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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Canadian Natural Gas producers seem wildly undervalued (to me anyway...) Checking my thesis here: Natural Gas netbacks are showing 40% increases over last year, and 2020 was almost 80% higher than 2019. Carbon sequestration makes maximum sense as an alternative revenue stream, and it appears at least one company (AAV) is doing just that. Valuation multiples remain very low (which is fine if one is going to invest) but it remains puzzling to me. Am I missing something? Or are all hydrocarbon stocks being re-rated (lower) due to ESG concerns? Are O&G stocks the new "Tobacco" stocks (this reference may dates me somewhat...) Any high level thoughts here to help me in decision making?

Read Answer Asked by David on April 23, 2021

Q: The above stocks had good upward movement on Friday and wondering if was in response to aav report on carbon neutral technology ? Your thoughts for the future of this for aav and the natural gas industry? aav a buy?

Read Answer Asked by kenneth on April 05, 2021

Q: What are your top 3 stock recommendations right now for purchase of Canadian energy companies predominately focused on natural gas exploration and production (ie. producers, not mid-stream players, and natural gas focus more so than oil). What is your rationale for each? Long term focus, dividend would be nice but not required.
Thanks - really appreciate all your good advice.

Read Answer Asked by Brad on February 12, 2021

Q: Hi esteemed analysts of 5i. Love your work and advice.
Now that natural gas prices seem to be moving upward lately, can you suggest which of these 3 gas producers in Western Canada would be the best choice for buying today, and why?

Read Answer Asked by hank on February 08, 2021

Q: May I please have three or four junior/intermediate gas producers that will benefit from the Kitimat LNG project if/when in is operational in 2023?
With appreciation.

Read Answer Asked by Ed on January 19, 2021

Q: Can you tell me which stock is currently cheaper to buy and the price metric you rely on: Birchcliff or Keyera? I would like to get exposure to natural gas sector and based on Q&A these two companies seem to be your current favourites. Are there other significant differences between the two to factor in? thanks again - John C

Read Answer Asked by john on January 15, 2021

Q: It appears that natural gas is the coming into favor over oil in Western canada. ie power plants in Alta and the lng pipeline to Kitimat. Your thoughts on the stocks that will have upside in this sector. Arx, bir, aav, key, tou, aav, come to mind. Your thoughts

Read Answer Asked by kenneth on December 17, 2020

Q: On the supply side, dry gas prices are low and drilling activity has been scaled way back (storage is full to the brim).

On the demand side, the potential for a cold winter on the coasts, increased adoption of EV, conversion of coal to gas, vaccine driven Covid economic recovery, etc.

It looks like there's potential for a pinch in the market on the price of gas. If that was the case (I'd like to hear your thoughts on that), what companies would see the most positive response in share price?

Read Answer Asked by Robert on December 11, 2020

Q: I have both in my RRIF. BIR has moved very well last 2 weeks and I am making small amount of money. Still down with TOU . Should I keep both for time being, have held them for quite a while. I could put the money in another stock, or top up TOU for dividend.With topaz starting maybe TOU would increase DIV sometime in future. Tks for helping in past

Read Answer Asked by Guy on October 21, 2020

Q: 1. what is your 1-2yr prospect for natural gas price?
2. what are your top 5 suggestions for Canadian publicly listed companies that are pure conventional natural gas plays?

my reasoning for conventional natural gas is we can't rely on unreliable and difficult to store 'green energy' to supply all our needs and there is much less by-product natural gas from fracking for oil. As well, liquid natural gas imports into Canada/US from other countries results in a loss during compression/decompression stage along with difficult transport in specialized tankers - it makes more sense to produce in North America for local consumption doesn't it?

A related queston is what do you speculate the price of natural gas will be for the next 1-5 years?

Read Answer Asked by Neelesh on September 08, 2020