Q: I wonder if you could comment on an article by Ian McGugan in the Wednesday August 11, 2021 Globe & Mail. Entitled “Investors in CP, CN should make sure they’re ready for a bumpy ride”, his piece points out a potential “nightmare scenario” in the battle for Kansas City Southern (KCS); namely, that if the CN offer is preferred by KCS shareholders, and if CN is granted the voting trust arrangement by the STB (Surface Transportation Board), BUT if ultimately the takeover is rejected by STB, then CN would need to dispose of their KCS shares (which CN paid a lot of money for) at “fire sale” prices. McGugan points out that the market cap of KCS has risen by some US$14 billion during this CP/CN takeover battle (which gives some idea of the potential price deflation); and given that CNR has an (approx.) market cap of US$80 billion, this implies a quite substantial hit to CN’s stock value, if this adverse scenario plays out. As a shareholder in CN (and CP as well), I wonder what your thoughts are on all of this.
Ted
Ted