Investment Q&A

Q: Greetings 5i, it has been some time since the last question on Fulgent Genetics. The stock collapsed after its recent earnings report, your opinion on this company and its future prospects please. What are major positives (other than the cash on its balance sheet) and major risks? Thank you.

Q: Hello
What is your view on Fulgent Genetics? Thanks for your advice.

Q: Moley Fool just posted the following comments on FLGT. I was wondering if you could comment on it and explain why you think it is or is not a good investment.

"Fulgent pivoted and became a provider of COVID tests, thus allowing it to load the balance sheet with cash. And while the COVID testing business has evaporated, that cash-heavy balance sheet remains.

There are two numbers that underlie Fulgent’s appearance in this BBN collection:

Current net cash/share = $27.70
Current stock price = $15.50
Yes, Fools, Fulgent currently sports an enterprise value of $(352) million or $(11.43) per share, and that is indicative of a company that is either (and potentially both) a fraud or burning through that cash pile at a rapid rate. We see no indication that Fulgent is a fraud, and we certainly don’t see any indication that the cash pile is in rapid decline. Heck, it’s barely in decline at all, with free cash flow of just $(19.2) million in 2024.

We’re running long here, and for more detail, I’ll point you to the recent forum post on the quarter and year that was. And to be clear, this is no Danaher. Fulgent definitely leans towards the speculative side of the industry. But my goodness, the business almost certainly isn’t worthless. Let alone the negative value the market has currently ascribed.

The glory days of the pandemic for this company aren’t likely to return any time soon, but even if it trades to its cash value, you’re looking at a pretty decent return from today’s price."

Many thanks

Scott

Q: I would like your opinion on Fulgent and its potentiel .Is it a buy,hold or sell?
Thanks !

Q: Hi 5i,

Looking to sell my position in FLGT for a loss in my non-reg account. Potentially looking to replace FLGT with PFE to maintain US/Health care exposure. Would appreciate you thoughts and if you believe there are better US health care stocks to consider.

Thank you in advance,

Greg C.

Q: Would you please give me your evaluation of FLGT's recent quarter. On the surface it appears quite positive, however the stock is down 10%. Was it their guidance that turned the market sour? I am also perplexed - they state they carry $28/share in cash and marketable securities yet the stock is trading at $23 implying that when you strip out cash the business is worth NEGATIVE $148,000,000. Does this mean the market believes something is fundamentally wrong with the business and/or management? Finally, as a shareholder should I be running for the hills or is this a case of the market mispricing an asset?

Many thanks
Scott

Q: These stocks are my US non registered portfolio, and are all at a loss, to varying degrees. Which stocks would you hold, which ones to sell, and what would you replace them with? Any sector, moderate risk

Q: I’m selling Appian (APPN) and Fulgent Genetics (FLGT) for a tax loss and am wondering what suitable proxies would be. Or would you recommend just selling, and buying something more promising? (I’m not limited by sector here.) I have more confidence in Appian than in Fulgent. Is that appropriate in your opinion?

Q: I would like to do some tax loss selling and was wondering if you might be able to rank ILLM, UPST, OVV, TOY, SQ, GH, FLGT, and COW in order from those with the least potential to recover over the next year, to the most potential. If I were to sell them all, are there any you would consider buying back after 30 days? Thanks.

Q: Hello 5i,

Currently looking for additional US stock exposure and I am considering either FLGT or PERI as potential candidates. Sector allocation is not a factor.

Between these two companies which, in your opinion, has the best runway for growth over the next 5+years?

Thank you in advance,

Greg C.

Q: Hello Peter,
Given Topicus results, i was hoping for a surge in price but stock barely moved. Any idea? Also, can you comment if the results were good for Lumine Group, and Fulgent Genetics. Thanks very much.

Q: Can you update FLGT from the last question (Dec, 2022)? Also, I note that it has Q results coming out this Friday - what are the expectations?

Thx J

Q: Can you tell us how much cash per share Fulgent still has, after the acquisition of Fulgent Pharma? This move was obviously not liked by the market. Does its current stock price make it an attractive investment in the medium to long term? Hold, buy or sell?

Q: Hello Peter,
Could you please comment on Fulgent's results? Is it time to add to FLGT as the stock dipped for longer term? Also, what is your view on Neighbourly Pharmacy and Cargo jet? Thanks very much

Q: Your last direct response on FLGT was Nov, 2021. Could you update your opinion on a value/growth basis, with a focus on "core genetic" testing elements rather than Covid testing. It seems to be growing nicely in core businesses, e.g., cancer NGS, has a very strong cash horde (from covid work) and, to me, ticks both value and growth boxes.
Thx, John

Q: I own 18 US Stocks and have losses in the following 6:

1) D.R. HORTON is down 13%
2) ULTRA CLEAN HOLDINGS is down 23%
3) CROCS is down 43%
4) QUIDEL is down 47%
5) CO-DIAGNOSTICS is down 59%
6) FULGENT GENETICS is down 11%

My Portfolio is 20% in cash so I can take advantage when a particular stock is down for no good reason.

All the above are small holdings, and therefore I am able to easily lower the % loss by adding to my holdings, and hoping that once the market recovers, I can sell them for a smaller loss.

Which of the above would you add, and your reasons why ?

Which of the above would you sell, and the reasons why ?

Thank You.

Q: Please comment on earnings, did management comment on plans for their cash horde in the call?
Regards greg

Q: I want exposure to health. Looking for growth in the next 5 years. Can you please rate these companies in term of growth in next 5 years, starting with the most potential? And what is a good entry point for them?
Feel free to suggest any other health care stock that offer growth as well. Thank you very much.

Q: Hi 5i - From the following 9 US stocks - which 3 would you have the highest conviction for (with a short why for each): AFRM, ABCL, GOOG, AAPL, COST, CRWD, FLGT, NVDA, NKE

Q: Would you rather hold 1 position in NVDA or the equivalent of 1 position in a "basket" of FLGT, MELI, AFRM, and ABCL?