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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hi 5i

I'm asking for a gut feel response, does this "fear" train seem any more concerning than at other times previously in your career going back to the mid 80's (I think this is right) ?
>>> "when the market 'settles down' but right now investors are back on the 'fear' train and worried about many things"

I believe interest rates are closer to "normal" today rather than our recent history but can understand many younger investors having a recency bias. (Even if I was too young to invest during those peaking 15-20% days of old)

Maybe I'm just a perpetual optimist.

Thanks
Read Answer Asked by mike on October 26, 2023
Q: Do you think it is a good time to add bonds? It seems the most likely scenario's (slow growth with moderating inflation like now, or full blown recession) will be more favourable to bond investors than equity holders. What is the asset mix you would employ and do you favour longer bonds today? Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Curtis on October 26, 2023
Q: Hi group...If we assume the conflict in middle east is going to escalate. What are you thoughts on a strategy to take advantage ...I am thinking we might test last Oct lows...What your thoughts on this?.
I have $100,000) cash waiting to invest at some point... do you suggest entry soon? and if so what is your top 10 picks regardless of sector or market. Thanks for your insight
Read Answer Asked by Terence on October 24, 2023
Q: I'm looking to generate a reliable source of income to support my family's essential expenses over the next 5-10 years. Ideally, I want a mix of investment products with a high level of principal security (around 80%) while allowing for some capital risk (around 20%). What investment options would you suggest? Should I stick with GICs, or are there more creative approaches available?
Read Answer Asked by Robert on October 23, 2023
Q: Now that the yield curve inversion spread has narrowed substantially from over 1.00 to about.20, is this a good sign for the mkt overall or a bad one? Thanks
Read Answer Asked by george on October 23, 2023
Q: If you were in possession of a crystal ball, what do you think it would tell you if asked: "When will growth stocks return to favour and revert to the highest performing market segment?"
Read Answer Asked by Andrew on October 22, 2023
Q: How much more downside risk would there be in Canadian banks and utilities in the next year?

Thanks
Brian
Read Answer Asked by Brian on October 22, 2023
Q: For some time 5i (and others) have noted that small cap valuations are low on a historic basis, and I also believe that you have commented that small caps often lead in a market turnaround? I really like a good "reversion to the mean" play, but what are the conditions for that to happen? I have to think inflation and higher interest rates are disproportionate headwinds for smaller companies vs large caps. What should one look for before buying a small cap ETF, or just forget the timing and figure you'll be happy in a few years one way or another? Thanks for your thoughts.
Read Answer Asked by Stephen R. on October 19, 2023
Q: This question is about interest rates and their effect on dividend paying stocks and tech stocks. Most people talk about rates going up or down but not if they stay where they are now. As a senior whose memory stretches back to the 70’s and beyond, these rates seem rather normal to me. A recent article by Howard Marks of Oaktree Investments ( a unit of Brookfield ) quotes him saying he believes that rates will not decline and will be staying around their current level for quite a while. If so, how would the dividend paying stocks ( banks, utilities, telecoms, reits, ) and the tech stocks react ? Thanks. Derek.
Read Answer Asked by Derek on October 17, 2023
Q: I am closing down a corporation which holds an investment account based loosely on the balanced equity fund. To close the corp. this year, I need to liquidate all the holdings by year end. The performance of the market in the last few months has made me somewhat reluctant to do this. Do you see hope for some rebound by year end or should I simply liquidate at the earliest convenience and forget about market noise?

Thanks for your advice.
Read Answer Asked by Rod on October 13, 2023
Q: In Dec 2022, you answered Ron's question "Is the current inverted yield curve predicting a recession in the next 6 months?"
Can you answer it again almost 1 year later?
What percentage of time does a recession happen when the yield curve inverts, and on average how long does the recession last?
Would you move your money out of high risk investments at this point anticipating a recession?
Read Answer Asked by Connie on October 11, 2023
Q: Everyone, if you can guesstimate for the remaining year were do you see the Nasdaq: up down; %. I see it up 10 to 15%. Clayton
Read Answer Asked by Clayton on October 10, 2023
Q: I am looking for large or mid cap cash rich companies that seem to be punished because the rest of the market is down.
Read Answer Asked by Murray on October 04, 2023
Q: Hey Guys,

- In this current environment, I know you are not betting people/advisors, But What in Your Opinion that Stands out as a Theme, Investment or Speculative Play that may be something to look at...
- Take speculative funds and invest in what?

Thanks,
M
Read Answer Asked by michael on October 03, 2023
Q: What is your top 6 picks regardless if Cad / US based / sectors. Also supply entry price and brief explanation on why you like your picks...Thanks for your help with this.
Read Answer Asked by Terence on October 03, 2023
Q: There’s a widely held belief that a recession will occur fairly soon which would see the US ten year yield decline, but there are also bond experts now predicting that the yield could rise above 13% within seven years. If that happens, does it mean that dividend paying “bond proxies” like pipelines, telcos and utilities will just keep drifting lower? Does the same apply to mining companies? What’s the investment thesis for such assets in a world of rising yields?
Read Answer Asked by Brian on October 03, 2023
Q: Everyone. AI is at the beginning of a great breakout in many industries. AI is in exponentially growth period and the early adopters will benefit but the biggest beneficiaries are yet to be identified. I didn’t understand the benefits of MSFT or APPL in their pre-real growth stages. Will AI change the stock market in a profound way the humans will not be involved ie the human stock pickers. What tech areas should I look for be looking for or are they in my view already? Should we believe in the large cap tech stocks will continue to lead, or buy, the AI technology revolution? Clayton
Read Answer Asked by Clayton on October 03, 2023
Q: On Sept 7 Dave asked a currency question and your response was: ‘ The US economy does seem stronger, and we think the US dollar will outperform. Also, when investors get scared, and move to a 'risk off' mentality, they move to the US dollar for safety. Generally, we don't spend much time predicting currencies.’
We’ve recently come into some US dollars and are hoping you could provide some direction for us despite your reluctance to speculate. Brian Ackers’ prediction on BNN this week is the Canadian dollar will fall dramatically to 68 cents. We’re not interested in perfect timing but would like to convert some of it within the next 3-6 months. Any advice would be greatly appreciated.
Read Answer Asked by Warren on September 29, 2023
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