Q: Good morning,
Recently I have become concerned about the potential for a US sovereign debt crisis. From my understanding the amount of US debt is growing at an unsustainable rate and eventually it will become apparent that the US cannot pay back its debt while offering a real return to investors. Once this happens the US will have an issue borrowing money because there is a lack of lenders which will lead to them either having to cut back services (which would almost certainly cause a recession), defaulting because they can't roll over their debt (also causing a recession) or trying to change the rules of the fed to try and print the debt away (which would cause almost nobody to lend money to the US government again and almost certainly cause hyper inflation). To me any action that would involve cutting back services which would be better for the long term but really bad (and political suicide) for the short term would probably not be implemented because the politicians would be voted out. This line of thinking terrifies me and I am really hoping that I am missing something. Am I correct with my analysis? Is there anything that I am missing?
Thanks,
A
Recently I have become concerned about the potential for a US sovereign debt crisis. From my understanding the amount of US debt is growing at an unsustainable rate and eventually it will become apparent that the US cannot pay back its debt while offering a real return to investors. Once this happens the US will have an issue borrowing money because there is a lack of lenders which will lead to them either having to cut back services (which would almost certainly cause a recession), defaulting because they can't roll over their debt (also causing a recession) or trying to change the rules of the fed to try and print the debt away (which would cause almost nobody to lend money to the US government again and almost certainly cause hyper inflation). To me any action that would involve cutting back services which would be better for the long term but really bad (and political suicide) for the short term would probably not be implemented because the politicians would be voted out. This line of thinking terrifies me and I am really hoping that I am missing something. Am I correct with my analysis? Is there anything that I am missing?
Thanks,
A