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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Good day,
I own NVDA, which is down quite a bite, as is the case with all tech stocks. However, I came across this report in Entrepeneur which I thought was worrisome. Now, I know nothing about this magazine. I'm wondering if you might comment on it. I noted that you did answer a question on November 23 that partially addressed these issues.

"For the fiscal 2023 third quarter ended October 30, 2022, NVDA’s revenue declined 16.5% year-over-year to $5.93 billion, and its gross profit fell 31.4% year-over-year to $3.18 billion. Its total operating expenses increased 31.4% from the year-ago value to $2.58 billion, while its non-GAAP operating income declined 54.6% year-over-year to $1.54 billion.

In addition, NVDA’s non-GAAP net income and non-GAAP EPS decreased 51% and 50.4% from the previous year’s quarter to $1.46 billion and $0.58, respectively.

In terms of forward EV/Sales, NVDA is currently trading at 13.43x, 420.8% higher than the industry average of 2.58x. Its forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 58.10 is 364.6% higher than the industry average of 12.51. In addition, its forward Price/Sales ratio of 13.47 is 429.4% higher than the industry average of 2.54.

Analysts expect NVDA’s EPS to decline 39.3% year-over-year to $0.80 for the fourth quarter (ending January 2023). Its revenue estimate of $6.02 billion for the current quarter is expected to decline 21.2% year-over-year."

Thank you for all your excellent work.
Read Answer Asked by jeff on January 09, 2023
Q: Hi and Happy New Year!
question 1: We've managed to get through 2022 with about 25% cash on hand and are starting to deploy it now. Mostly choosing dividend paying stocks that are in the favoured industries (defense and industrial) at the moment, but also looking at some long term holdings that are below water in registered accounts, such as GOOG. I know you're not fans of adding just because a stock is down, but would GOOG be an exception, given it's moat, cash flow, etc? I am guessing it needs to confirm a double bottom, possibly get back above 95.00 in order to look like it might be turning. Would that be a plan, or is it time to just buy it now? Growth investor, able to withstand higher risk. Own AAPL, MSFT, and sadly still holding CRWD.

Question 2: is the recent downgrade on MSFT reflected accurately in the price, or has that been overdone, do you think? The downgrade by UBS indicated a shift to neutral with a target to 250 or so, I think.

Thanks for the infinite patience you exhibited over the past, very difficult year!

Dawn
Read Answer Asked by Dawn on January 09, 2023
Q: I've been looking at investing in one of the FAANG's + Microsoft. Some I don't find attractive despite their fairly attractive valuations:

Amazon - poor outlook

Apple - China production

Google -perhaps lower ad revenue near term, and it's such a large part of their business model.

Meta - uncertain future after change in business model.

I guess the above are cheaper for a reason. Would you see reason for optimism on any of the above?

I like MSFT and NVDA but can't get past current valuations. NVDA in particular looks attractive. AI seems to be a major disruptor going forward and it appears to me that NVDA has a moat in some parts of the AI world. Would you feel that it has the most avenues for growth too compared to the others ? How quickly can it grow into its current P/E, P/C and P/B valuations? They seemed so much more reasonable 10 years ago.
Read Answer Asked by James on January 09, 2023
Q: Hello 5i Team
I have a very small total combined position in the above 4 stocks , I have no concerns at this time.
Would there be better risk reward in so other stocks in 2023 ? Let me know your thoughts?
Thanks
Read Answer Asked by claudio on January 06, 2023
Q: As I recall in early 2022, prior to the stock split, 5i research said GOOG was the best bet in the big tech space, with lots of cash and good financials. For longer term potential, where to you see GOOG now compared to MSFT, APPL, AMZN etc?
Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Grant on January 06, 2023
Q: I heard today that Meta announced (rather quietly) that they will be diluting shareholders by printing $425M more shares to give employees in SBC to try to keep them after the big price drop over the last while. I was continuing to hold META because I think it still has a decent shot at growing in some of its rev streams and the metaverse could be successful for them. But this dilution irks me more than the the price drop. What are your thoughts on this? Do you see this as being more of a reason to maybe exit a position in META?
Read Answer Asked by Adam on January 06, 2023
Q: I have no Healthcare companies in my portfolio. What names are you presently recommending; Canadian and/or US $. Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Gerry on January 05, 2023
Q: Happy New Year to the 5i crew. A question regarding EXLS, it's had a very nice climb since early 2020 and has more than tripled. The PB and PS look reasonable for a growth company but the PCF looks quite high. Is there more gas in the tank over the next 1-2 years?
Read Answer Asked by Stefan on January 05, 2023
Q: A recent Financial Post article stated larger-cap, profitable and good cash flow stocks will be the place to invest in 2023. Would you please suggest 5 Canadian & 5 U.S companies that meet those conditions. Thanks … Cal
Read Answer Asked by cal on January 05, 2023
Q: I had asked a question about a year ago about companies of interest for EV investing and I had not mentioned WBX but your answer came back as ranking it #2 out for 4 companies. Since then it has tanked more than 80%. Could you update your opinion on this company and share your insights of why it has faired worse than the others despite your ranking,
Read Answer Asked by Denis on January 04, 2023
Q: Thanks to the 5i team for all the great work amongst a very tough 2022! I wish you and yours all the very best for the new year.

I really appreciated and learnt a lot from the various indices/metrics that you used in your market update emails, especially circling back in the most recent one to update the trends. Looking at the various indexes you explored last year, it made me wonder if there was an index or metric that tracked digital advertising to look at trends through time (e.g., have things bottomed and more are spending on digital advertising). As a holder of companies like Google, Digital Turbine, and The Trading Desk, I am interested to know if there is an index/metric out there to follow trends in digital advertising. If there is, could you use it to suggest what the general status of digital advertising is and how it might help inform adding to positions of GOOG, APPS, TTD, and others (if you have higher conviction names to suggest).

Thanks so much for all you do and wishing everyone a strong investment year in 2023.
Read Answer Asked by Justin on January 04, 2023