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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: A dark 2025/6 scenario would be mild recession in Canada, more serious recession in the U.S., both deepened at some point by a U.S. dollar crisis due to massive deficits and chaotic Trump. How should a TFSA be positioned to weather this? Dividend stocks versus bonds? How much of portfolio in gold stocks? How big a cash allocation? What else? Please deduct points as needed for this speculative question.
Read Answer Asked by John on April 30, 2025
Q: The rumour today is that Trump's team is about to announce their first trade deal. It sounds to me like England. Assuming that more of these follow and perhaps increase in frequency, sentiment will change and I personally expect a risk-on environment.

Please list the 10 equities from the US and Canada (in any sector) that you project will move most aggressively over a 3 month period in an environment where trade deals are the daily news and not negative bluster. Note, I am not asking you to asses the probability of deals, just the 10 companies that are poised to benefit most in terms of share price. Note that these can be risky companies but if they are, please state that and explain why the upside makes up for the risk.

Please take an extra credit and state whether each suggestion is a short term trade or a long term hold.
Read Answer Asked by Tim on April 30, 2025
Q: I understand that DSG and KXS operate in different spaces, but had thought that, as the market put April 9 behind it, they would recover along similar trajectories - but KXS has clearly taken the lead, today matching its December, 2024 high. Supposing that at least some of Trump's tariff plans come to fruition, is KXS the better investment? DGS's RoC (per your database) is far more attractive.
Read Answer Asked by John on April 30, 2025
Q: Can you give your thoughts on INMD's earnings today? The market isn't liking the continued rev and profit deceleration, and again lowered guidance. They blame economic forces but this pre dates Trump and the recent pullback, so one has to believe their previous products keep losing brand power. They have a lot of cash, and they bought back a lot of shares but its seeming like a bit of a value trap since the buybacks aren't making up for the business decel. They released a newer product in the last year but at this point we have no clue if its going to do well. Is this still a hold for you? Thx
Read Answer Asked by Adam on April 29, 2025
Q: Given that they had been put into the penalty box because of past transgressions with account openings, I had a thesis that WFC would benefit significantly from the Trump administration plan to deregulate. Unfortunately, my timing was off, the shares had already increased and dropped after I invested. At this point I wonder if I should abandon my thesis and move to another financial holding. In your view, would GS be a better investment? And why? Alternatively, although Regional banks were hit hard in the past, FITB seems to be favourably viewed; would that be better than WFC or GS? And if so, why? This is in a TFSA and looking for growth, not income. Many thanks for your excellent service.
Read Answer Asked by Leonard on April 29, 2025
Q: I believe in international diversification, but I am currently regretting the high weight I have put on US-dollar-denominated holdings in my portfolio. Given Trump's policies to date, his career record of welshing proudly on past debts and the years remaining in his term, I want to lower the weight substantially and invest in more European, British, Japanese, Australian and New Zealand assets instead, assets not denominated in US dollars. What ETFs do you suggest for this purpose?
Read Answer Asked by Philip on April 24, 2025
Q: I am slowly working on reducing my exposure to the US$ given the recent commentary and negative sentiment. I am also questioning bond exposures given the Trump administrations decisions recently and hiccups it has been causing in the bond market. I have ensured the downside risk on long bonds and would like your take on the following:

1) If Trump causes crisis in the bond market which bond market and ETF would be least likely to be disrupted?

2) What is your take on the short and medium term risks to the bond market with Trumps economic non-strategy?

3) Is it a more reasoned decision to reduce bond exposures in favour of investing in shares of stable Canadian or European companies?

Thanks very much,

Dave
Read Answer Asked by Dave on April 23, 2025
Q: What do you think market reaction would be on 1) removal of Fed chair Powell and replacement by the man proposed by Pres. Trump, 2) drop of interest rates by the new Fed Chair and whether this drop would overpower the tariff influence, and 3) the liklihood of any lower interest rate euphoria quickly wearing off because of the tariffs?
Thanks a lot for you valued insights.
Read Answer Asked by TOM on April 22, 2025
Q: I used to own a REIT called INN . A play on the Canadian tourism industry . I did quite well on it and sold it for a tidy profit when they were bought out . With our southern neighbors rapidly approaching " Most Hated Nation " status coupled with their currently well publicized Gestapo tactics at the border resulting in travel alerts in at least five countries ..... I am curious in what ways I can invest in the Canadian tourism industry ? On social media I am reading a lot of European and Aussie tourists are planning trips to Canada instead of the U.S. .... Any suggestions of an approach to investing in Canadian tourism ? I am looking for Canada " only " options . If there are no " Canada " options how about Europe ? Not interested in any company that even uses U.S. airspace..... I'm an " Elbows Up " Canucklehead .....

Of course one other concern is Trump throwing the world into recession and the travel industry suffering as a result. Could 5i comment on that thesis as well ? ..... Thanks for your terrific service .....
Read Answer Asked by Garth on April 17, 2025
Q: Hello team,

With the tariff situation and the often-contradictory comments issued by Trump and some of his advisors leading to some markets sectors tumbling or, occasionally, jumping then retreating once the corresponding news have been corroborated, denied, or even contradicted, the financial markets seem, at times, to be taking the allure of a casino with the performance of some sectors or individual stocks are subject to wild swings, and sometimes even within the same day… How do you advise retail investors to behave under the circumstances?

Consequently, could you see a situation where the repercussions of Trump and his team’s behaviour could affect the US stock and bond markets in an irreparable manner? (For example, large investment houses retreating from given sectors in tandem creating a serious imbalance in trade, or China dumping their large trove of Treasury bonds.)

Adel
Read Answer Asked by Adel on April 16, 2025
Q: I bought TDB2915 a U.S. money market fund some time ago . There is 10.82 % of my portfolio in it . My sole reason for buying it was TD Waterhouse said that was the only way I could get around currency exchange when buying U.S. stocks. I recently bought a U.S. stock and they did not take the money from the account and when questioned on it informed me that they no longer did this practice. So I really have no motivation for keeping the money in this fund. Though the fund has increased in value 10% over the six or seven years I have had it. I'm not sure if this fund is earning me any money or not . Could 5i answer that question ? And more importantly with economic chaos in the U.S. is 5i more optimistic in the short term on the U.S dollar or the loonie ?

I recently read an article that Canada, the EU, and China could do some pretty serious damage to the Trump buck should they unite to sell off their U.S. treasuries ....... Would 5i counsel moving it into Canadian cash to be deployed in the future ? I'm in no mad panic to buy right now til we know what the U.S. is going to do ...... Thanks for your terrific service .....
Read Answer Asked by Garth on April 11, 2025