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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: The VIX is now 35. Is it time to back up the truck?
Read Answer Asked by David on April 04, 2025
Q: How exposed are SHOP and CLS to US tariffs? In the case of SHOP, what proportion of transactions are cross-border? For CLS, where are its manufacturing plants located. Overall, how do you view their perspectives today versus what they were pre-liberation day? Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Theodore on April 04, 2025
Q: Stocks are being pummelled. But as always, hopefully they will come back but it may take a while longer than normal. Trump is not normal. If one understands the risk, would you suggest buying some names that are being particularly hit today (eg SHOP -15%)? If so, can you suggest a few names?
Read Answer Asked on April 03, 2025
Q: Today Emera moved their CFO to Florida, seemingly to better manage their $20 billion dollar Florida project runway.
Sounds good in theory, but I am curious if you see any possible Trump or DeSantis headwinds from a Canadian company expanding in this state in particular, given the "America first" sentiment.
Read Answer Asked by Paul on March 31, 2025
Q: Hi Peter and Team,

In the event that the US decides to get its potash from Russia (Trump and Putin are now and always have been close buddies), what effect will that have on Nutrien? It's been a volatile holding for us, but we've held on to it, I'm concerned that if it loses a lot of its export market to the US, it's going to tank. Your thoughts?
Read Answer Asked by Jerry on March 27, 2025
Q: The three year chart on this is not pretty. Why, given the lack of potash on the market from the Ukraine and Russia, has NTR not thrived? I've done well on NTR in the past but have a hard time understanding the cyclicality. This looks like a good time to invest once again, but is it? How can tariffs hurt NTR? Where else is the US going to get their large need?

BTW, thanks for the suggestion that 475 was a good entry point for ISRG.

Now, NTR? Your thoughts, please

al
Read Answer Asked by alex on March 27, 2025
Q: Just few more covered call gold ETF questions and I promise to stop flogging this horse and make a decision ..... Of the five ETF's 5i recommended { AMAX, CGXF,BASE,GLCC,GDXY } Could 5i give me the return, unit price gain/loss plus dividends for each ETF as a percentage ? .... As both AMAX and GDXY have only been around a year just go back for that period of time for each one. This will be long enough for me to assess as I am looking for gold volatility pre and post Trump's election.....

I notice all have an upward trend except GDXY. Could 5i speculate on the reason why ? Of course the question is does that 32.5% dividend more than make up for it ? I should be able to see that by your evaluations of returns for the other ETF's in comparison ......

And finally, hypothetically, if 5i were forced to choose one or two of these to " hide " in while assessing just exactly how bad Trump is going to make things for Canada . Which would be your two favorites, first and second, and why ? ...... Thanks for your terrific service ..... Garth .....
Read Answer Asked by Garth on March 27, 2025
Q: I am working on increasing my sector representation in Healthcare. I will shortly have filled a full position in ISRG, adding in this downturn. I have traded around UNH, and am planning to take it from a 1/2 to full position. I have 1/4 position in ILMN and do not think I should be topping it up; I perceive it to be risky. I need 2 more companies, or may need to take one or both of IRSG/UNH to more than a full position.

This provides me a surgical/instrumentation company and a service/product supplier. For diversity in the Healthcare space can you rank your preferred buys (with entry points) I'd appreciate 2 recommendations on the pharmaseuticals side and 2 on the biotech side, or as you may see that fits better.

While I am open US companies I do have a concern that the Trump administration will bring the DOGE and Executive Order train wrecks to health care. I would appreciate your views on this potential action and howe it may impact investment choice in the field.

Thanks as always,

Dave
Read Answer Asked by Dave on March 25, 2025
Q: Without getting political can you please comment on the following scenario. Donald Trump is successful in weakening the independence of the judiciary in the U.S. and it becomes clear to people and businesses that the U.S. is moving towards a sort of Russia style 'sham' democracy. Would this produce a rerating of U.S. stocks? And if so what kind of guess can be made as to the percentage drop as the reality sets in over a few years? Thank-you.
Read Answer Asked by Alex on March 24, 2025
Q: A UCLA Anderson forecast just issued a recession watch. Its analysis was called…
“Trump Policies, If Fully Enacted, Promise a Recession.”
Can you provide your analysis of this report. Is this a legitimate forecaster with a decent record?
Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Ben on March 19, 2025
Q: Hi group the above stocks i sold 1/2 of my folio about 3 months ago/ yes at a tidy profit. My question is I am 75 years old and have $100,000 to reinvest (20% of my total portfolio)...(dry power) i do not need any cash to supplement my income for at least 5 years unless the market falls of a cliff because of Trump/Tariffs. I would say I am a sleep at night investor So the question is what to do now wait or start nibbling now. These stocks make up about 70% of the total portfolio
Read Answer Asked by Terence on March 14, 2025
Q: What do you think the odds are of Canada throwing in their trump card in the tariff wars and adding a 10% export tax on the 4 mbpd of oil sent to the states (~20% of their entire consumption)? This would likely spike the world price a lot and not reduce Canadian exports at least in the short term. Would this be a huge "win" for Suncor and other Candian oil stocks?
Read Answer Asked by DAVE on March 14, 2025
Q: historically the risk in holding US Gov't debt has been very low. Now it seems we are only 1 Truth Social Post away from the next crazy Policy experiment. I believeTrump questioned whether they really owe all the Debt and may have even questioned the need to pay it.

When holding US Gov't debt in the form of US T Bills or similar has my risk ticked up since Jan 26th and would you say US Gov't debt is still much safer than say a TD US GIC (Corporate Debt)? Are there short term cash proxies you would avoid in this market due to recent admin change?

Lastly does this never ending talk about the US Debt ceiling and possible Gov't shutdown create risks for holders of US financial instruments?
Read Answer Asked by Craig on March 12, 2025