Investment Q&A

Q: Do you have any insights into GXE? It's oddly holding at .64 despite Oil rising and other companies moving higher. Beyond the dividend cut and strategic review flop, is there anything else you can add about their prospects? Thanks.

Q: G'morning 5i,

I'm sitting on a fairly substantial loss on GXE in my TFSA. In trying to decide what to do, I first waited for the strategic review to complete, hoping that something positive would come of that. When it didn't, I next decided to wait for its latest earnings report, hoping for something positive there but, from my review of the numbers and despite management's rosy outlook, I don't see anything re-assuring there. either.
My inclination is to sell, take the loss and do something useful with the now severely diminished funds.
Occasionally in the past when I've made that decision with a losing investment, hindsight has caused me to regret it, and I think perhaps I should have been alert to signs that a turnaround was in the offing.
From your objective perch do you see any reason to hold GXE given the milquetoast strategic review and what I interpret to be the less than satisfactory recent earnings report?
I look forward to your thoughts. Thank you.
Peter

Q: Morning 5i,
I woke up to an unpleasant news release this morning, that being GXE announcing that its strategic review has come to an end with nothing - absolutely nothing - to show for it.
I've been holding a substantial number of GXE shares at a considerable loss, waiting for the review to conclude in the hope there would be news that would put me in a better position. However, just like the CTS strategic review debacle, it seems to have led nowhere., and quite possibly just further reduced shareholder value.
It appears that none of the producers out there with bags of cash think the GXE assets are worth adding to their stables, so how can they be worth much?
Is there any light in this tunnel and I just can't see it, or is GXE destined to languish at its current very low share price for a long time to come, (especially given the apparent likelihood that even $90 oil, if we ever see it again, is a long way off)?
Dump it and move on, or hold to see if there's any upside that the market identifies out of this colossal waste of time that I'm presently unable to discern?
Thanks 5i.
Peter

Q: I gambled on these 4 energy stocks last year and other than Pine Cliff Energy I'm down around about 1/3. I'm thinking of averaging down. What would you do if you owned these 4?

Q: Hi folks. I am very happy overall with how my portfolio is doing, due in large part to 5i. Thank you. However I do have one dog, which keeps hitting new lows. The good news is that it pays a nice dividend, and I only have a 1/3 postition. But I am tired of watching it sink... now down 47%. What are your thoughts... should I cut it loose? Unfortunately it's in my RRIF. David

Q: I want to add one or all to my TFSA from my registered account- In what order ( if any ) would YOU transfer them ? - Thanx Robbie

Q: This holding has been a disappointment for me. I bought it when oil prices (west texas) were in the seventy dollar range and it dropped even as oil prices spiked into the eighties. Would you dump and move on? It's in a TFSA account.

Q: Hi Guys,

I'm looking at a couple of smaller oil and gas companies and wanted to get your thoughts. i3 Energy and Gear Energy. Both of them got into a little trouble this year when they implemented a unstainable dividend. Their dividends have been dropped to a sustainable level, but both of their share prices took a pretty good hit for that. However it looks like they have good cash flow, both are paying down debt, and they seem to have pretty good land packages. I was thinking with all the cash floating around the oil patch right now, both would be pretty good takeout targets. Curious on your thoughts and if they would be a good hold.

Thanks,

Q: Hi, I own Parex, Gear, Trican, Pason, Advantage and Prairiesky in small percentages for this sector . Collectively, I am about breakeven. I would like to consolidate into two or three holdings. Of these, what would be your preference? Overall total return is the objective.
I have also seen Terravest mentioned as a favourite compounder in the same sector in the Q&A, Is this a new entity or did they do a recent name change from a former company. Is this a more preferred name vs the others mentioned?

Cheers,
Steve

Q: Hi 5i,
In response to a question of mine and questions from others over the past few months you have pretty uniformly rated GXE a hold - partially I think on the premise that the damage has been done. I am holding and I'm content to continue for a while.
I wonder though - given its small size and present earnings of - $52M - is there enough money there to justify it continuing as a public company, especially one that is shoveling money out the door every month in the form of dividend payments?
In the past year (and possibly for longer)Twin Peaks Capital LLC has been buying up GXE shares pretty regularly, and today it owns 2.51% of the company (6.5 million shares worth $5.7 million at todays prices). Insiders have also been buying.
Why would a business like Twin Peaks Capital LLC buy so heavily into a little public company like GXE - how does it expect to get a return on its investment? Capital appreciation seems unlikely. Is it just cashing dividends, or might it be getting ready to take it over itself or, alternatively, might it be trying to ensure it has a large and therefore profitable position when someone else takes out GXE?
Thanks 5i - I look forward to a better understanding of what might be going on.
Peter

Q: How would you rank these? What is their free cash flow if any? Please advise whether they are buy, hold or sell rating..

Q: What are the prospects for Gear Energy considering the 50% dividend cut.

Q: Hi 5i
I own GXE in a TFSA and in the midst of today's bloodbath the value of my holding is down 45% from when I bought quite some time ago. There's not an overly significant amount of money involved and I can ride it out if that's the thing to do, but I would like to minimize my losses as effectively as possible.
With that in mind, what would you recommend I do - sell, hold or buy some more at the current depressed price, and why?
Thanks 5i, I look forward to your thoughts.
Peter

Q: What are your thoughts on the safety of GXE’s dividend?

Q: Good morning,

In this group can you tell me which one to keep, to hold, to sell and add at this moment.

Thank you

Marty

Q: Thoughts on switching out of Gear and into Headwater and how do their metrics compare? I also hold Tamarack.

Q: Please provide your thoughts on how you would rank POU against ENB, SU, TRP, TOU, GXE and PXT for growth, holding for more than 5 years?
Thank you,
Roger

Q: Good morning,

I currently hold FRU in my TFSA account and it is down approx 30%.

Q1. What is your outlook at this time of FRU and would this be a good entry point to purchase some additional shares?

I wish to purchase an energy stock for my TFSA and GXE is one under consideration given the relative safety of its high dividend and growth prospect should the price of oil go higher.

Q2. What are your thoughts and outlook of GXE at this time and do you have a better recommendation for a new position in my TFSA?

Thank you and I'll await your sage advice.

Q: I couldn't resist this dividend machine and picked it up in Dec'22. I know there's a lot of factors involved (oil prices/shareholder payouts/production costs/depletion/new plant & equipment etc.) but in the current environment it appears to me that they'll be cash flow positive enough to eliminate their meager debt this year and then some. Do you have any idea what the cash flow forecast is for Gear this year and how it is derived (i.e. various components)?
In summary, do you think a return of capital is likely?

Q: Can you please comment on today's earnings announcement. Is the dividend safe and would you consider the recent pull back to be a good entry point.

Thank you!