Q: Reason for drop? "Crius Energy* (KWH.UN : TSX : $9.34), Net Change: -0.24, % Change: -2.51%, Vol: 221,451
WHY SO CRIUS? LET’S PUT A SMILE ON THAT FACE. Canaccord Genuity Industrial Technologies Analyst Raveel Afzaal has marginally downgraded his outlook on shares of Crius Energy after revising his US:CAD exchange rate assumption to $1.25 from $1.30. While he continues to believe his bullish target is achievable within 12 months, Afzaal expects the shares to trade sideways in the near term as Q3/17 consensus forecasts are potentially revised down, and due to the overhang created by expiry of the shares' lock-up period. This may result in temporary weakness in the share price and provide a better entry point. Afzaal has revising down Q3/17 EBITDA forecast from $29M to $19M; consensus at $30M: Crius Energy is expected to report its Q3/17 results in November (exact date not yet released). The company generated $21M in Adj. EBITDA in Q3/16. Afzaal believes mild weather can result in a $5-7M Y/Y EBITDA decline while gross margin compression can result in another $2-3M EBITDA decline. Afzaal expects USG&E to contribute ~$4-5M in Q3/17 (Q3 is seasonally weak due to its large natural gas portfolio). In the regards to the share lock-up, Afzaal expects 3.8M shares associated with the USG&E acquisition and another ~3.8M associated with the 2016 equity financing to come off lock-up during the Nov '17–Jan '18 time frame. At the end of the day, he says the attractive distribution yield and valuation multiple should provide support to the share price."
Q: Crius Energy is getting slammed. Is it a 'great buy' or an 'abandon ship' stock? I don't understand the dividend increases and this stock action.
With appreciation.
Ed
Q: It seems like a 9% drop today in share price is a little excessive in response to a fund manager moving on ( at the end of the year). Are there other factors in play here or just an over-reaction?
It seems like a nice buying opportunity. Many thanks for your comments.
Q: What is your view of QCOM stock today. Been holding since oct.2013 down 23% with dividends about breakeven. More litigation this morning. Thinking of taking tax loss while exchange rate is favorable or should i hold ?
Approximately when does tax loss season begins ?
Thanks for the expertise as always !
Denis.
Q: Have done well on IGV. Thinking of adding Blackrock's BST. My portfolio is totally diversified so no big concentrations. What do you think of BSt ?
Thank you Team !
Q: Do you foresee any improvement in HWO's SP before the end of 2017? I'm currently down about 15% on this stock and it's a prime candidate for YE tax loss selling in my portfolio. Also, is there any concern that the dividend will be cut? Thanks for your insight.
Q: Hi Peter and Team,
PVG released good Q3 result. SP jumped more than 20% today. Could you please comment the valuation of PVG based on the result and outlook. At what price would this be a good buy for gold stock?
Q: I would like to add to one or two of the above stocks with my gains from Shopify. In a well diversified portfolio I am looking for dividend income with some growth. I hold all of the above just slightly less than a 2% allocation in the portfolio.
Many thanks for your continued support, education, advice and suggestions. I have done well under 5i direction since 2013. Thank you.
Q: The question of what to do when one is worried about the possibility of a sharp market correction often arises. In the past you have proposed increasing the portfolio allocation to cash. As a complement to that strategy, what about tilting the portfolio more toward low beta (less than 0.5, say) stocks? I’m thinking of stocks like L, ECI, CSH.UN, KBL, SJ, SLF. How much protection - qualitatively speaking -do you think that would provide against the possibility of a sharp correction of, say, 10-15%?
Q: What are your thoughts on Outlook for Savaria, Grande West and Andrew Peller.
I see a Report from last year on Andrew Peller. Where do you see this Company going in the Long Run.
And How would you rate this Companies on Growth Potential.
Q: Hi guys
My question earlier was a comparison of L brands to Parkland Fuel. Perhaps it was taken as Laurentian bank by mistake. Thank you for the quick response though.
J
Q: G&M is reporting the CFO is leaving Friday. This stock has been treading water (at best) for a while. Is it time to bail or hold on - Thanks for your excellent service