Q: Hello
you did mention that 50% of the earnings are from USA
if that is the case
what is a good entry point? it has been dropping
with the energy sector retreating
thanks
1-3 years outlook with Mr Trump's energy policy?
thanks
Michael
Q: This proposed sale of approx. 2/3 of Gear's (GXE) current oil production for only $110 million is a terrible offer for GXE (very nice for the buyer Cenevous (CVE) especially if they get the benefit of most of Gear's tax pools). GXE is virtually debt free and can afford to pay the existing dividend (currently yielding in excess of 11 per cent) so why is this new management team offering us such an awful deal? If this is the best deal they can make then they should just leave the company as it is. With no debt by early next year Gear could start to buy back shares and when those shares are yielding better than 10 per cent the reverse compounding effect is enormous. It would only cost about 13 million in free cash flow in 2025 to buy back 10 per cent of the float and with 10 per cent of the float gone the .5 cent per month dividend gets easier to easier to pay, right? The naysayers will say that if oil goes down a lot that the dividend is not sustainable, well I say, if you think oil is going to go down a lot then you should NOT buy any oil stocks, or better yet you should be brave and short the oil stocks. So watch your mail box and when you get the circular in the mail vote NO. My understanding is that if you don't vote then your shares are considered to be a vote in favor, right?
I hold POU with 1/2 of the position covered called to June 2025 at a 14% higher strike. My question is the $12 Special Distribution Return of Capital & $3 Lump Sum dividend that was announced Dec 18/2024 priced into the stock? Another way to ask the question is will the stock price drop if $12 of return of capital occurs & $3 in dividends or should I try to buyback the covered call before it becomes ITM? I have no issues holding the stock longer term and would like to take advantage of the special distribution if possible.
Q: I have seen your recent comments and you believe the recent deal is good. My question is related to it's ~12% price drop in 3weeks. I have only seen positive analysis from all analysts. So my question to you is, is there any systemic or structural reason for the stock to be tanking well over the ~2% TSX reduction in the same time frame? What has changed in 3 weeks to spook investors?
Q: I don't have any exposure to energy and wanted to know what your views are for the sector going forward. In the current market environment, what percentage of your portfolio would YOU invest in it? Your top stocks for growth? Would the 4 stocks mentioned be good candidates? Thanks in advance.
Q: Is it advisable now to invest in REGULATED utilities, given that there will be a need for huge data centers with the growth of AI? If yes, can you list and rank the ones you prefer?
Thank you!
Q: Greetings:
In the December issue of CMS Norm Rothery picked his 10 stingy stocks. The above 3 have gone down continually since, to almost the 52 week low. Please give your opinion as to why the refiners are getting hit so hard. I realize that all energy stocks are in a slump, but not to this extent. Have the crack spreads narrowed ? and or what other reasons. Your analysis please?
Thanks,
BEN.
Q: Assuming stable oil prices and no Trump tariffs ( having no expectations on these 2 assumptions occurring or not ), which of these 2 companies dividends will grow more quickly ?
At what price of oil have the companies stated that their current dividend level could be maintained before lowering it ?
Q: Peter et al:
An opinion please on this one with the following points in mind. We all know the sector has lagged, but CVE has a lot of people putting it in the enigma pew. Quality inventory, 71% heavy, diversified with three refineries, fair dividend, BS ok and yet it goes no where. Sentiment is definitely against these guys. G&M article Dec 3, Brian Donovan " The intrinsic value of Canadian oil stocks and what Trump's proposed tariff would mean for them", ends by picking CVE as the one their models show upside for . Eric Nuttall on Nov 21 said that it was one of his worst calls in 2024 picking this instead of Suncor. I await your detailed reply, and I thank you by not asking questions with 30 companies like some. I do my own ground work.
All the best,
Ben.
I hold AltaGas and was thinking of swapping for South Bow. Thinking better dividend at a minimum. What are your thought on this switch for a long term hold. Which do you think will have teh better overall return 5 years out?
Q: We’re overweight oil and gas at the present time with the idea of selling down our positions as we enter the typical positive seasonality for this sector from about now to maybe April. This leads to 2 questions. Do you agree oil and gas look good over the next few months? If this were your money what timeline would you follow to sell off an overweight position in this sector. We’re growth investors with said stocks inside our TFSAs, have positive gains and would like to maximize our gains without trying to be too clever on market timing. Thanks so much!
Q: Just a bit of math Gear is trading at .48 cents possibly due to Tax loss....does it make sense to buy it and hold it for a few months and receive .60 cents ????
that would be a 25% gain
I appreciate your advice,
Many thanks
Q: I bought into MXG for the special dividend last month, but I am reluctant to sell it because it is in a sector I favor. High insider ownership and very few followers. The earnings look good and they are net cash. They don't state future growth plans or any real mission statement. Has 5i Research looked into this company?
Thanks, Terry
Q: Can I have your thoughts on TVK's recently announced earnings. The stock at this point is down close to 10%. Were the earnings that bad or is this a buying opportunity? your overall assessment of the company would be appreciated. Thank You.