Q: Hi Peter,
I really enjoyed your appearance recently on BNN. I like the fact that you appear without notes, printouts, “model” prices or table-pounding buys, unlike some of the other guys.
I read your FP article on the weekend on asset and sector allocation. I agree 100% with getting the sector right - just look at commodities over the past many years. It is the larger asset allocation question (stocks vs. bonds) that puzzles me. For me, I am an equity guy and typically run 90-100% equities for better long run returns. Any remainder is cash looking for new opportunities.
I have never in my life bought a bond (or bond ETF), unless you count CSBs 40 years ago when they were at 12% plus; rates we will never see again in our lifetimes. I understand bonds for reducing volatility in your portfolio. Last fall showed the volatility of an all equity portfolio. Yet today, we are making a nice recovery. My question is if or how do bonds enhance your returns?
In Warren Buffett’s recent interview on CNBC, he said that given a choice of holding a 10 year government bond versus holding the S&P 500 for 10 years, he would buy the S&P in a second. He said the same thing for a 30 year comparison. I just can’t get comfortable with the idea of holding bonds to enhance your returns. If the primary advantage of bonds is to reduce the volatility of your portfolio, then I am fine without bonds.
Thanks again for your insight.
Dave
I really enjoyed your appearance recently on BNN. I like the fact that you appear without notes, printouts, “model” prices or table-pounding buys, unlike some of the other guys.
I read your FP article on the weekend on asset and sector allocation. I agree 100% with getting the sector right - just look at commodities over the past many years. It is the larger asset allocation question (stocks vs. bonds) that puzzles me. For me, I am an equity guy and typically run 90-100% equities for better long run returns. Any remainder is cash looking for new opportunities.
I have never in my life bought a bond (or bond ETF), unless you count CSBs 40 years ago when they were at 12% plus; rates we will never see again in our lifetimes. I understand bonds for reducing volatility in your portfolio. Last fall showed the volatility of an all equity portfolio. Yet today, we are making a nice recovery. My question is if or how do bonds enhance your returns?
In Warren Buffett’s recent interview on CNBC, he said that given a choice of holding a 10 year government bond versus holding the S&P 500 for 10 years, he would buy the S&P in a second. He said the same thing for a 30 year comparison. I just can’t get comfortable with the idea of holding bonds to enhance your returns. If the primary advantage of bonds is to reduce the volatility of your portfolio, then I am fine without bonds.
Thanks again for your insight.
Dave