Q: Hi, I would appreciate your comments on CSU earnings released Wednesday evening. Looks like a nice beat on EPS ($4.67 against $4.23 estimate)and EBITDA ($120 mln against $117 mln est). Currency headwind appears to have impacted organic growth rate for this quarter and 9 months period. Thanks
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Investment Q&A
Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.
Q: Constellation will issue its earnings release tonite. Could you please advise what analysts' expectations are for CSU's results? And thank you for helping us soldier through this very difficult market. Peter
Q: Peter, I have owned CSU for quite a while and it is time to rebalance. I would like to keep my IT sector at 20% and I am thinking of selling CSU down to 5% and adding to my other IT stocks namely DSG, ESL and DH. Would you suggest I keep these four stocks or should I add another stock to this sector?
Thanks, Stephen
Thanks, Stephen
Q: I was hoping to get your thoughts on Venator's position on CSU:
http://www.venator.ca/uploads/FEB_2015__Final_.pdf
"I just don't like paying for acquisitions that haven't happened yet, and when you pay more than 20x earnings for an otherwise no growth company that is exactly what you are doing. This is why we own Open Text but not Constellation Software. If Open Text doesn't make an acquisition for the next two years it might drop about 10%, putting its valuation on par with Oracle (to name another low growth consolidator); the same scenario played out with the aforementioned Constellation Software would send that stock down over 30%."
CSU's share and earnings growth is largely based on its excellent ability to acquire businesses and less so on on its organic growth. If CSU is unable to acquire companies at the same pace (the larger it gets, the bigger the acquisition required to make an impact), would this not cause a material negative affect on its valuation?
http://www.venator.ca/uploads/FEB_2015__Final_.pdf
"I just don't like paying for acquisitions that haven't happened yet, and when you pay more than 20x earnings for an otherwise no growth company that is exactly what you are doing. This is why we own Open Text but not Constellation Software. If Open Text doesn't make an acquisition for the next two years it might drop about 10%, putting its valuation on par with Oracle (to name another low growth consolidator); the same scenario played out with the aforementioned Constellation Software would send that stock down over 30%."
CSU's share and earnings growth is largely based on its excellent ability to acquire businesses and less so on on its organic growth. If CSU is unable to acquire companies at the same pace (the larger it gets, the bigger the acquisition required to make an impact), would this not cause a material negative affect on its valuation?
Q: Read the recent questions re: CSU so will reframe mine as follows:
1. Globe investor shows forward PE at a very reasonable 16.3. Do you concur?
2. The stock has been trading in a range between 530 and 600 for the past three months. CSU has been a massive win for me but has shot up to 13% of my portfolio which I know is too high. It's probably time to abandon the "let winers run" approach and take some money off the table but the real question is this: knowing that a share split is not in the cards per the CEO, and with a tiny yield, have we had our fun? i.e. Do you see a scenario where the stock retests 600 let alone surpasses it?
Thanks as always for your insight.
1. Globe investor shows forward PE at a very reasonable 16.3. Do you concur?
2. The stock has been trading in a range between 530 and 600 for the past three months. CSU has been a massive win for me but has shot up to 13% of my portfolio which I know is too high. It's probably time to abandon the "let winers run" approach and take some money off the table but the real question is this: knowing that a share split is not in the cards per the CEO, and with a tiny yield, have we had our fun? i.e. Do you see a scenario where the stock retests 600 let alone surpasses it?
Thanks as always for your insight.
Q: Any idea why CSU is dropping like a rock? I've looked at three, five and even ten year charts on this stock, and it's never had a downward move as swift and far as this week.
Q: CSU seems to be very weak when compared to the TSX. I know there hasn't been any material news on this, but can you give us some perspective if this still remains a good stock to hold or even buy at these levels?
Q: Hi,
This stock seems to have lost its momentum compared to its peers. I have made good money on this and wonder if it's time to get out? I can't afford another AVO. What are your thoughts?
This stock seems to have lost its momentum compared to its peers. I have made good money on this and wonder if it's time to get out? I can't afford another AVO. What are your thoughts?
Q: Hi 5i
Any reason CSU took such a drubbing on Thursday? -$20
Thanks
Any reason CSU took such a drubbing on Thursday? -$20
Thanks
Q: Constellation Software just closed a recent round of debentures (http://www.csisoftware.com/2015/09/constellation-software-inc-completes-rights-offering-of-debentures/).
Has the company said what they will put the $214 million toward acquisitions?
Has the company said what they will put the $214 million toward acquisitions?
