Investment Q&A

Q: A recent story on CTV news had the following:

I don't think that we're in a recession just yet, but I do think that one is on the horizon," David Doyle, the head of economics at Macquarie Group, told BNN Bloomberg. "Our baseline is that Canada will enter a recession in the first quarter of 2023.

Macquarie Group, an Australia-based global financial services provider, estimates Canada will face an approximately three per cent contraction in gross domestic product (GDP) and a five per cent rise in its unemployment rate during the predicted recession.

We actually think it will be pretty severe in Canada," Doyle said. "I think the die has been cast on this front. Because inflation has become so elevated, and unemployment was allowed to fall so low, I think a recession is almost inevitable at this point.

1. Do you agree or disagree, and why?
2. And if there is a chance of a "pretty severe" Q1 2023 recession in Canada, how would you position your equity investments? Go to cash? Go to certain sectors? go to the USA?

thank you for your excellent service.

Q: NEWS ALERT
OPEC+ to Weigh Production Cut to Bolster Oil Prices
OPEC+ is set to consider Wednesday its sharpest production cut since the start of the pandemic to help prop up falling oil prices, a move that could put pressure on global economic growth.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its Moscow-led allies, collectively known as OPEC+, are weighing a reduction of more than 1 million barrels a day, delegates in the group said.

Peter; Would this be a trigger to generalists to buy into the oil market? Thanks. Rod

Q: This Bear markets inflicted lots of pain and loss of confidence. XD for BNS is Oct 3 ,so if I sell on Oct 3, please confirm that I still get the Dividend. In term of share performance,Mr Porter is the worst in his tenure of some 9 years vs the other big 6. Txs for u usual great services & advices.

Q: I noted that Warren Buffett recently bought more oxy on the dip. I also noted that some time ago he sold his stake in Suncor. I need to raise my energy sector holdings and was planning on buying Suncor. Because it is a good company and because of the tax credit, versus a US counterpart. But I hesitate when I see Buffet continuing to buy. Does he know something that we don’t know? Or, does he have a special deal that we don’t have access to? I am thinking that if they are more or less equal that I would be better to get the one with the tax credit? But the question is whether they are equal? Or does oxy have an advantage that outstrips the tax credit?
Thanks for the great service

Q: Except for Apple I'm down 40% in the others. Time to sell and wait or hang on for the long term?
I bought Apple at $126 so still good.

Thanks

Q: I am looking at a purchase in my non-registered account. All the above stocks are below there targets and some are at 5 star price levels. What would be your choice from the list for growth for a 3 - 5 year hold?

Q: BoE bond buying announcement largely had to prevent margin calls and pension impact risks. (As well as other economic needs) Not an expert, but it sounds like mass panic in Europe(inflation, Russia etc…) Leading to significant credit availability reductions needed for businesses for financing etc. With this all happening does this not provide an ideal environment for TOI to acquire European business’s at a discount, understanding they strategically use their cash flow to finance the deals. Lead to a very bright bright upside in the future?

Q: What would you see as the best way to play the silver market in this environment?

Q: I received this note regarding GE Fair Fund $200 mil. civil money penalties. Is it worth the time to claim my piece and to go through all the required documents for the 800 shares I had? My cost was around $18k and $7k in losses. The shares were held in an RRSP account.
Many Thanks.

Q: Is this stock of any interest in this market being a long term lithium play? It has held up reasonably ok in this volatile market.

Q: If you had to choose to buy, would you select aapl or Goog?
Thanks Ruth

Q: My current position is down 95%...and I saw more bad news come today. May I ask why the company filled a credit protection and what will likely to happen from here? Is there still a hope on this name?

thank you,

Q: I own this ETF. Down 24%. Not particularly concerned given the overall market. But I do not understand how the industrial real estate sector is expected to perform in the current environment. What is your outlook for this sector? Thanks for your help.
David

Q: Looking ahead to a very tight European natural gas market this winter. Which five Canadian (if any) and US natural gas and LNG companies would see a direct benefit?
Thank you

Q: So, when you give us an update on a particular stock and give it a rating, what am I suppose to do with the stock…. Buy ?

Q: msft or nvda
panw or crwd
jpm or your best canadian bank?

and your best recommendation for maximum growth no matter the risk!!
thank you = ed in Montreal

Q: For the info of members:

Read in The Motley Fool about the dividend history of the Bank of Nova Scotia. Certainly makes it a must own for the Canadian banking sector.

"I tend to favor companies that increase their dividends annually, like Dividend Aristocrats. We already know that regulators made sure that Canadian banks couldn't claim such a streak, but that doesn't mean Scotiabank doesn't have anything to crow about on the dividend front. For starters, the dividend has been increased in 43 of the last 45 years. And, even more impressive, a dividend has been paid every year since dividend payments started being paid out on July 1, 1833. That date is not a typo. That's a dividend record that is hard to complain about."

Regards,
Ronald

Q: Hello

I finally bought into the thinking that GSY is helpful for some of the Canadian population. I bought shares recently when I thought things were not looking so bad.
GSY investment has given me the experience of a Waterfall/ Falling Knife Chart and it appears to continue to drain away capital value.
Terrible investment for me despite being what I thought to be a decent buy point.

The valuation I know is compelling.........everyone says those useless words.
Does this company have the financial ability to make it through this crashing market?
What is the indicator that makes you believe it to be so?

Thanks

Q: Dividend yield on Fiera at 10%. What are your thoughts on safety of the dividend? Would you prefer BNS or FSZ in here?
Thanks
Rob

Q: Could you please offer an opinion on two Manulife funds, both managed by Alan Wicks. Both monthly high income funds, one Canadian MMF1040 and one US MMF9927. Not absolutely positive on the ticker numbers, they seem to have so many versions? My wife's advisor has suggested switching her accounts from the Canadian to the US version.