Q: Hi there, your comment is very true regarding the following;
All views should be considered and taken into account but this group has been quite bearish for probably a decade now, so eventually they will be right. We have a hard time imagining a 50% market crash. For context, the S&P 500 trades at about 20 times forward earnings, so a 50% drop would lead to the S&P 500 trading at 10X. Of course, earnings could also drop but we are not sure we see a high probability scenario where across the broad spectrum earnings/profits get cut by such a large degree.
However, your last sentence is what intrigued me the most! And looking forward, as the markets always do, maybe the markets foresee three quarters ahead for this year, and revenues/earnings/profits won't be as robust as they were for growth companies now that covid is really in the rearview mirror, with vaccines establishing normalcy (the new normalcy that is) going forward once again!
Thoughts looking forward six to nine months ahead for growth companies?
PS: Growth Companies will no longer get an easy pass any longer (as they have during these crazy Covid times), they are going to have to truly prove themselves as being relevant going forward, earning a buck or two or three..., in a cut throat world competing against one another! Everyone is done with Covid... and its time to move on with normalcy once again, as best as we all can, including the markets! :))
All views should be considered and taken into account but this group has been quite bearish for probably a decade now, so eventually they will be right. We have a hard time imagining a 50% market crash. For context, the S&P 500 trades at about 20 times forward earnings, so a 50% drop would lead to the S&P 500 trading at 10X. Of course, earnings could also drop but we are not sure we see a high probability scenario where across the broad spectrum earnings/profits get cut by such a large degree.
However, your last sentence is what intrigued me the most! And looking forward, as the markets always do, maybe the markets foresee three quarters ahead for this year, and revenues/earnings/profits won't be as robust as they were for growth companies now that covid is really in the rearview mirror, with vaccines establishing normalcy (the new normalcy that is) going forward once again!
Thoughts looking forward six to nine months ahead for growth companies?
PS: Growth Companies will no longer get an easy pass any longer (as they have during these crazy Covid times), they are going to have to truly prove themselves as being relevant going forward, earning a buck or two or three..., in a cut throat world competing against one another! Everyone is done with Covid... and its time to move on with normalcy once again, as best as we all can, including the markets! :))