Q: I want to examine a severe geopolitical scenario and identify potential economic beneficiaries. If heightened geopolitical tensions—say, related to Venezuela—were perceived as creating conditions where China might move against Taiwan, this could disrupt the semiconductor supply chain, particularly affecting TSMC's advanced chip production. I'm anticipating major impacts: NVIDIA's valuation would likely plummet, AI development would face significant setbacks, and chip manufacturing might shift toward Samsung or Intel. AI data center construction and operations would be severely disrupted, hurting related infrastructure companies. In such a scenario, are there any sectors or companies that might actually benefit?"

Q: I had a small position in Intel which doubled in very short time.
It seemed like a falling knife when we bought in but now there are supportive indicators.

What is your opinion on it ?
Would you add more on further weaknesses if you held a partial position or sell and run ?

Q: Hi,

I asked a question on July 31 re Intel - would your analysis change with the investment by US government and Nvidia.