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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hello:

Appreciate your steady guidance through latest "interesting" markets.

What are the realistic possible paths for oil pricing and related companies? i.e. +6mo, +1 year, +2-3 years?

The Russia factor is a huge variable and I cannot see global sympathy restoring demand for Russian oil but money talks ... when I see US pump prices something will have to move longer term or there will be a lot of frustration and pain.

I own smaller positions in a few O&G companies at historic highs so I am tempted to take a little profit after not taking some for lots of growth stocks when they had tailwinds.

Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Marilou on May 18, 2022
Q: Good morning

I am confused...I understand the risk of inflation, war, Covid etc...The demand may be restricted for oil (short-term) but it does not seem to makes sense the volatility in energy when many will be making tremendous cash when oils above $80...TVE, Arc, Whitecap stocks were higher when oil was rising in the $80 range...is this just speculators jumping in and out...would it not be a good time in buy these stocks today as it seems to be quite emotional right now with the rest of the market...any other that you would recommend are being sold without thought of fundamentals?

Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Matthew on May 10, 2022
Q: On May 9th, there was a question from James about when MEG Energy might start a dividend. In their recent Q1 earnings report, they stated that once a debt level of $600 million was reached, which they expect by the 2nd half of 2023, 100% of free cash flow will be returned to shareholders. I would expect this means some combination of share buybacks and dividends.

In Q1, the company had approx $500 million of free cash flow, which is about $2.0 billion for a year at that rate. There are 307 million shares o/s currently, so that would equate to roughly $6.50 a share. If half went to share buybacks, then that would leave roughly $3.25 for a dividend, which would be about a 17% yield on the current share price. Of course, energy pricing could change significantly (up or down) between now and then.
Read Answer Asked by Dan on May 10, 2022
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