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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: I sold LSPD yesterday after more than doubling up and was quite pleased with the $29.50 number until I saw that it has closed at $34. I want to be a long term owner an my thinking was that it would drift down from my sale price as reality sets in over the coming months. I am well aware that this is why 5i does not advocate this sort of trading and trying to time things but my question now is whether you think it settles down a few dollars or follows Shopify to the moon? My opinion with all of the fear created by our media is that restaurant business will be slower even once they are allowed to open fully. Q: Does a guy wanting to own long term bite the bullet and get back in now or roll the dice and wait? Thoughts?
Read Answer Asked by Tim on May 22, 2020
Q: What is the difference between these 4 companies and could you rate prospects in growth, risk and management. is there much overlap between them?
Read Answer Asked by JEFF on May 22, 2020
Q: Have you changed your opinion of this company? It wasn't too long ago when 5i was recommending purchasing the company at $39, yet now you are saying that $50 is a long way away. I know that times may have changed, but many of the Tech stocks are hitting all time highs, and with LSPD having enough cash to last 12 years or more, isn't the current price a very good price vs. fair value?
Read Answer Asked by stephen on May 20, 2020
Q: LSPD's business is focussed on small-medium sized retailers, restaurants and the hospitality industry. These are amongst the worst sectors in the economy and may be permanently impaired. Does this not change the investing thesis for LSPD? Is this not a case of sell now and consider buying at a potentially higher price down the road if they can confirm that growth has returned or at least stabilized?
Read Answer Asked by Joel on May 20, 2020
Q: I assume when ranking return potential and risks with one of your answers today ..,LSPD is highest risk and GUD is lowest risk. Please clarify.
“ Return: LSPD, REAL, GUD, SLF Risk: LSPD, REAL, SLF, GUD”
Read Answer Asked by Geoffrey on May 20, 2020
Q: Please rank the above in terms of return potential and risk. Feel free to exclude one if the comparison is too difficult. Thanks in advance!
Read Answer Asked by Brenda on May 20, 2020
Q: If you had to put a fair price ( or range ) on the stock today - what would it be? If you want to wait till after the quarter to answer the question that is okay. I don’t trust analysts but I trust you. I am trying to decide at what point I want my average price to be. I have $20,000 in cash to add to my position and the investment now will have very substantial profits in five years which I know the price will be significantly higher than it is now. I am usually NOT in favour of averaging down but I know they will get to the other side intact. Currently my average price is just north of $32, which I thought was good 45 days ago.
Clayton
Read Answer Asked by Clayton on May 19, 2020
Q: First of all, I can't thank you enough for the excellence of your answers. I have been a member for many years. The answers just keep getting better.
Re my question:
I keep having to trim my tech sector. Perhaps I should sell a couple of names instead of just trimming? Would you please arrange these best to last? Many thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Elaine or Gerry on May 19, 2020
Q: I currently own these tech stocks: GOOG, CSU, SHOP, KXS, LSPD, OTEX, and GIB.A. I want to consolidate and simplify my holdings based on balance sheet and growth projection thru this pandemic. I'm thinking of selling two out of this list and am leaning towards selling either, LSPD, OTEX or GIB.A. Which two would you pick and the reasons behind? Thanks so much.
Read Answer Asked by Willie on May 19, 2020
Q: Dan asked a question on May 11 about ranking the prospects of DOO, GOOS, CAE, LSPD over the next 5 years. Your answer was following ranking: LSPD, GOOS, DOO, CAE. My question is would you rank these 4 companies the same way for prospects over the next 12 months?
Thankyou
Read Answer Asked by Jim on May 15, 2020
Q: 2 Questions on Lightspeed, the stock has of course dropped like a rock and rebounded significantly from the lows 6 weeks ago, but even still if it were to head back to February highs it would be an increase of 80% from todays price.

I am trying to understand how much revenues can and are being disrupted by their clients business closures at least in the short term. They list in the most recent MD&A, software and payments revenue (cloud-based software subscription licenses and recurring revenue sources including payments solutions) accounted for 89 % of the previous 9 months revenue. Also noting that most clients are on 12 month contracts with monthly payments. With lightspeed payments only being introduced in the previous quarter there cannot be much revenue lost yet as it was more of a future revenue potential not a current revenue driver. I don’t think they breakdown what their cut would be with the current payment partnerships but they would of course lose out on payment fees potentially similar to SQUARE whose Payment volume was down 39% their final 2 weeks of the quarter, but how much do you think that could change Lightspeeds revenue?

Just a quick browse on their website shows they offer and excel in e-commerce for businesses, so some or most clients would be online and able to operate, if not they should and could be scrambling to add the capabilities to operate online, so this should be a net positive for this type of company (omni-channel commerce SaaS) in this changing business landscape due to COVID-19.

With lots of cash on hand to weather the short term storm, a high % of recurring revenue and the desperate need for businesses to be online would you not think Lightspeed for a long term play or even short term is one of the best options out there for growth?
Read Answer Asked by Michael on May 14, 2020
Q: Under the recent answers about Shopify, LSPD and Kinaxis there is no mention of " authors of these answers, directors, partners of 5i Research have a financial or other interest in any of these at the time of answering the questions.".
What is the reason?
Read Answer Asked by Lorraine on May 13, 2020
Q: Which do you currently like better for growth. I must admit hearing that SHOP has started down the POS road makes me slightly nervous about LSPD. On the other hand LSPD has a lot of cash DSG a little debt. We also own SHOP, KXS,TEAM,NVDA,CSU,AYX in the tech space. Would be selling LSPD for a tax loss if you think DSG is better.
Read Answer Asked by Paul on May 13, 2020
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