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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Interested to purchase mid-cap oil companies. I have narrowed down to the following: NVA, HWX, CJ, KEL and TVE. Please provide opinions and/or rankings for the five oil stocks.
Read Answer Asked by Ernie on January 09, 2022
Q: The listed oil and gas companies comprise a 4% weight in my portfolios. I have been dying in oil and gas for about a decade. However, not counting the capital losses I have taken over the years, the current portfolio of legacy and new acquistions is miraculously above water. I have promised myself to never again be so exposed to the world's most manipulated commodity. If I'm going to folow though on this self-promise I need to think about liquidating some of these positions. Question: in what order would you take down these positions?
Best wishes for 2022. David
Read Answer Asked by David on January 03, 2022
Q: Please take as many question credits
you need to fully answer this. I would like growth and reasonably safe stocks. I have losses in all of these; should I sell and take the loss? Hold as they are likely to recover in next 6--12 months? Thanks. Helen
Read Answer Asked by Helen on October 05, 2020
Q: I think this question may be more about financial statement understanding, or oil & gas reporting specialization, than investment, so it may be beyond the scope of what you can advise?
Kelt's most recent quarterly report includes a $260 million impairment charge on their assets ("CGU") -- that magnitude is huge and is the lions share of their (huge) quarterly costs and loss.
Are you able to provide any explanation or further information about this transaction?

Unrelated, I see today's large insider purchase -- looks like a substantial vote of confidence?

(I have a tiny piece of KEL in my TFSA)
Read Answer Asked by Lotar on September 18, 2020
Q: Hello 5i, I purchased these stocks at a much higher (higher) price. As we approach tax loss selling , which ones are worth keeping? and which ones sell now?
Thanks for your great service.
Carlo
Read Answer Asked by Carlo on August 31, 2020
Q: Hello 5i, I have a 5% position in each of above companies and I am down over 40%. I am prepared to be patient for another 8-12 months, but with WCS selling per barrel at less than the price of a beer, will these companies survive? what is their debt to equity ratio? Is it time to bail out now? depending on your assessment which one would you consider safe to keep?
Thanks and be well!
Carlo
Read Answer Asked by Carlo on April 13, 2020
Q: In a relatively prolonged and deep recession,for each grouping of companies,please list in order from least likely to most likely to go bankrupt.
Group One:KEL,NVA,BIR
Group Two:STC,QST,WELL,XBC,GRN
Thanks.

Read Answer Asked by maurice on March 27, 2020
Q: In light of the likely prospect that the economic effects of the corona virus will get worse, I am looking to reduce my over-weight position in the energy sector... please rank the four companies in terms of financial resilience to a significant drop in the price of oil. I know BIR is mostly natural gas and not sure how it would be affected. Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Michael on February 27, 2020
Q: In a recent answer to a question on an oil company, you mentioned that it is hard to be optimistic on a company if you don't like the management team. So my question is, which of the management teams in the oil sector would you want to align yourself with, and why? Alternatively, which of the management teams would you not align yourself with? Please deduct as many credits as necessary to fully answer my question. Thank You.
Read Answer Asked by dean on November 22, 2019
Q: I have the following loss that I can claim as a tax loss- wef = 44% - usa=31% - shop=18% - meg=14% - lspd=16% - Kel=40% gud 30%. My question is there any of these stocks that have any chance they will recover before the 30 buy back period expires? I would hate to sell them and then watch them recover more that the loss that is claimable?- appreciate your thoughts
Read Answer Asked by Terence on November 21, 2019
Q: Good Morning 5i,

So on this fine Friday long weekend morning, I'd like to pick the brains of people who've "been there and done that" much longer and more successfully than I, and have seen some things in the financial world first hand that I have not.

I want your opinion on oil and gas. Are we not watching one of these classic "blood in the streets" scenarios you always read about as investors and wish you'd had the fortitude to plug your nose and dive in? The shares of almost every publicly traded company in the space are being thrown away for nothing. The good ones, the bad ones, the ones making money, the ones losing money, good balance sheets, bad balance sheets - it's almost irrelevant. If they're in the space they're being slaughtered.

So if the thesis is:

a) it will take a lot longer to power the world with worm casings, pixie dust, and unicorn farts than some would have us believe (i.e. hydrocarbons are not going anywhere in the foreseeable future)

b) a surprising number of these companies have solid balance sheets

c) a surprising number of these companies are earning profits hand over fist, doom and gloom aside

If a, b, and c are indeed true, you'd have to believe a lot of these companies trading at historic lows will eventually make investors a lot of money. Like buying Florida real estate in 2009.

What am I missing? What holes can be shot in this thesis, looking at it objectively?

I take the point that there is no catalyst to change things or excite investors in this space (although I do get surprised from time to time that the fact that a company can throw off ridiculous amounts of profit and return it to shareholders via dividends and buybacks doesn't itself become a catalyst, but I digress...)

I also take the point that these scenarios can persist for a lot longer than people think they can before things change.

Single-company risk is always there, I understand that, but I reject the idea that all of these companies are headed for bankruptcy.

Aside from patience and the stomach to watch your investment get hammered in the short term - where exactly are the risks?? This seems like such a great buying opportunity that I feel I have to be missing something.

Thank you for whatever insight you can share, and happy long weekend to you and your families!

Ryan






Read Answer Asked by Ryan on September 02, 2019
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