Q: One more question on Crius and it relates to the capabilities of the management. Given the sell off and the recent results it would seem that the decision as to whether to hold or not has to do with whether management can be believed. If the outlook for adjusted EBITA of $100m annually is to believed, this seems quite positive since annual distributions would be $36m. In fact management says it makes the distribution sustainable.
However, this is the same management that a year ago was positive about the solar division, and municipal aggregations (even though they acknowledged the latters lowering effect on gross margins). In fact they were sufficiently sanguine that they even increased the distribution.
This year they are exiting solar and divesting municipal aggregations. The new strategy is to go back to focus on the original deregulated energy business. They acknowledge that the customer count will continue to decline over 2019 and the costs to obtain the high margin customers in the deregulated business is high. How long will it be before they get to their $100m?
In case you think these are the comments of a short seller I am in fact a shareholder who is wondering if this emperor has any clothes. Your opinion would be much appreciated.
Mike
However, this is the same management that a year ago was positive about the solar division, and municipal aggregations (even though they acknowledged the latters lowering effect on gross margins). In fact they were sufficiently sanguine that they even increased the distribution.
This year they are exiting solar and divesting municipal aggregations. The new strategy is to go back to focus on the original deregulated energy business. They acknowledge that the customer count will continue to decline over 2019 and the costs to obtain the high margin customers in the deregulated business is high. How long will it be before they get to their $100m?
In case you think these are the comments of a short seller I am in fact a shareholder who is wondering if this emperor has any clothes. Your opinion would be much appreciated.
Mike