Investment Q&A

Q: I am holding a half position in AMD- registered account. what would you suggest - average down, hold or sell?? Since I am over 90, a really long hold may not be of much interest. thanks Jim

Q: I have seen some people recommanding AMD over the last week. With ATH at 227 and now 127, its a big correction and probably some tax loss harvesting. Can you explain the drop in share price?

Stock looks cheaper than Nvidia, but its not really cheaper either at 38x eps and still trading higher than its 10 years average.

Would you consider to start a long term position at this level?

What would be an attrative price?

Q: Hi 5i Team.

I have some names in my TFSA account such as ATD, ATX and ENGH (and maybe some others) that are laggers and would like to move out of them and into something with potentially higher returns.
I also own the other names mentioned above.
What are your thoughts and could you recommend 3 to 5 Canadian and/or US names with the reasons and entry points.
also own NVDA that has grown to a huge percentage of the account.
I know that I should sell some but it has been such a great performer.


Thank you
Joe

Q: Good Day,

I, like many 5i folks, have enjoyed a sizable run up on NVDA. It is now the largest company in the world, north of 3.5T. Now that we are this size, is it safe to say that it is unlikely it will double within the 18-24 month 'safe window'? From here, a Double makes it approx 14-15% of the entire US Stock market (google says it's currently about 54T).

Now that many AI models are advancing/pushing focus to the next stages, inference, etc, and with MSFT working with AMD on a chip for such, and those chips also requiring HBM3 memory, would there be an argument for managin ones NVDA position down to a more normal size, IE not overly overweight, and picking up positions in AMD and MU, for example?

I know that NVDA is optimally positioned to capitalize, with excellent margins, market share, etc, but at this size, I feel like NVDA losing even 5% market share would be punished, even though it would still have the lions share. But if AMD took that 5%, that would be a significant increase for it and could precipitate it being the next T market cap with a bit of momentum.

What are your thoughts on this type of logic? Are their other companies you think have a better chance of doubling in the coming year or 2?

Thanks for everything,

James

Q: Hi Team,
I am a bit perplexed about why the last couple days NVDA has been trending down after earnings releases such as Meta, GOOG, Msft which all seem to show massive spending on AI. You would think this will translate into high demand for NVDA chips which hopefully will bold well for NVDA earnings. Any thoughts on the outlook here for NVDA earnings estimates? I assume the correct answer as usual will be to hold the stock into earnings. I am also surprised Meta and Msft are dropping after great earnings.

Thanks,
Shane.

Q: AMD shares fell over 15%, apparently due to the company issuing forecasts that were noticeably lower than analysts’’ expectations. I bought AMD close to highs and have a substantial loss in a non-registered account. I thought I could harvest the very large tax loss and buy back after 30 days. However, given the company’s respectable record, wide moat (good products that are expected to stay in demand) shares could easily surge in a month or two in amounts higher than any tax-deduction benefit one might realize. I would appreciate your views on the short-term likelihood of AMD shares making a quick recovery. Due to my own biases, I am likely mis-calculating the risk-reward equation.

AMD’s financial results were good vs. estimates. Management gave credible answers and logical comments in the earnings call (although Lisa Su , CEO, did give self-contradictory remarks in media interviews). Although AMD is far behind NVDA , would you agree that its research and development is such that it will produce, after 2025, chips that will compete extremely well? Wishful thinking on my part ? The above is a leading question, so I would appreciate your thoughts independent of my preconceptions. :ao:sab

Q: In sports when teams are considering firing a coach the question is often asked, is there a better replacement before you pull the trigger? While I am not about to "fire" NVDA I am overweight (6.5%) and have trimmed it 4 times. Question is, what do I replace it with that looks like it has better future growth potential in this segment?

Q: Hello Peter,
Is there a reason by First Solar is declining daily? Given investor activism and potential of Qualcomm showing interest, is Intel a good bet right now? Thanks very much

Q: Hi,
I reviewed Q&A on INTC post "melt down"! I can understand your words of caution.

My question is based on a recent comment by a guest on BNN Bloomberg (Mark Sebastien) who said that INTC's fabrication unit alone is worth 22$. With QCOM and hedge funds circling around and the technical pattern indicating the possibility of island gap reversal, worth taking a small position for a quick 20-30% profit?
(22 to 30$ jump).

Am I dreaming or being delusional?!

