Investment Q&A

Q: Hi 5i Team:
I've held L for the better part of 3 years now. It seems range bound between $60 - $70. Sometimes going over $70 and then having a pullback. With Amazon entering/disrupting the grocery business. I would like your opinion if you think switching Loblaw's for Premium Brands would be appropriate. Same sector, same dividend and PBH probably better growth and dividend prospects.

Q: Mr. Hodson, this is still about GUD. Considering your recent report, the rating of A- granted, its recent value of $8.31, I hope it goes well, which is not the case currently. Do you still have confidence in it ?

Q: As a new member of 5i Research, I first want to thank you for the service you provide. Fantastic.

I am reviewing the Canadian portion of my RRSP, sector by sector. I have a balanced approach and 15+ years ahead of me before transferring to a RRIF.

I find myself a bit underweight and concentrated in Healthcare, owing only NHW.UN (4% of Canadian portfolio). I was thinking of switching half into CSH.UN for diversification within the Real Estate/Healthcare space, then add a 3% position in GUD for more growth. What are your thoughts?

Note: The US portion of my RRSP, which is half the size of my Canadian portfolio, is invested in Mutual funds with Healthcare/Big Pharma representing about 16% of my US holdings. So my strategy would bring Healthcare to 10% overall in my RRSP.

Thx.

Q: What's a good replacement for CGX?

Thanks,
Robert

Q: It seems to me that Cineplex should be valued more on cash flow, like a pipeline or a REIT, because of all the buildings it owns. For 2016, it claimed $106 million in depreciation, which of course lowered reported earnings by that amount. According to TD, 2018 FCF is estimated to be $3.46, making the stock actually somewhat cheap. Thoughts?

Q: Sorry, another on CGX. I'm curious about their dividend payout ratio please?

Thanks!
Rod C.

Q: Hi Peter and Team,
Some analysts still think CGX is expensive after over 30% share price drop. At what share price range CGX is reasonably priced based on current earning and outlook.

Thanks

Q: Would you admit that Avigilon is a much safer/ better investment now than about a year ago, and what would be the biggest risk going forward, thanks?

Q: Can I please get your opinion of SIS' newest acquisition.

Thanks

Dave

Q: SIS has sharply declined from its peak of $17.55 in late May.It is priced to perfection. After miss of expected EPS the last 2 Qs(May by 0.01 & Aug 0.05(0.07 vs 0.12 expected),investors are very unforgiving in this climate(eg geopolitical,Trump,seasonally weak period-mid July to mid Oct,talks of big correction & high valuation) despite 2 good US earnings period & slow & steady growth in economy.Look at similar negative impact on KXS & CGX.On the flip side,see PBH & SHOP.SIS was top pick of 5I on 3/3/16 @ $5.85 & 5/16/16 @ $7.99.I am now looking for an entry point,so please advise what is the catalyst(s) for a turnaround.Thanks for u normal great views & services.

Q: Hello 5i,
If I am looking at starting a position in SIS when it starts showing positive "price momentum", what are the 3 -5 primary factors that you consider to determine "price momentum" and also could you please quantify the parameters that you prefer (for example, if one of your factors is RSI, do you favour 14 or another value)?

Q: Big volume on SIS today of 666,000 shares. Daily volume is around 30,000 period July 27th to August 10th period. Good sign to me as a holder of SIS is that Investors Purchased 666,000 shares. What are your thoughts as to whom may be buying. RAK.

Q: Could we get more insight into the selling of SIS, the shares are down on heavy volume today, who is getting out and why?

Q: I purchased cgx late July and subsequently lost 25%. You mentioned that they need to diversify so that their earnings are not so tied to the box office. In reading their results,it seems that they now have more assets in "other" entertainment venues. Given their previous track record,would you advise holding for a year and how did you view their continuing foray into other venues and what do you see in the future for price appreciation? Thanx.

Q: How come SIS sucks lately? positive quarter and the stock seems to be in free fall! -26% to date!

Q: If HLF does purchase Conner Bros. as is rumored, how do you think the market will respond?

Q: I know you are high on this co.,and i agree it is maybe cheap, but it is now off close to 30% of it's high and sinking fast to where it was 3 years ago, i know it is still up for the year, but what is it that the market does not like about this stock?. I find that many low p/e stocks are not the stocks that you want to hold,they are cheap for some reason.
Thanks again so much.

Q: Greetings 5i,

My question is fairly long-winded, so please deduct as many credits as you deem appropriate.

I currently hold a half position in both STN and WSP. Do both need to be held in this space? Do you favour one over the other for a long term hold (5 years plus)? Moreover, if you do favour one, would you recommend dropping the other completely, folding the capital from one into the other, or trimming each slightly to maintain diversification while redeploying some capital elsewhere?

I have a fairly long term horizon (I am 35 years old), and, in the industrial sector, also hold a full position in CNR.

Thank you.

Q: I have held CGX in my TFSA for over 3 years for growth and a good dividend. The stock is down about 15% from purchase price and you have indicated that it is probably not going to do a whole lot quickly. I am considering replacing it with something that is expected to grow a bit faster but still has a dividend and would like your advice. If you think replacing it is a good move could you give me some suggestions - I was wondering about Savaria as a possible replacement>

Q: You are probably tired of Cineplex questions.
To clarify 5i sold Cineplex because they wanted to use the monies for better opportunities. If not, prescient knowledge well done.
I should have followed suit.
Ellis Jacob CEO is fawned over in the press.
He runs a monopoly which always misses earnings.
There is a Cineplex near my house it is operated like a Canadian monopoly. Service is mediocre, food is too expensive to buy and minimal staff that are somewhat present.
Is Cinemark a better operated company?
It has much more debt.

Thanks for letting me rant.