Investment Q&A

Q: ON Jan 18 of this year I asked you guys what I should do with my CTC money that I had after I sold the stock.

Here's the stocks and their performance since then"

TFII -(13%)
MG- (19%)
WSP - (-4%)

So obviously the 2 top ones have been clobbered in a period of 3 months. I own them, do you still believe these are the best place to be invested given the economic outlook currently or should I sell these names and purchase others?

Thanks


Sheldon

Q: To protect an account could you purchase a put (leap) for the SPY etf? Also how large does to put purchased need to be per $1m in equities.

Q: I would appreciate your thoughts on asset and sector allocation if one believes we are approaching a recession. Thanks for a great service.

Q: Please give me your outlook re the lumber market in the next year in light of rising interest rates, would you consider it a sell or hold and if a sell would you give me some sector areas to redeploy the money.

Q: Nutrien's stock fortunes have been rapidly diverging from that of the big American fertilizer companies over the last month. To what do you attribute this?

Q: Some talk of chances of fed engineering a soft landing are low. Inflation too high and it isn’t transitory and tightening will likely put us into a recession in 2023. Is a recession a very likely scenario for 2023?

Q: Between January and March of last year (13-16 months ago) I sold my bond holdings in ZAG and CLF and moved the money into the short-term bond fund ZST. As a capital preservation strategy it limited the downside from rising interest rates. ZST is down 2%, while CLF is down 6% and ZAG 9%. I saw an analyst on BNN this morning recommend it is time to start easing back into longer term bonds. It feels a bit early to me. Won't the short term bond funds benefit first from rising rates while the longer term funds will continue to decline? If capital preservation and rate of return are weighted about 50/50, what do you think of moving back into longer term bond funds at this time and would you do it gradually?

Q: oh Ross Healey....on Market Call.......yes Garth and another person, everyone has an opinion but Ross's is like outside the standard deviation and by a wide margin me, surprised BNNBloomberg invites the "heel" onto the show
I'll take 5IR anytime.......Tom

Q: I fully agree with your long term buy and hold of strong companies philosophy which is why I am so happy subscribing to this website.

Recently, I've been wondering how cyclical stocks like those above fit into that philosophy. I don't want to become a trader, but I am wondering if I should sell these at a relative high and invest in companies that are more likely to grow steadily over the long term. These ebb and flow companies seem more suited to a trader.

Given that investment strategy, would you sell companies like this at the good point in their price history?

Thanks as always.

Kevin

Q: the metals are taking a shellacking today, do you know the reason?

Q: Are there any indicators a recession coming?

I ask as nothing makes much sense at the moment. I run my own business, and there is a lot going on right now and feel the sand shifting underneath me.

COGS is going up like crazy, there is wage inflation, inflation in general, and interest rate increases on the horizon. I notice retail customers are bit slower than before and shipping is going up.

I don't get a good sense that things can continue like this.

I know inflation doesn't normally cause recessions, but interest rate increases can.

Should I not worry about it and just let my balanced portfolio go through the process.

Or do I position some Cash or more recession proof companies into my portfolio?

Sorry lots to unpack, but the Tea Leaves aren't giving me anything yet my gut feels something;)

Thanks Colin.

Q: Hi 5i!

Usually the CAD gets stronger compared to the USD when oil prices rise. This time around with oil above 100$ the CAD did not really follow suite. It does look like it has started to move up. In the short term( 3 to 5 months) Where do you see the CAD going. Any chance your amazing crystal ball see it going to 85C?

Thank you!

Q: Going forward for the rest of this year, what sectors do you think will do best in terms of growth and can out perform the broad market?

Q: Hi 5i
As we all know, growth companies need to maintain strong growth to justify their valuations. In looking at some past answers, I am not clear if you prefer earnings growth or revenue growth as the key metric. For a tech company, what would you consider as a strong earnings growth rate and a strong revenue growth rate? How many years do you look out? Are there any websites that show these projections? I do not believe that your website shows forward looking growth rates, just historical ones.
Thanks again.

Q: I am a recently retired 60 year-old investor who has a DB pension, fairly large RRSP, and wish to hold off CPP until age 70 for maximum benefit.
So based on the above, even with some income-splitting, tax-wise I am going to get taken to the cleaners once I hit my 70's. I am planning to withdraw some RRSP money over the next 10 years in an attempt to lessen the hit.

Generally I am a dividend investor, but the dreaded dividend gross-up does further damage to my situation with regards to the OAS claw-back. I am wondering if I should be adding more of the growth type companies instead (eg. BAM, CSU, FSV) instead of adding to my dividend-paying stocks.

I know you are not tax experts and don't expect any specific advice, but do you have a general opinion on a retiree balancing their mainly dividend portfolio with some growth? I always thought dividends were taxed better than capital gains, but that gross-up is the enemy here.

Q: I tend to hold either 3% or 5% positions in companies I own. If you were to own the above companies, which ones would you be inclined to own at a 3% level and which ones at a 5% level? If you would not be inclined to hold one or more of these companies at all, please indicate.
Thanks for a great service and have a well deserved weekend break. ram

Q: I have recently came across $30k unexpectedly from a former employer and was pleasantly surprised. It is currently in an mutual and it would not through my weightings out of balance. I have a well diversified and weighted portfolio with your quality names such as TD, BNS, VET, ENB, TOI, BAM, LSPD, AEM, ATZ, TRUL etc... If I was to move it from the fund to an equity only to set and forget(again) for 15 years what would you chose. At least your top 3. thx.

Q: I have to move $100K into my RSP for corporate tax reasons. I have been waiting for the market to settle. I am in no rush just have to do it before October. I know you can’t time the market but thinking about making the transfer and then slowly buying over the next while as the ups and downs are not as big as they have been over the last many months. Your thoughts on this?

Another option may be purchasing a few ETFs both growth and balanced. I have no ETFs to date and think this may be an option, any suggestions?

Q: If one was to assume the Fed is going to need to be tougher than expected and they will have to be more aggressive (regardless of 5i stance), what sectors can maintain/improve their earnings growth and which could be expected to have the earnings expectations lowered from current levels under that scenario?
Thank you as always!

Q: Should the stock prices of energy , agriculture, metals and materials shares hold up in a time of higher interest rates, inflation and possible recession