Q: Dear 5i crystal ball.
Re recent comments on a market rallying just before and/or after announcement of a recession. The merits of which said recession seem to be debatable, but the market rally is in plain sight. Much of what I'm reading suggests that with increasing rates, the economy will slow, as intended, inflation will succumb, and a real recession will occur sometime in the next 12 months, accompanied by a market downturn. Accepting that the market is forward looking is the market currently looking beyond the real recession yet to occur, and therefore the current rally is sustainable, or are we to expect another market dowturn in the near future?
Thanks.
Peter.
Re recent comments on a market rallying just before and/or after announcement of a recession. The merits of which said recession seem to be debatable, but the market rally is in plain sight. Much of what I'm reading suggests that with increasing rates, the economy will slow, as intended, inflation will succumb, and a real recession will occur sometime in the next 12 months, accompanied by a market downturn. Accepting that the market is forward looking is the market currently looking beyond the real recession yet to occur, and therefore the current rally is sustainable, or are we to expect another market dowturn in the near future?
Thanks.
Peter.