Investment Q&A

Q: what caused the recent stock price drop?

Q: Purely, on the basis of which company has the best prospects for capital gains going forward, should I buy Enbridge or Fortis at these levels. Or should I take a position in both? Why?
As always, thanks for your valued opinion!

Q: Hello, just want to ckeck with you if my calculations of the debt / cash flow ratio of Enb is exact? I obtain a ratio of 9.2 and here is how I get it using data from Tmx Money: Long term debt of 60.8 B / Net cash from continuing operations of 6.6 B = 9.2 ratio. If that is what you have, are we in dangerous territory? Thanks, Gervais

Q: Good morning 5i team,

I was wondering what your view would be on the changes that the drop in a utility like enbridge might be finished or whether there is more to come. It is an attractive price at the moment. But, there are a number of rate hikes coming in the coming year. Would these already be written in, or is there more carnage to come? Just looking for an educated guess.
thanks

Q: At what point do you take enbridge out behind the barn and shoot it? Or is the flip side true and its becoming a screaming buy to be averaged into? I thought it was a steal at 48. Less than keen to watch it slide even further.

Q: i have roughly more than 100 thousand investment room in rrsp resp and TFSA. i am thinking buy some reit or stock?

pls help me>

appreciate.

Q: Current price $40.57(5yr low),6.62% yield(mainly due to drop in price,partly div.growth)& high $66b debt.A rising interest rate environment,which will be further aggravated if Trump impose tariffs.New York Fed Governor W Dudley stated"raising trade barriers would risk setting off a trade war,which could damage economic growth prospects around the world".Recently filed for potential mixed shelf offering.Will be dilutive & negative if sell shares @ such low price(remember CPG which keeps on issuing shares).However it does have $10b non core assets,of which $3/4b are to be sold In 2018.Have not heard of any sale,maybe not getting the desired price. I have 1/2 position @ $49,so add,hold or sell.Txs for u usual great services & views.

Q: How Spectra/ ENB issues of recently announced debentures impact the stock price and dividend of ENB in the short term (3 months) and long term (5 years).
Do you recommend ENB purchase at $40-41? Thank you,
Kam

Q: Hi 5i,
I have a pretty balanced RRSP with these stocks and FUND. I am only up with the FUND and BEP.UN. I have about $10, 000 to add to the mix. Should I buy in to any of the losing stocks, add a new one or wait and see . Possibly ranking the "losers" might help me.
Many thanks. I enjoy the Q & A daily.
Great coverage.
Cheers
Paul

Q: My question on ENB is that its earning is $1.66/sh., and its dividend is $2.68/sh., Do u think that a cut of dividend is forseeable like TRP in early 2000's? Thank you.

Q: Good afternoon,

If you had to choose either ENB or TRP right now for a longer-term hold, which one would you buy. Thx.

Q: This is a follow up on my earlier question on tax loss selling for Enbridge:
1) Aqn. I like it but is it really an equivalent of Enbridge? I can see how Trans canada could be, because it is pipe lines. But, I don't think Algonquin has pipelines. So, I imagine you are saying that it is not an exact replacement but close enough. Am I correct?
2) I am not great with calculations and would like to know how you calculate the 21 per cent that you mention. You speak about a high tax rate. What do you consider a high tax rate. It looks like 20 per cent here. Is that right?

thanks again

Q: On Feb 20 ENB filed for a potential mixed shelf offering;If it is selling shares @ this low price(think lowest for the last 3yrs) it will be dilution. & negative.It has $10b of non-core assets for sale of which $3/4 mil may be sold in 2018.What is going on.At one time almost all of guests on BNN recommend ENB,but more & more are not doing soBought @ $49.Txs for u usual great views & services

Q: Based on your answers to other questions, it appears you like ENB quite a bit but don't like ENF? Can you explain why? ENF has a very attractive dividend.

