes this much in 5-6 months? In hindsight, this feels like such a fad...

Anyways, thanks for 2018 and a Happy Holidays to all of you folks at 5i !!!

Q: My weightings in each of the listed companies is less than 2.5%. I wish to eliminate some and build up others to the 2.5% level. What are the strongest candidates to keep and what are the weakest candidates to get rid of. As always, I appreciate your responses. RAM

Q: With this mornings announcement that TSGI has been chosen as 'an' Operating Gaming Agent for the NBA it seems like the right time to buy the stock or do you expect more tax loss selling to continue and therefore one should wait until after Dec 27th?

Q: NBA Announces The Stars Group as Authorized Gaming Operator of the League
https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/nba-announces-the-stars-group-as-authorized-gaming-operator-of-the-league-702474011.html

Q: I have significant losses on above names in my TFSA (Loss, Allocation, My Avg Price):
TSGI -49.20% , 7.10% , $49.48
WCP -47.83% , 1.70%, $. 8.70
WEF - 30.85% , 2.3 % , $. 2.62
NFI. -30.30% , 2.8 % , $. 51.81
PBH. -28.23% , 5.0% , $11.46
Other names in TFSA well diversified based on 5i Balanced portfolio with losses under 10% and some with gains.
Would you recommend buy to average down or any other changes.

Thanks in advance for your valuable advice