Q: I am presently down 61% on SMCI . What do you think of this company and is it a sell or hold ? I also hold QCOM, but not under on this one. Any thoughts on this one ?
LRCX , I'm down 17%, the chart looks good on it .Sell or hold ? If I were to sell any of them, please give me 5 choices of stocks in the same categories. Thanks guys.

Q: I have some cash in my TFSA and would like to add to one of my smaller holdings - AMD, VRT, AXON, LMN. Would you be able to rank in which order you would add? Thanks!

Q: Follow Up from my recent question.

A couple questions weren't answered, but can the following one be addressed?

4. AMD. Is it worth holding the 2nd fiddle? Would it be better used in something in 1st in a different space? like AVGO or QCOM?

With your answer to SMCI from my previous question, do you have an idea based on multiples, etc that you could see an achievable price target at for 12 months?

And Finally, the last couple weeks have been ROUGH. In the other answers I've seen you mention issues with the Election, Recession fears, and just general fear with earnings coming. Are we in for a rougher ride? I know that not being invested for the few key days in a period of time drastically reduces total returns over a period, but do you foresee one of those key days coming say, by the end of the year? Would it be prudent for an investor in times like these to say, go to say 25, 50, or 75% cash? Which?

I picked up PRL and ASPN after your response to mine and other questions, and am 10 and 20% down. Did I jump the gun? Worth going to a full position in the current turbulence? Or is it worth a steadier broad market etf or energy Utility until things calm down?

Q: Sold 1/2 my portfolio (except CSU, TOI, LMN) at the end of August. First week into Sept and I'm looking smart. While I think it's still too early, when and how do I get back into market? Holdings (some sold out in August) include AMZN, META, NVDA, AMD, VRT, BN, SHOP, AXON, SNPS, NOVT, GOOG, NU, ELF.

Q: This is not a question, but a comment related to the question about CDR's. I bought the AMD CDR. Just before AMD's earnings, I tried to put a stop limit on my holding, and was told by the bank (RBC) that stop limits are not possible for CDR's, so that may be one other disadvantage.

Q: Good Day,

I redid my portfolio early this year based on much of your feedback. And of those picks, Every single one of them was up, most significantly so, at least once, since that time. Some have returned/fell below those buy levels.

1. DRX, HPS, LMN and VRT, seem to have consolidated up a healthy amount, do these appear to be new support levels from which they'll continue to grow? Still Aces in your books?

2. SMCI is furthest from this years high, what are the main barriers it would have to reaching that high again in the coming year? In your opinion is it likely to get there within 12-18months?

3. NXT, CELH, CDNS, DCBO, and ATS all went significantly up, and almost as precipitously down. They seem to languish. I doubled down (half to full) on CELH on the first big drop in April, which seemed worth it in May, but less so now. Do you have faith in these names still? Is their prospect for growth still the same as it was in February? Are there new names in this Growth profile (or what is was in February) that you are more confident in? With your suggestions here, please rank them with these names from highest to lowest prospects/confidence.

4. AMD. Is it worth holding the 2nd fiddle? Would it be better used in something in 1st in a different space? like AVGO or QCOM?

5. DIS. Been very up and down on this half position. Worth going to a full at this point, or would you want to see the ship righted a bit more before increasing? Would you sell a Disney holding?

AMZN, GOOG, NVDA, TVK, DRX, POWL, TCS and CROX all doing their thing for me :), suggestions other than these please.

Thanks for all you do! Please take however many credits you need.

Q: I’ve heard that data centre spending between now and 2030 will fall into three buckets: CPUs, Ai accelerators, and infrastructure, where CPUs are the slowest growing segment. Do you agree with that framework, and if so, could you briefly explain the difference between these three areas and recommend the best companies in each? Thank you.

Q: Do you think it likely that we are at or near the bottom for this correction in the tech stocks?/ Of MSFT, GOOG, AMD, which would you prefer and are any or all definite buys?? Thanks Jim

Q: Can you give a quick opinion on each of the above stocks at this time for long term positions in the AI and robotic sectors?

Is there a good ETF that invests in the AI and robotic sectors to consider?

Q: Just read a very interesting artice by Tony Seba regarding his prediction of a humanoid disruption in the not too distant future where robots and AI repalce much of the labour market, starting with more basic functions and developing into more complex. He believes its not as far off as we may think. He believes this to be of critical importance for the success of countries moving forward. Thoughts on his theme? Which individual companies do you think may benefit from a prediction such as his, as well as are their ETFs which invest in a basket of such companies (both AI and robotic)?

Q: Hi 5i Team,
If you can only buy one of them, Broadcom and AMD, which one would you prefer?