Q: Dear 5i:
I own some CONSTEL SFTWR S1 FR31 MR40 CSU.DB and some
RTS-CONSTELLTN SFTW15SP15 CSU.RT.A.
What do you recommend I do with these? Appears there is a September expiry date for what?
Thanks for your advice, Klaus
I own some CONSTEL SFTWR S1 FR31 MR40 CSU.DB and some
RTS-CONSTELLTN SFTW15SP15 CSU.RT.A.
What do you recommend I do with these? Appears there is a September expiry date for what?
Thanks for your advice, Klaus
Q: Any reason that you can see for Wednesday's greatly appreciated $28 per share spike?
Q: Good Day,
Is the recent discussion around CSU debentures referring to a new series? I see debentures are already trading in the market and today are priced at $119.66 with a 7.10% yield to reflect the premium. Is there another series coming in Sept? If so are they the same terms as the first tranche? Looks like 8.5% until March 2016 and then 6.5% plus CPI. Most bonds/debentures would get whacked in the next few years if/when interest rates begin to rise but this indexing to inflation will protect against this? Also do you have a credit rating on this as far as credit quality/worthiness? Thank-you
Is the recent discussion around CSU debentures referring to a new series? I see debentures are already trading in the market and today are priced at $119.66 with a 7.10% yield to reflect the premium. Is there another series coming in Sept? If so are they the same terms as the first tranche? Looks like 8.5% until March 2016 and then 6.5% plus CPI. Most bonds/debentures would get whacked in the next few years if/when interest rates begin to rise but this indexing to inflation will protect against this? Also do you have a credit rating on this as far as credit quality/worthiness? Thank-you
Q: Peter/group I have a right offering on CSU The present cost is 32 cents /share which will allow me to purchase more shares at the present market price of $120. It also pays me 8% in interest ...is this a good investment? Thanks PS I do not fully understand the offering if you could clarify it for me in simple terms. Thanks for steering us poor mortals in the right direction
Q: Anyone who put in a “STOP” was murdered today .
CSU traded as low as $454.00 today … shares were picked up by traders who had software that shows the stop orders on their screens…
By US standards CSU trades relatively thinly - buying the entire sell board of CSU is a no brainer for Goldman and others ... the retail investor is a victim who can't even protect his wealth.
There is NO price low enough to prevent deep pocketed vultures because Level 3 Quotes are available to the privileged few . This is unfair ... and I am angry. I guess this is why you aren't a fan of Stops.
CSU traded as low as $454.00 today … shares were picked up by traders who had software that shows the stop orders on their screens…
By US standards CSU trades relatively thinly - buying the entire sell board of CSU is a no brainer for Goldman and others ... the retail investor is a victim who can't even protect his wealth.
There is NO price low enough to prevent deep pocketed vultures because Level 3 Quotes are available to the privileged few . This is unfair ... and I am angry. I guess this is why you aren't a fan of Stops.
Q: Hello Team,
Could it be possible that the drop in CSU is not merely profit taking but rather a reaction to the recent news about a shareholder with over 1,000,000 shares? Could you explain and comment on this news released on august 5th?
Thank you. Gail
Could it be possible that the drop in CSU is not merely profit taking but rather a reaction to the recent news about a shareholder with over 1,000,000 shares? Could you explain and comment on this news released on august 5th?
Thank you. Gail
Q: CSU has fallen dramatically in the last week and I can only attest to 'one' proven fact -- the Frank Effect. My brother purchased this stock this week, and true to form, every time he purchases a stock, it plummets. If you feel it would be of use to your members, I would be pleased to share with everyone when Frank wishes to buy shares in a company -- in that way, we could all avoid some serious losses in our chosen companies. I am concerned enough about this stock market phenomenon, that I make a point of having a portfolio diverse enough from his. Share if you think it's important. : )
Q: Great article on Constellation Software CSU and its founder, published in April 2014. In case anyone's wondering whether CSU is going to run out of possible acquisitions, the article notes, "...the company says it has a database of 10,000 acquisition targets."
Q: On your great advice I picked up Constellation Software last year. I made it a full position, and it has now reached 6% including all my portfolios. I am not risk adverse and I don't mind holding winners, but at what total % level should I start to take some profits.
Do you think letting it move up to 10% is ok, or way to risky.
Cheers, Colin.
Do you think letting it move up to 10% is ok, or way to risky.
Cheers, Colin.
Q: In your latest Summary Report containing CSU, it states the
INDUSTRY--Retail & SUB_INDUSTRY--Computer & Software Stores.
Is this correct?
INDUSTRY--Retail & SUB_INDUSTRY--Computer & Software Stores.
Is this correct?