Q: Hello 5i,
If I am looking at starting a position in SIS when it starts showing positive "price momentum", what are the 3 -5 primary factors that you consider to determine "price momentum" and also could you please quantify the parameters that you prefer (for example, if one of your factors is RSI, do you favour 14 or another value)?
Q: Big volume on SIS today of 666,000 shares. Daily volume is around 30,000 period July 27th to August 10th period. Good sign to me as a holder of SIS is that Investors Purchased 666,000 shares. What are your thoughts as to whom may be buying. RAK.
Q: Good morning,
Could you comment on the big drop in the stock price that is surely related to the Spruce Point Capital report on TOS, and your comments on the report? Thanks.
Q: do you know this company, their earnings just announced were very good, would you buy it? it seems like they are getting wins on their silicone adhesives. dave
Q: Hi Team,
Following a question about Canadian and US health care sector opportunities, I am trying compare and contrast IBB (iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF) with XBI (SPDR S&P Biotech ETF). I realize the former focuses on large companies and has more concentrated positions in top holdings while the latter focuses on small companies with a more even distribution of holdings. What are your thoughts about a risk/return trade off between the two ETFs and what timeframe would you be considering to hold either one for an investment thesis to pan out? If you had to pick one, which would it be and why?
Many thanks, Michael
Q: For those deeply under water on CRH, still in the stock and looking for positives:
1) Look at the Cash Flow Statement (not the Income Statement):
- This business makes real cash... CF-Operation is $9.75M
- Deducting 'non-controlling interest of $2.2 still leaves $7.5M
- CF Financing noisy due to retirement of high interest Crown and replacing by Scotia 3.5% loan - but there is cash generated for acquisition, debt replayment, etc.
2) Mawer Management is not selling... they are buying (as of end July)!
- Guy wondered about Mawer on July 16. I also track them as they are the best Management firm. Like everyone, they will have their share of losers and this may be one (they are sure deep under water) - so no guarantee but they are buying, not selling:
- Q2 data from Morningstar, they bought 924K shares and owned 6.43%
- How about July when the CMS reimbursement rate occurred? They bought +24% more (they manage the 'BMO enterprise' fund)
- How about after Q2? That we don't know yet...
3) One Director bought shares (independent Director, not Management)
- Per canadianinsider, Tood Patrick bought 50,000 shares on Aug 9/10
- Still would like to see the CEO or other Management buy but this is a first sign.
Q: Hi there, just looking for further clarification on PLI, have you assessed the risks in Prometic not receiving approval for the Plasminogen BLA from the FDA? Could it be possible that PLI raised further funds very quickly, at a substantial discount, at $1.70, trading well over $2 at that time, suspecting they will not be approved?
"The Corporation is responding diligently to all FDA requests in relation to the BLA review. The Corporation will provide further updates on the expected timeline of regulatory approval as soon as available"
Could it be possible that PLI is suspecting the FDA is looking for further clinical data for approval, which could take an additional 12 to 18 months for final approval? Have you assessed these types of risks in your modelling for the Growth Portfolio holding? Where do you see the stock price trading at, if the above scenario does occur?
Hope I am wrong above!
Thanks!
Q: While I don't own GUD yet, I keep seeing it reviewed positively and therefore read the FP article you linked:
- "Laurentian Bank Securities analyst sees revenue rising to $6.9 million this year and $52.3 million in 2018 as more drugs work their way through approvals..."
Do you agree with the assessment of projected 2018 revenues of 52.3 million?
If so, what would the implied price of GUD be the end of 2018 based on revenues of 52.3 million?
Q: I was watching "This Old House" on PBS last night. They featured a Savaria lift which they installed for a wheel chair bound person. The elevator appeared well designed, simple to construct and worked well. Thought you might be interested.
By the way, unlike Dave, I have made a pile of money by following 5i Research recommendations. I note PBH hit a new high yesterday. (My main contribution to stock management is my ability to procrastinate instead of panic selling!)
It's adequately clear (esp from some of the comments I've recently read) that the Healthcare/Pharma sector in Canada offers very few choices and even fewer good choices.
Whereas the same sector in the US offers fabulous alternatives, opportunities and growth.
I feel it is a shame to limit this weak Canadian sector in our portfolios when you can offer so much more with reccos south of the border.
Even a well represented ETF for US pharma/healthcare/bioscience might do the trick if you are time starved.
Q: I hold a half position in each of ABC and CAH, am underwater on both, moreso on CAH. Please summarize your view on the US drug wholesale business going forward, and, provide the decision metrics for dropping one and increasing the position size on the other.