Q: This is the thesis you offered in early July, on NVDA. It is really about gaming and virtual reality. Its chips have one of the best reputations for speed and quality, both very necessary for these industries. Itis expensive at 25X earnings, but growth should be 40%+ this year. It has $3 billion in cash and generates very strong free cash flow. Revenue growth looks good and it has a solid record (7/8) of beating earnings estimates. It looks like chip applications are widening, as NVDA is also showing good growth from the data centre industry. Autonomous cars are another growing market for the company. It pays a small dividend and we think it is very well managed."
I'm having a very difficult time seeing that anything has changed. If anything, NVDA should be on the cusp of something even better, and yet the Citron thesis says "all the easy money has been made." How can this be? If the easy money has been made, that would suggest that NVDA will be grinding to a halt soon, and yet with the ever-increasing demand for all the areas of technology it covers, I'm at a loss on Citron's approach.
Notwithstanding your usual advice that there are always two-sides to a trade, there still has to be someone who is "more right" ... and I think it's you, and the position you offered in July. Is this still worth a 3 year hold ... my ultimate time frame for this particular account.
Thanks as ever. Happy New Year! ... Thanks for another great year of superlative service!!
I'm having a very difficult time seeing that anything has changed. If anything, NVDA should be on the cusp of something even better, and yet the Citron thesis says "all the easy money has been made." How can this be? If the easy money has been made, that would suggest that NVDA will be grinding to a halt soon, and yet with the ever-increasing demand for all the areas of technology it covers, I'm at a loss on Citron's approach.
Notwithstanding your usual advice that there are always two-sides to a trade, there still has to be someone who is "more right" ... and I think it's you, and the position you offered in July. Is this still worth a 3 year hold ... my ultimate time frame for this particular account.
Thanks as ever. Happy New Year! ... Thanks for another great year of superlative service!!