Investment Q&A

Q: You were asked a question regarding Savaria's forward PE multiple. Your response was 28 which is the same as the trailing PE multiple. How did you come up with that number? If a 28 multiple is true this stock is trading at a multiple that makes it very vulnerable to further declines despite what has happened in the last few weeks. I would like to know what your expected earnings per share are in each of the next two years please. Also could you identify anything on the horizon based on your analysis or management expectations that could lower or increase this estimate. And how do your numbers compare to management forecasts?

Q: Hi 5i,

Looking at pulling the trigger on a handful of Canadian stocks that've gotten beaten up lately to round out the Canadian portion of my portfolio.

I love a number of your recommendations. The one I seem to be struggling with the most is Savaria. P/E seems so high, its like it trades as a growth tech stock. In another question you indicated its forward P/E is 28.5 even with the recent correction.

So I guess my question is whether the confidence is still high for this pick? In a world where other Industrials like Magna and Linamar trade at such low multiples, does SIS really deserve the premium?

Thanks!

Ryan

Q: This stock baffles me. It's down almost 50% in the past 2 months. Its drop is unrelenting. I notice when subscribers ask which stocks you'd suggest 'now' its rarely if ever listed in your response.

Is this one of those that will have to be kept in a portfolio for 5 years just to break even?

What is your outlook here?

Sheldon

Q: Hi Peter and Staff
Any reason to worry here - drop off from it’s peak has been profound and continuous?
Thanks for all you do
Dennis

Q: Is there an update to forward 1 year p/e ratio on these companies? Thanks

Q: Sorry, yet another question on Premium Brands. In your response to Jim today you noted that 5I would consider the management of PBH to be good. In their 2019 Outlook they indicate they are expecting close to $10 per share of adjusted EBITA. Also they expect revenue of $3.7billion. Both seem impressive numbers, if they can be relied on, and the latter is especially so given the current market cap is appx. $2.4billion.

Analysts have reduced their earnings estimates for next year from $5.54 to $4.53 giving a forward PE of 16 which is below the 5 year low PE of 23.

Debt seems on the high side at 1.26 times equity and management have noted they are paying higher interest rates because of the current debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio. However interest coverage seems reasonable at 4.3 and if the EBITDA comes in as they expect there might be some interest rate relief.

In light of this what reasons would you advance for not investing at todays price?
Mike

Q: Hi 5I - I need some materials exposure and was looking at MX and CCL. Which one would you prefer for a 4-5% weighting or should I add both at say 3% each? Thanks, Neil

Q: Peter,thanks for positive view on TFII in reply to my Q on BNN. As per G&M today,Industrial Alliance upgraded it to a Strong Buy with a $60 target price,Also,CM upgraded BB to outperform,US$14 tp & downgraded PBH to neutal, $82 tp,average tp $98.70

Q: Greetings,
Falling sword or a possible future potential ?
At what price range is the running actual business worth more than share price?
At what point would you say it has become worth a "punt"?
Cheers

Q: How would you rank the above on a risk-reward basis over the next five years?

Q: Does the reduced outlook that NVDA gave yesterday affect your thoughts on Photon PHO at all? Does the guidance from both companies "jive" as to the general outlook? Or is Photon so small that it could grow rapidly even with the reduced macro outlook? I'm trying to figure out how agressive to be with Photon since I do like the changes the company has made in the last couple of years.

Q: I know photon is a cyclical and will come and go with the semi sector, but at an EV of 70million making almost 2 million in interest alone, the company would trade at 50x earnings without even their core business. would you still expect them to remain profitable, even with a very weak sector?

Q: Now that there is little hope of market stability which stocks should we consider good buy?.

Q: Hi, I took a half position in TSGI at $44.68, what do you think of adding to it now? Thanks. Peter

Q: Is the dividend safe?

Q: Good day,
Thanks for all of your insight lately during this market volitility. Im looking at putting some new money to work in a TFSA, with no regard to sectors or diversification, what two or three companies would you be a buyer of today? Thanks

Q: On Sept 20, SIS forecasted:
- 2018 Revenue of $285m & EBITDA of $44-45m
- 2019 Revenue of $400m & EBITDA of $60-62m

Today, SIS is forecasting...yup you guessed it... EXACTLY THE SAME.

Frustrating price action, but maybe a good thing. I'm trying to figure out if, like KXS, when their outlook hasn't changed, is this a fantastic buying opportunity or should we temper the 3-5 year timeframe enthusiasm somewhat given the macro environment.

Q: Good Day,
With these companies taking huge hits lately isn’t this the time to be greedy when others are fearful? Do these companies deserve full positions with a long term outlook?
Thx

Q: Ryan; I’m going to implement the “ conservative “ portfolio as it suits both mine and my wife’s situation. My question is - in this volatile market would you just invest it all at once or step in over a few quarters? Thanks.
Rod

Q: Could you explain what is driving MX stock price down? Down over 20% from the high.