Q: Hi Peter,
Thank you for your answer. I would appreciate it if you could answer the second part of my question as well.
"Q: Hi Peter,
I have a question about Nvidia’s proposed $100 billion investment in OpenAI. From my understanding, the funds will be used to purchase Nvidia’s own GPUs. How should investors interpret this circular funding in terms of valuation integrity and long-term sustainability? Does it raise red flags about inflated revenue or distorted market signals? Considering the deep entanglement between Nvidia, OpenAI, and Microsoft, at what point does this trio resemble a functional monopoly in the AI ecosystem? If it walks and quacks like a duck, it is a duck! Is it time for regulators or competitors like Google and AMD to step in and balance the power? I doubt the government knows or will to do anything. I would love to hear your perspective.
Best,
Matt
5i Research Answer:
Certainly NVDA is trying to tie up the ecosystem, that we are fairly sure of. It wants to control the datacentre market, which of course means a captured market for its GPUs. It is a virtous cycle (invest in a company, it buys chips, sells out space in its datacentre, and gets cash flow to buy more space). However it does rely on incremental demand, and this could be a problem. CRWV, for example, is using debt for much of its funding, and this could certainly backfire when demand slows. For now, it is an arms race, though, with insatiable demand requiring massive funding. NVDA has the ability to fund these companies. However, it does not have $100B sitting around. It will come over time (the deal right now is just a letter of intent). NVDA has said that, in a $10B data centre, as an example, it would sell about $3B of GPUs to it. It is not quite a 100% 'selling to itself' as some believe. But it is a circular event, and some accuse NVDA of essentially funding sales to itself. It is more than this, but does carry risks. "
Best,
Matt
Thank you for your answer. I would appreciate it if you could answer the second part of my question as well.
"Q: Hi Peter,
I have a question about Nvidia’s proposed $100 billion investment in OpenAI. From my understanding, the funds will be used to purchase Nvidia’s own GPUs. How should investors interpret this circular funding in terms of valuation integrity and long-term sustainability? Does it raise red flags about inflated revenue or distorted market signals? Considering the deep entanglement between Nvidia, OpenAI, and Microsoft, at what point does this trio resemble a functional monopoly in the AI ecosystem? If it walks and quacks like a duck, it is a duck! Is it time for regulators or competitors like Google and AMD to step in and balance the power? I doubt the government knows or will to do anything. I would love to hear your perspective.
Best,
Matt
5i Research Answer:
Certainly NVDA is trying to tie up the ecosystem, that we are fairly sure of. It wants to control the datacentre market, which of course means a captured market for its GPUs. It is a virtous cycle (invest in a company, it buys chips, sells out space in its datacentre, and gets cash flow to buy more space). However it does rely on incremental demand, and this could be a problem. CRWV, for example, is using debt for much of its funding, and this could certainly backfire when demand slows. For now, it is an arms race, though, with insatiable demand requiring massive funding. NVDA has the ability to fund these companies. However, it does not have $100B sitting around. It will come over time (the deal right now is just a letter of intent). NVDA has said that, in a $10B data centre, as an example, it would sell about $3B of GPUs to it. It is not quite a 100% 'selling to itself' as some believe. But it is a circular event, and some accuse NVDA of essentially funding sales to itself. It is more than this, but does carry risks. "
Best,
Matt