Q: I understand that the market is forward-looking. What has been difficult for me to ascertain, especially in these tumultuous times, is how forward-looking they are. I realize no one knows the future so we all have to decide for ourselves how long we think COVID19 will continue to roil the markets. But is there any way to know (guestimate) how far out the market currently thinks this will last? For example, I am writing this question on Sunday and wondering how the markets will react come Monday. Personally, I feel the increase in cases and apparent disarray in the leadership in the US is unfolding as I anticipated it would. Would a steep downturn in the markets Monday morning suggest analysts had it wrong or would it not really tell us much regarding the anticipated future? I guess I am looking for an indicator like the percentage chance that is assigned as to whether or not the Fed will change interest rates. Don't know where that percentage comes from but it always seems rather accurate.
Appreciate your insight and for your wisdom. It's helping me to keep off the proverbial ledge!
Paul F.
Appreciate your insight and for your wisdom. It's helping me to keep off the proverbial ledge!
Paul F.