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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Although experts appear to need to constantly leave some measures of doubt, there are overwhelming signs a lot of these massive swings are electronically induced and some forms of ETFs the catalysts with the wishing hour all too predictable. I also find indigenous how clear calculations are presented to how each 1/4% rise means important profits to some industries but when it comes to those which are hurt, no hard numbers only a herd response of bad and avoid! Are not rising rates a sign of a better economy? Consider the avoid list: Electricity and heating, rents, telco bills they do not rise? Fundamentally, is not the formula I/R =V? So only the" R" is going up and the "I" at banks? Are analysts raising/ reducing their target prices on interest sensitive stocks while their prices are falling precipitously and yields rise close to typical average market returns over an extended period? It may be coming but any recent published downgrades I have access to are not sounding loud alarm bells or screaming "FIRE"!

Odd, overtime US TV specials on what is occurring and one of the how to protect yourself go toes is to consider the fundamentals of the stocks you own? It sounds good but to be polite very misguided momentum thinking stills seems to override any sense of good basic underwriting principles. How surprising, currently at the top of the BUY list by the experts putting their two cents in: Invest in companies that benefit from high volume trades! Well that is where the momentum is clearly positive!

Do I have a question? Actually yes, are there ways or signals to indicate the factors which are causing such volatility have burned themselves out and the shakeout over? Values which actually represent investing opportunities? It may be sound cynical but is there any hope of getting back to some resemblance of investing where fundamentals rather than financially engineered products are the real catalysts ruling markets or should we expect one calamity to the next ? Clearly no person can compete with AI programmed responses that override all else!

It would seem due diligence by doing your homework is no longer at the top of making a decent return and more importantly keeping it. Things do not only go in one direction, that is understandable but, what is currently going on, certainly cannot enhance the US system or its markets which again seems at the root of the problem impacting many, if not all markets!

Any insights you wish to make would be gratefully appreciated. Thank you.

Mike

Read Answer Asked by Michael on February 12, 2018
Q: HI Team,
Just wanted to put ESP on the radar once again.. on Feb 7 they announced a deal with a television provider that has a million+ subscribers. This new contract along with EastLink and the other smaller contract wins, have not yet been adequately reflected in the share price. Penderfund owns 15% of the company. Year end numbers could still be weak, but I think the Outlook is fairly positive given the recent wins. Your updated comments are appreciated.
Cheers,
Read Answer Asked by Ryan on February 12, 2018
Q: I have a question about bond yields and interest rates. I just read an article on marketwatch saying that the 10 year bond yield "has an effect on all parts of the economy, as it influences everything from borrowing costs for the smallest and biggest companies, to rates for fixed and adjustable mortgages, car loans and credit cards".

I think i understand how it impacts borrowing costs (firms that need to issue new debt have to pay more?) but I thought the fed rate is what influences the prime rate which effects adjustable mortgages and other loans.

I understand that a higher yield on bonds makes some stocks less attractive in comparison (like dividend stocks) but i don't get how the 10 year bond yield is so important/scary for the market.

Could you please explain?
Read Answer Asked by Arthur on February 12, 2018
Q: I'm interested in GSY and I notice you've been giving it some more praise lately as a good option of a beaten up stock. When doing my own DD I find it looks very good on many metrics but it always has negative cash flow and many years has negative ROIC, both of which at first glance would deter me from this stock. I'm sure this is due to the fact they are loaning out money or something along those lines but can you help me understand this? Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Adam on February 12, 2018
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