Q: I have Ryan's read excellent article dealing with the impact of the US election on Canada.
However, I am somewhat bewildered by recent market activity - especially on the downside here in Canada.
The opinion has been expressed that interest rate incrases are/were already baked into the market. Can you quantify that in any way? e.g. 3-5%; 1-2% .... to what degree they are "baked in".
The reason I ask is that, it seems like all the media had to this week was mention the likelihood of inflation driven interest rate increases in the USA and sectors here like utilities and REITS took it on the chin.
How much more downside can we expect given the impact of just a few words about possible Trump moves to drive the USA economy when the decision(s) are made to actually increase rates in the USA?
Could this downward pressure be magnified if, in addition, we see US corporate taxes reduced and see some companies start to shift production to the US.
How likely is it that we are facing the prospects of a signicant bear market lasting a few years here?
Or is this a knee jerk reaction right now like Brexit that will likely reverse itself over the next few weeks?
Any light you can shed on this will be greatly appreciated.
However, I am somewhat bewildered by recent market activity - especially on the downside here in Canada.
The opinion has been expressed that interest rate incrases are/were already baked into the market. Can you quantify that in any way? e.g. 3-5%; 1-2% .... to what degree they are "baked in".
The reason I ask is that, it seems like all the media had to this week was mention the likelihood of inflation driven interest rate increases in the USA and sectors here like utilities and REITS took it on the chin.
How much more downside can we expect given the impact of just a few words about possible Trump moves to drive the USA economy when the decision(s) are made to actually increase rates in the USA?
Could this downward pressure be magnified if, in addition, we see US corporate taxes reduced and see some companies start to shift production to the US.
How likely is it that we are facing the prospects of a signicant bear market lasting a few years here?
Or is this a knee jerk reaction right now like Brexit that will likely reverse itself over the next few weeks?
Any light you can shed on this will be greatly appreciated.