Q: Hi team
I seldom invest in healthcare stocks as they are a political football in the U.S. and often have binary outcomes with drug trials. It seems you either hit a home run or strike out. I saw a question earlier on BIIB. It is on my pharma/healthcare watch list. I am not sure why I even keep this list as I never buy anything off it. BIIB is now taking a 2nd look at trial data on an Alzheimer drug it dismissed as not promising six months ago. Now they view it as promising. It makes no sense to me. Did they hire a new scientist or sharpen the font on their computer screen? Others that I put on my list include AMRN and GH that to me also depend on binary outcomes on drug trials. My question is a general one. How does one develop a strategy for investing in health care stocks when it seems like they can jump or drop 30-50% overnight with the success or failure of a drug trial or the boss saying let’s take another look at this old data we dismissed earlier? Risk management seems very difficult in this sector.
Thanks again for the insight.
Dave
I seldom invest in healthcare stocks as they are a political football in the U.S. and often have binary outcomes with drug trials. It seems you either hit a home run or strike out. I saw a question earlier on BIIB. It is on my pharma/healthcare watch list. I am not sure why I even keep this list as I never buy anything off it. BIIB is now taking a 2nd look at trial data on an Alzheimer drug it dismissed as not promising six months ago. Now they view it as promising. It makes no sense to me. Did they hire a new scientist or sharpen the font on their computer screen? Others that I put on my list include AMRN and GH that to me also depend on binary outcomes on drug trials. My question is a general one. How does one develop a strategy for investing in health care stocks when it seems like they can jump or drop 30-50% overnight with the success or failure of a drug trial or the boss saying let’s take another look at this old data we dismissed earlier? Risk management seems very difficult in this sector.
Thanks again for the insight.
Dave