Q: A dark 2025/6 scenario would be mild recession in Canada, more serious recession in the U.S., both deepened at some point by a U.S. dollar crisis due to massive deficits and chaotic Trump. How should a TFSA be positioned to weather this? Dividend stocks versus bonds? How much of portfolio in gold stocks? How big a cash allocation? What else? Please deduct points as needed for this speculative question.
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Investment Q&A
Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.
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Alphabet Inc. (GOOG)
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NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
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Celestica Inc. (CLS)
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Axon Enterprise Inc. (AXON)
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Stellantis N.V. (STLA)
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Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD)
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Cellebrite DI Ltd. (CLBT)
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Sportradar Group AG (SRAD)
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IonQ Inc. (IONQ)
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Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS)
Q: The rumour today is that Trump's team is about to announce their first trade deal. It sounds to me like England. Assuming that more of these follow and perhaps increase in frequency, sentiment will change and I personally expect a risk-on environment.
Please list the 10 equities from the US and Canada (in any sector) that you project will move most aggressively over a 3 month period in an environment where trade deals are the daily news and not negative bluster. Note, I am not asking you to asses the probability of deals, just the 10 companies that are poised to benefit most in terms of share price. Note that these can be risky companies but if they are, please state that and explain why the upside makes up for the risk.
Please take an extra credit and state whether each suggestion is a short term trade or a long term hold.
Please list the 10 equities from the US and Canada (in any sector) that you project will move most aggressively over a 3 month period in an environment where trade deals are the daily news and not negative bluster. Note, I am not asking you to asses the probability of deals, just the 10 companies that are poised to benefit most in terms of share price. Note that these can be risky companies but if they are, please state that and explain why the upside makes up for the risk.
Please take an extra credit and state whether each suggestion is a short term trade or a long term hold.
Q: I understand that DSG and KXS operate in different spaces, but had thought that, as the market put April 9 behind it, they would recover along similar trajectories - but KXS has clearly taken the lead, today matching its December, 2024 high. Supposing that at least some of Trump's tariff plans come to fruition, is KXS the better investment? DGS's RoC (per your database) is far more attractive.
Q: Can you give your thoughts on INMD's earnings today? The market isn't liking the continued rev and profit deceleration, and again lowered guidance. They blame economic forces but this pre dates Trump and the recent pullback, so one has to believe their previous products keep losing brand power. They have a lot of cash, and they bought back a lot of shares but its seeming like a bit of a value trap since the buybacks aren't making up for the business decel. They released a newer product in the last year but at this point we have no clue if its going to do well. Is this still a hold for you? Thx
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Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB)
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Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (The) (GS)
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JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
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Wells Fargo & Company (WFC)
Q: Given that they had been put into the penalty box because of past transgressions with account openings, I had a thesis that WFC would benefit significantly from the Trump administration plan to deregulate. Unfortunately, my timing was off, the shares had already increased and dropped after I invested. At this point I wonder if I should abandon my thesis and move to another financial holding. In your view, would GS be a better investment? And why? Alternatively, although Regional banks were hit hard in the past, FITB seems to be favourably viewed; would that be better than WFC or GS? And if so, why? This is in a TFSA and looking for growth, not income. Many thanks for your excellent service.
Q: In your previous as well as more recent comments, you have been fairly positive about EXP. How do your views take into account the rather negative outlook for home builders and for the USA economy (thank you Trump)? Thank you for your excellent service.
Q: What is your analysis for Act Energy Technologies Ltd, during and post Trump Tariffs?
Q: Have I missed the ideal buying opportunity for these guys, even with a long term horizon?
Should I wait for Trump to rattle the tarrif cages again to stimulate a market selloff? At what point do we consider this planned market manipulation (rhetorical question).
What price entry point would you say is a good buying opportunity?
Should I wait for Trump to rattle the tarrif cages again to stimulate a market selloff? At what point do we consider this planned market manipulation (rhetorical question).
What price entry point would you say is a good buying opportunity?
Q: Q : Hello 5i team
Would you be willing to complete a position on LMN today? Since it's US-centric, can the Trump administration hinder its development in any way? Is your conviction in this stock as high as ever?
Thanks
Would you be willing to complete a position on LMN today? Since it's US-centric, can the Trump administration hinder its development in any way? Is your conviction in this stock as high as ever?
Thanks
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iShares Japan Fundamental Index ETF (CAD-Hedged) Common Class (CJP)
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Vanguard FTSE Developed All Cap ex North America Index ETF (VIU)
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Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets All Cap Index ETF (VEE)
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iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
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iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWU)
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iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Q: I believe in international diversification, but I am currently regretting the high weight I have put on US-dollar-denominated holdings in my portfolio. Given Trump's policies to date, his career record of welshing proudly on past debts and the years remaining in his term, I want to lower the weight substantially and invest in more European, British, Japanese, Australian and New Zealand assets instead, assets not denominated in US dollars. What ETFs do you suggest for this purpose?
Q: Now that there seems to be a Trump put somewhat in place (perhaps). With a tad of uncertainty off the table do you think its time to take some profit on AEM off the table.
Its about 35% above its 200 dma and its RSI is
overbought.
Your counsel on this please?
Sheldon
Its about 35% above its 200 dma and its RSI is
overbought.
Your counsel on this please?
Sheldon
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BMO Mid Corporate Bond Index ETF (ZCM)
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BMO Mid Provincial Bond Index ETF (ZMP)
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iShares U.S. High Yield Bond Index ETF (CAD-Hedged) (XHY)
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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
Q: I am slowly working on reducing my exposure to the US$ given the recent commentary and negative sentiment. I am also questioning bond exposures given the Trump administrations decisions recently and hiccups it has been causing in the bond market. I have ensured the downside risk on long bonds and would like your take on the following:
1) If Trump causes crisis in the bond market which bond market and ETF would be least likely to be disrupted?
