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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hi 5i,
I am considering small average down purchases of the listed companies but unfortunately cash is limited so can't choose all of them! Could you rate/order them for rebound potential ? Currently MX & TOY are approx 3% each, FSZ 2%,and TSGI/SLF/SIS have been driven lower to approx 1% each.

Thanks
Mike
Read Answer Asked by mike on November 26, 2018
Q: Hello 5i team,
Since its inception, your balanced equity portfolio has generated something like 16% compound return pa; it has beaten the other "advisors" hands down and I enjoyed the ride. Congratulations!
Of the 6 major banks, BNS is the worst performer with a 5-year return of 7% compared to TD 47%, RY 35%, BMO 33%, NA 30% and CIBC 24%; and yet BNS is perennially in your BE portfolio. Why?
Thanks,
Antoine
Read Answer Asked by Antoine on November 26, 2018
Q: DOO's earnings are fast approaching. This earnings season I have adopted a policy of buying puts shortly before earnings announcements. Just did that on SIS.

I don't have a good feel for DOO. What is their rate of exceeding or missing estimates?

Given what has been happening to the stock over past number of months, do you think a long put on DOO prior to earnings has a better than 50% chance of success?

Thanks for your opinion

Sheldon
Read Answer Asked by Sheldon on November 23, 2018
Q: Hi there, in the past, I’ve taken your balanced equity portfolio and have tweaked and adjusted here and there. I suppose it may be human nature to try and personalize things but I’ve become tired of altering it here and there as it’s become time consuming. I am now thinking to simplify and just try and follow your portfolio as close to a T as possible. This way I can just follow your buy, sell and rebalancing as you make adjustments. If I take this route, will mimicking your balanced equity portfolio give me a fully diversified portfolio? Thanks!
Read Answer Asked by Michael on November 23, 2018
Q: I had let PHO shares rise substantially, trimmed close to the high which made me feel smart, then watched them go all the way down to current levels, which makes me question how smart I am. In hindsight it was no secret of a slow down in the sector spending, even in a good market likely the shares would have dropped substantially. Regarding spending cycles, historically is there any pattern time wise?
Read Answer Asked by Charles on November 23, 2018
Q: I would like to top up these positions and trim them back in the future (12-24months?)

Are there any names on the list I should avoid or expect a longer recovery for?

Always appreciate your wisdom.
Read Answer Asked by David on November 23, 2018
Q: Hi 5i
I thought I understood the DRIP or cash distribution concept but I've just received a cash distribution equaling 25% of the expected amount. On Oct 10th, Crius announced 4th Qtr distribution amounts of 0.0697. Then on the 24th announce the initiation of the DRIP.
As I am not eligible for the DRIP (currently resident outside of Canada), I expected 0.0697 per unit but have received 0.017425 (25%). This is a surprise to me - I'll need to discuss this with the broker but just wanted to clarify that there wasn't a cut or some other reason triggering additional foreign withholding tax (or ???)
Is this cash distribution amount an issue with my expectation ? Is this something you could clarify for me ?

Thanks
Mike
Read Answer Asked by mike on November 23, 2018
Q: I ve been looking for a way to invest in the rise in popularity of car shares like zip car or car2go.

I haven’t found any pure plays but was thinking BYD may see a benefit from this trend. I feel like these vehicles must see lots of bumps and dings during their life in the city and users caring less about them than their personal vehicle. I would assume car share companies would prefer to work with larger auto body companies like Boyd for these repairs.

I’m curious to hear your thoughts on this and if you have any other ideas on how to invest in this trend.

Thanks!
Read Answer Asked by Dennis on November 22, 2018
Q: Good morning 5i team
I am considering selling NFI in my Investment a/c to trigger a 2018 tax loss, and plan to buy it back ~ 30 days later in line with CRA rules. Does this seem like a reasonable risk to take in the current market? i.e. is the expectation reasonable that I "may" be able to buy it back at roughly the same level as now?
Thank you for your view on this.
Edward
Read Answer Asked by Edward on November 22, 2018
Q: Thank you again for this excellent service. I have a question about Savaria. In their most recent quarterly results, for the 9 months ended September 2018, stock-based compensation is $899K on $12.9M income. If I have done my calculation correctly, the stock-based compensation is about 7% of expenses. I do not know how to find the base salaries for the management (which would presumably further increase the management cost for the firm).
Is this not a lot excessive? Should I be concerned about the "cost" of management and how this cost could dilute shares or profits?
Thank-you
Read Answer Asked by Dale on November 21, 2018
Q: I have owned shares of GSY for a number of years. Despite what I thought were very positive quarterly results and a strong outlook, GSY shares have taken a steep drop in the last few weeks. I noticed that insiders have made 35 buys (and no sells) totalling several million dollars in the last two weeks. I would think this is very significant news especially given that the President said on the conference call said that he did not feel that the company had credit quality issues (which seems to be a concern flagged by analysts). In previous conference calls, I have always found the President to be very transparent. Am I missing something here? If management uses their own money to buy millions of dollars of the stock, is this a strong signal that the stock is undervalued?
If you agree, is there any site you can go to which identifies the recent buying by management of the company stock, and presents the information in a table format?
Also, the Globe and Mail often does an article highlighting insider buys. I have not seen the GSY purchases identified, yet, they highlight much lesser insider buys. Any idea why? Is the data on the 5i website more current than other sources?

Thank you again for this wonderful service!
Read Answer Asked by Dale on November 21, 2018
Q: Hello there,
I don't want to beat a dead horse here but doesn't GS look pretty tempting here as it drifts toward $10/share.? It hasn't been this low ( other than the last few weeks) since January 2009 during the worst days of the financial crisis . Certainly the world is in a better place now than it was back then? Also approaching a 10% yield which is either highly enticing or highly dangerous?? I haven't figured out which yet? As a very profitable cheap company with a large cash position is this a buy here? I see no insider buying activity at all in the last few months though, what don't they like here? Any thoughts here would be appreciated.
Thank-you
Read Answer Asked by Chris on November 21, 2018
Q: You were asked a question regarding Savaria's forward PE multiple. Your response was 28 which is the same as the trailing PE multiple. How did you come up with that number? If a 28 multiple is true this stock is trading at a multiple that makes it very vulnerable to further declines despite what has happened in the last few weeks. I would like to know what your expected earnings per share are in each of the next two years please. Also could you identify anything on the horizon based on your analysis or management expectations that could lower or increase this estimate. And how do your numbers compare to management forecasts?
Read Answer Asked by John on November 21, 2018