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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: There was a recent question as to the significance of GSY's $41m credit risk at Canada Drives and why it was not reported, I asked this very question of a Hedge fund tht holds GSY and below is their response. Feel free to publish if you think it will be of interest to your members.

"The are a few moving parts to the Canada Drives story.

The business is split into two segments 1. Retail 2. Lead Business

The retail business is the new business that was losing money and is being wound down. They expect to liquidate their inventory over the next couple months and pay off all existing debt facilities.

The Lead business was Canada Drives original business from 2010 and has been consistently profitable. It generated $11m in EBITDA on $86m in sales in 2020. This business is asset light and doesn’t take the balance sheet risk like the retail business did.

GoEasy owned $40m of the $50m of convertibles notes. The court documents show that GSY may acquire or end up owning the Leads business which has been stated that it will continue to operate.

Overall, I don’t think GSY disclosed much of this publicly because it doesn’t breach materiality. $40m of capital on a $2.9B enterprise value."
Read Answer Asked by Scott on April 05, 2023
Q: Are any of the Canadian Banks heavily leveraged to commercial real estate?
Thank you.
Read Answer Asked by Lawrence on April 05, 2023
Q: Saturday morning on CBC Mark Warner warned viewers not to be too overconfident about Canadian banks compared to US banks. His reasoning was that Canadian banks have been buying banks in the US.
As I am a holder of Canadian banks this has me concerned. I was wondering if you could shed some light on his comment and which banks might be at the most risk.
Read Answer Asked by Mary Jean on April 04, 2023
Q: Hi Peter, Ryan, and Team

In your answers to other members, I’ve observed that National Bank isn’t one of your recommendation, and I’m wondering why.

Their 5 year CAGR is 9.4%. For the 3, 5, and 10 year periods, the beat their peers (BMO, CM, RY, BNS, and TD) by 6%, 6%, and 3% respectively.

Watching the negative news involving GSY, I’m considering switching it to NA. Since we’ve held GSY for some time, we’re still up quite substantially.

In our combined accounts, we also own TD, which we’ll keep.

I’d appreciate your thoughts on this proposed switch. Thanks in advance for your insight.

Read Answer Asked by Jerry on April 04, 2023
Q: When the initial shock at SVB happened, I traded First Republic shares and made enough profits to buy a long position when the shares went into the 12's. I don't believe that the US Govt. will allow these "small" banks to fail. Ex: FRC has over 7000 employees.
Are there any other US "small" banks that you screen that have been hammered but have a good prospect of surviving and flourishing? I have a very high risk tolerance.
Thank you Gordo
Read Answer Asked by gord on April 03, 2023
Q: Hi

We still have 500 shares of GSY in our RRSP accounts

Thinking of selling and buying BAC. Both are beaten up. However I am thinking BAC
has a better chance of recovering in a shorter time frame with less government interference.

Your comments or other suggestions in the US are most welcome.

We already have CROX, BRK.B, CELH, PERI, NIO, INMD, LNTH, IFRA,XYLD, IYW

Thank you

Mike

Read Answer Asked by Mike on April 03, 2023
Q: Good afternoon,

Could you please contrast BN and BAM with respect to exposure and sensitivity to the commercial real estate market. If one was looking to underweight commercial real estate, which would be your choice (or not at all)?

Thank you
Read Answer Asked by Brad on March 31, 2023
Q: SCHW is down ~6% today, March 30, after a downgrade by Morgan Stanley. CFRA issued brief research yesterday rating SCHW a “Strong buy”. Although TD owns (I think) a chunk of SCHW , TD:us is up today. I had been planning to buy SCHW thinking it was being overly punished for the sins of others. Granted, deposits are flying out, but its CEO is quoted a couple of weeks ago to say that even if clients demanded all their deposits back, SCHW would still remain liquid. I am going from memory and am now unsure of the veracity or reliability of information I refer to above.

SCHW still strikes me a reasonably good opportunity at today's price. Would appreciate your comments, preferably with some depth, if you would please. Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Adam on March 31, 2023
Q: Dear 5i team.

There have been a few questions lately on HMAX vs ZWB and all the responses thus far discuss the upside potential and difference in strategy. What are the downside risks of these two aproaches to their covered call strategies? Has the recent volitility in Banks given us any insights into this part of the question, or are we still in speculate on outcomes mode. If the latter, please provide some educated speculation on impact of continued downward draft in Bank equity prices.

Thanks for your insights.

Arthur.
Read Answer Asked by Arthur on March 31, 2023