Q: Hi 5i,
I stumbled on Presm Watsa thoughts about retirement in today's Globe and Mail. Basically, he is close to see a new 1929 global crash happening rather sooner than later, with 2 ulterior decades of losses and tears. Quote follows:
In the past few years, Mr. Watsa has been troubled by a disconnect he sees between stock markets and the underlying economic instability of countries around the world, as well as the implication that deflationary conditions could have on markets. Fairfax cranked up the hedges on its equity portfolio to 100 per cent this year from 88 per cent at the end of 2015 – that’s how concerned management is about a possible financial storm.
For older investors, there might not be time to recover from the damage. Mr. Watsa’s worry is that a market downturn could mimic the stock market crash of 1929, where it took more than two decades for the Dow Jones to reach precrisis levels. And unlike the 2008 financial crisis, Mr. Watsa said, central banks are now mostly out of ammunition. “We just want to make sure people realize there are risks.”
As he is now 100% hedged (which is what, more exactly), for us, small investors, there is something similar that we could envision? Maybe to put all our money in Fairfax, and live happily ever after?!
Thanks as always for all you do for us.
I stumbled on Presm Watsa thoughts about retirement in today's Globe and Mail. Basically, he is close to see a new 1929 global crash happening rather sooner than later, with 2 ulterior decades of losses and tears. Quote follows:
In the past few years, Mr. Watsa has been troubled by a disconnect he sees between stock markets and the underlying economic instability of countries around the world, as well as the implication that deflationary conditions could have on markets. Fairfax cranked up the hedges on its equity portfolio to 100 per cent this year from 88 per cent at the end of 2015 – that’s how concerned management is about a possible financial storm.
For older investors, there might not be time to recover from the damage. Mr. Watsa’s worry is that a market downturn could mimic the stock market crash of 1929, where it took more than two decades for the Dow Jones to reach precrisis levels. And unlike the 2008 financial crisis, Mr. Watsa said, central banks are now mostly out of ammunition. “We just want to make sure people realize there are risks.”
As he is now 100% hedged (which is what, more exactly), for us, small investors, there is something similar that we could envision? Maybe to put all our money in Fairfax, and live happily ever after?!
Thanks as always for all you do for us.
