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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hi Gang,

What are your thoughts on the FED rate cut just in? Which sectors do you see this helping and hurting?

Thanks!
Read Answer Asked by David on March 03, 2020
Q: Good Morning,
Can I please get your general comments in regards to the rate cut and central bank reaction to the "worst week for stocks since 2008" followed by the "best day for stocks since 2009" It seems these headlines have taken over the decision makers, and more QE/ lower rates because the market has fallen to now Dec 2019 levels- from all time highs! BIG DEAL! There will be no where left to lower rates and so much debt on the government balance sheet when things do truly get ugly. As a young investor am I the only one that feels we should let the free markets play out before the fed steps in, or is this necessary to avoid a recession. It would appear there is really no risk in buying equities since as soon as they start to go lower central banks will prop everything back up
Read Answer Asked by Kyle on March 03, 2020
Q: Hi...just read your March 1 email....very timely. I have been evaluating some of my current equity holdings from the point of view of topping up some or all of them over time...to reach my asset allocation targets. I do a monthly review of all of my holdings using metrics like P/E, P/BV, P/CF, ROE, Beta, Analyst targets, charting vs 200 mda and higher highs-lows. Mid-Feb I raised roughly 5% cash (basically trimming oversized positions that also appeared to be stretched) and could direct it to the above list. I am a retired, dividend income investor.

The 4 BNN Market Call guests on Thursday-Friday indicated that legging in to this buying opportunity should be considered, as, in their opinion, the market is extremely oversold. In your past life as a Fund Manager, what metrics did you use to guide your process on whether to buy or sit on your hands? For example, "when the VIX is high, it is time to buy"...the VIX is now at 40.

If this is a fair question, could you rank the above 9 equities for topping up to existing positions? My process, for example, has identified LNF as one of the priorities.

Take as many credits as you think appropriate. Thanks...Steve
Read Answer Asked by Stephen on March 03, 2020
Q: I notice that you are getting questions about what to buy when the market settles and it seems people are expecting this to happen soon. But isn't this something that could take a year or two, as closing plants down,people not travelling and buying things will reduce earnings and put us into a recession?
Read Answer Asked by Pamela on March 02, 2020
Q: I know you don't know where the bottom is in this market meltdown (I wish you did and could tell us - am I the only one owning stocks right now?), but do you have an idea on what the conditions will look like that will stop the meltdown? In your opinion, is this really all corona virus oriented or are there some other forces at play here, and if so what might they be?
Read Answer Asked by Elizabeth on February 28, 2020
Q: North American markets have had a great run the past two years and now it looks like we are in for a prolonged period of selling, especially given that the corvid 19 virus is not a "one off" event but a protracted worry and uncertainty exacerbated by disinformation on social media. The markets were long overdue for such a correction. For the meantime, I have gone to cash in registered and non-registered accounts and bought inverse etfs like HQD (2X Nasdaq bear), HXD (2X SPX60), and HUV (volatility index) to continue making modest gains during the downturn (instead of losing money!). Are there any other defensive (inverse) etfs you could recommend?
Read Answer Asked by David on February 27, 2020
Q: I wonder if I could get you to speculate what impact Bernie Sanders being elected President might have on the markets. And how one might adjust a portfolio in response/anticipation of such an event. For example, I imagine there could be a major impact on health care stocks.
Read Answer Asked by David on February 26, 2020
Q: What do you think is the motivation behind Trumps proposed tax incentive to buy equities and what would be the ramifications for investors should it happen?
Read Answer Asked by michael on February 19, 2020
Q: The US is having some issue, China is having major issues affecting world economy and Canada in particular is struggling to resolve transportation (and therefore market) issues.
Do you have a general outlook on where the market is headed and should I be cautious and keep a larger cash balance? If so, when do you anticipate a clearer outlook?
Thank you.
Read Answer Asked by Stephen on February 18, 2020
Q: I think the market is too complacent of the effects of the coronavirus. China is arguably the largest industrial manufacturer in the world and it has been all but shut down for the past month. I spoke to a friend whose company has a factory in China and event though it is not near the province where the virus has started, the factory is at low productivity because of worker fear and reliance on parts from other factories that are directly effected. If this were happening in North America, the markets would have sold off.
Read Answer Asked by Murray on February 12, 2020
Q: For the US market in 2020 in general what is the probability of having a 5% correction? A 10% correction? A 15 % correction? Or a 20% or more correction?
Clayton
Read Answer Asked by Clayton on February 05, 2020
Q: Hey Peter & Team,
Interesting day in the market. Sizable drops across the board and around the world. I am sure there are some that will look to this as "the" excuse to panic and sell thinking a big correction is sure to follow. From what I can tell, this is not a bubble market such as the Mortgage Crisis or .COM tumble. Fundamentals seem strong in the solid companies, and unless you are invested in risky might-go-way-up-might-go-way-down companies everything will be fine.

Have you and your team come up with any thoughts on what's going on? Should we be concerned about what effect the beervirus (coronavisrus) fears might have on our investments? Or do you see this as the normal week-to-week month-to-month ups and downs that self directed investors such as ourselves should continue learning how to be comfortable with.

Thanks for all you do

gm
Read Answer Asked by Gord on January 28, 2020
Q: There is a 1st death in Beijing. Do you think we should remain fully invested or is it time to start taking some risk off the table? During Ebola, I remained invested, but this time, the market hasn't stopped going up for a while and expectations are high. If you are not worried, what would be a new development with the coronovirus that does change fundamentals for the market?
Read Answer Asked by Matt on January 27, 2020
Q: Hi, can you explain the connection between the Coronavirus and the markets? I’m watching stocks like Photon, Nvidia, and Xpel get hammered (xpel the worst at 12% - I’ve already taken profits so I’m only on house money there at least). I just don’t really understand why people getting sick has such an effect. I’m not trying to be cold, just trying to understand and learn if there’s a way to hedge against it.

Thanks
Read Answer Asked by david on January 27, 2020
Q: I am interested in the investment implications of the coronavirus, should it spread similar to SARS or worse. Specifically, when SARS occurred, what was the impact on global markets? What markets did well, and what markets did poorly? Was there a movement towards cash, bonds or gold?

Thank you for this wonderful service!
Read Answer Asked by Dale on January 27, 2020
Q: I am a retired, conservative, dividend-income investor who is normally fully invested with a "buy-and-hold, but trim-add around core positions" strategy.
I currently have 2% in investable cash, with my portfolio set up exactly where I want it now...good asset allocation both via sectors and via individual position sizes.

However, I am also looking at the macro picture and things seem to be going parabolic. I am contemplating trimming to increase my cash position from 2% up to 5%. I understand in the past you have indicated that the key things to watch are interest rates are unemployment. They are both low, so "let it ride". So, what to do...let it ride vs trim? I know this amounts to market timing, which I know you are not fond of and, coincidentally, I am lousy at.

In your past life, as a fund manager, when did you raise or invest your available cash and what factors pushed you to do something or to just sit on your hands?

Thanks...sitting on my hands for now...Steve
Read Answer Asked by Stephen on January 23, 2020