Q: This question has to do with tax loss selling on Enbridge. Currently I have a loss of 7 per cent or three thousand dollars. I am considering selling Enbridge to recuperate this loss and buy an equivalent. I was thinking,though, that Enbridge is so beaten up that no equivalent would rise as much as it if and when the tide turns. So, the question is whether it is worth it to make the switch? And if yes, what would be a good alternative?
thanks once again for great service

Q: I am sure you are getting tired answering questions about ENB. Well, here’s one more. For the past month, as ENB has dropped from $48 to $43, every analyst on the planet rates it a screaming buy. So, what is Mr. Market seeing that us mortals do not?
Thank you for your patience.
Frank

Q: Hi Peter,

In light of Enbridges current price of ~ $43.00, I took the opportunity to take a look at historical yields on Enbridge, as I’m currently contemplating buying more. I was able to source data back to 1995, which turned up a few interesting things, specifically:
- The long term growth rate of the ENB dividend has been ~ 11%
- The current yield (6.3%) is one of the highest yields in recent years.
- The yield has traditionally bounced between 2% to 5% since 1995. The period from 2016 onwards (weakness in energy sector) has seen the yield “fatten up” significantly.

With this information in mind, it’s my opinion (which could be wrong!) that for a longer term investor who is patient, Enbridge is simply a waiting game. The current public sentiment towards energy infrastructure (pipelines) pretty much guarantees that nothing new can be built, but also guarantees that what is in the ground will remain full, as I can’t see consumption of hydrocarbons/energy falling off a cliff anytime soon. Over a 5 year period, even if one ratchets down ENB dividend growth to 5% annually, and one assumes that the future yield comes in at the high end of 6%, this suggests that the future share price of ENB would be somewhere in the neighborhood of $57.00 ($3.42 dividend/ 6%). While this doesn’t suggest a massive gain, it still entails a compounded annual ROR of 5.8% over this period, and this assumes a “low end” scenario. On the other hand, if ENB can maintain dividend growth of 8% (which is still less than their guidance of 10%) and the yield corrects to something closer to a historical average (4%) then this would suggest a future price in five years of $98.40 ($3.93 dividend / 4%), a compounded annual ROR of 18% over a five year period. The risk in all of this is that something catastrophic happens, and ENB chops their dividend, much like TRP did back in ’99 (or 2000?).
My request is therefore simple – let me know what the flaws in this thesis are, or if you believe it to be sound, let me know that it is. Thanks.

Q: Hello,

If there is never another new pipeline built in Canada (which I feel is a real possibility), how would you view pipelines companies as long term investments going forward?

Regards,

Robert

Q: If my broker went on national tv and picked 3 index stocks I would immediately move my money.
I can pay 0.03 and get the same results.
Most of the guests on BNN are scared to stray from index.
Your group is not.
I read all of the questions and answers.
I learn something new everyday.
Thank you,

Q: Good morning 5i,

Disclosure first: Sorry for another ENB, and also, I've owned ENB for 20 years now, and it's done me very well! However, I have been really thinking about the last several years, more importantly the coming years.

I read the Q&A daily, great service, and have a question about the ratios (P/E, P/CF, P/B, etc) you provide in answers to other ENB questions. Am I correct in assuming they are from Bloomberg ... What numbers / earnings would these be based on ... Adjusted? GAAP? DCF?

Also, from ENB's press release:
•Earnings of $207 million or $0.13 per common share for the fourth quarter and earnings of $2,529 million or $1.66 per common share for the full year, both including the impact of a number of unusual, non-recurring or non-operating factors.

The "number of unusual, non-recurring or non-operating factors."
I'm pretty sure I remember these exact same words in an Enron press release.

From Globe Investor:
Enbridge said it took a $4.55-billion charge in the latest quarter to write down assets in the gas transmission and midstream business.

I can't find 'What' assets, worth $4.55B that they wrote down with no apparent explanation. Hopefully, I'm not looking hard enough.
Did 5i see anything that further explains this?
(for comparison, the Line 3 replacement is $5.3B, so $4.55B must be substantial)

As mentioned, I read this forum daily, and do know that while you endorse the company, you also state it is not without some risk.
(both TRP(~20 yrs ago) and KMI have cut their dividends before)

Appreciate your answer to the ratios question, and comments on the write downs.
Thank you, I do enjoy the service, and have a great weekend.

Rod

(deduct accordingly)