2) What is your take on the short and medium term risks to the bond market with Trumps economic non-strategy?
3) Is it a more reasoned decision to reduce bond exposures in favour of investing in shares of stable Canadian or European companies?
Thanks very much,
Dave
1) If Trump causes crisis in the bond market which bond market and ETF would be least likely to be disrupted?
2) What is your take on the short and medium term risks to the bond market with Trumps economic non-strategy?
3) Is it a more reasoned decision to reduce bond exposures in favour of investing in shares of stable Canadian or European companies?
Thanks very much,
Dave
Q: What should Trump do or is it too late RAK
Q: What do you think market reaction would be on 1) removal of Fed chair Powell and replacement by the man proposed by Pres. Trump, 2) drop of interest rates by the new Fed Chair and whether this drop would overpower the tariff influence, and 3) the liklihood of any lower interest rate euphoria quickly wearing off because of the tariffs?
Thanks a lot for you valued insights.
Thanks a lot for you valued insights.
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Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares (GOOS)
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Roots Corporation (ROOT)
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Intercontinental Hotels Group American Depositary Shares (Each representing one) (IHG)
Q: I used to own a REIT called INN . A play on the Canadian tourism industry . I did quite well on it and sold it for a tidy profit when they were bought out . With our southern neighbors rapidly approaching " Most Hated Nation " status coupled with their currently well publicized Gestapo tactics at the border resulting in travel alerts in at least five countries ..... I am curious in what ways I can invest in the Canadian tourism industry ? On social media I am reading a lot of European and Aussie tourists are planning trips to Canada instead of the U.S. .... Any suggestions of an approach to investing in Canadian tourism ? I am looking for Canada " only " options . If there are no " Canada " options how about Europe ? Not interested in any company that even uses U.S. airspace..... I'm an " Elbows Up " Canucklehead .....
Of course one other concern is Trump throwing the world into recession and the travel industry suffering as a result. Could 5i comment on that thesis as well ? ..... Thanks for your terrific service .....
Of course one other concern is Trump throwing the world into recession and the travel industry suffering as a result. Could 5i comment on that thesis as well ? ..... Thanks for your terrific service .....
Q: Hello team,
With the tariff situation and the often-contradictory comments issued by Trump and some of his advisors leading to some markets sectors tumbling or, occasionally, jumping then retreating once the corresponding news have been corroborated, denied, or even contradicted, the financial markets seem, at times, to be taking the allure of a casino with the performance of some sectors or individual stocks are subject to wild swings, and sometimes even within the same day… How do you advise retail investors to behave under the circumstances?
Consequently, could you see a situation where the repercussions of Trump and his team’s behaviour could affect the US stock and bond markets in an irreparable manner? (For example, large investment houses retreating from given sectors in tandem creating a serious imbalance in trade, or China dumping their large trove of Treasury bonds.)
Adel
With the tariff situation and the often-contradictory comments issued by Trump and some of his advisors leading to some markets sectors tumbling or, occasionally, jumping then retreating once the corresponding news have been corroborated, denied, or even contradicted, the financial markets seem, at times, to be taking the allure of a casino with the performance of some sectors or individual stocks are subject to wild swings, and sometimes even within the same day… How do you advise retail investors to behave under the circumstances?
Consequently, could you see a situation where the repercussions of Trump and his team’s behaviour could affect the US stock and bond markets in an irreparable manner? (For example, large investment houses retreating from given sectors in tandem creating a serious imbalance in trade, or China dumping their large trove of Treasury bonds.)
Adel
Q: I'm sure you'll have a bunch of questions on NVDA, AVGO and semis in general. How far do you think this particular Trump Train Wreck will go? Any guesses are appreciated, as well as thoughts on whether to hold, sell or buy more - !
Thanks!
Thanks!
Q: Nvidia down 6-7% A/H on news will be taking a $5.5B charge on shipping H20 processors to China....banned 9 April by Trump??......your thoughts on ban/charge....and is growth story now gone/limited for Nvda.....is stock now a buy/hold/sell....thx as always, jb
Q: Good afternoon - Trump has been granted permission to at least temporarily fire two agency leaders. In your opinion has the risk of Jerome Powell being fired increased? And ultimately a losing an independent fed increased? Thanks
Q: I bought TDB2915 a U.S. money market fund some time ago . There is 10.82 % of my portfolio in it . My sole reason for buying it was TD Waterhouse said that was the only way I could get around currency exchange when buying U.S. stocks. I recently bought a U.S. stock and they did not take the money from the account and when questioned on it informed me that they no longer did this practice. So I really have no motivation for keeping the money in this fund. Though the fund has increased in value 10% over the six or seven years I have had it. I'm not sure if this fund is earning me any money or not . Could 5i answer that question ? And more importantly with economic chaos in the U.S. is 5i more optimistic in the short term on the U.S dollar or the loonie ?
I recently read an article that Canada, the EU, and China could do some pretty serious damage to the Trump buck should they unite to sell off their U.S. treasuries ....... Would 5i counsel moving it into Canadian cash to be deployed in the future ? I'm in no mad panic to buy right now til we know what the U.S. is going to do ...... Thanks for your terrific service .....
I recently read an article that Canada, the EU, and China could do some pretty serious damage to the Trump buck should they unite to sell off their U.S. treasuries ....... Would 5i counsel moving it into Canadian cash to be deployed in the future ? I'm in no mad panic to buy right now til we know what the U.S. is going to do ...... Thanks for your terrific service .....